FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact: match statistics
FC Cincinnati holds a clear home advantage, supported by a 50% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference (+1) at their stadium. Montreal Impact exhibits very poor away form with 75% losses and a disastrous goal difference (-6), conceding an average of 2.5 goals per match. The hosts boast superior xG metrics (1.2 vs 1.0) and ball possession dominance (56% vs 46%), indicating control of the game. Montreal shows slightly higher shot accuracy (11% vs 8%), but the visitors' defensive struggles (averaging 2.5 goals conceded away) should be a decisive factor. Both teams have identical form in their last 5 matches (0.6 PPG), but the home field advantage and Cincinnati's more solid defense (0.5 goals conceded in home matches) favor a home win.
FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
FC Cincinnati played against Montreal Impact in MLS (United States). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 4:3.
Recent form
FC Cincinnati has 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.75 points per game. Montreal Impact has 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 0.75 points per game.
Scoring records
FC Cincinnati scores 0.75 goals per game and allows 2.00. Montreal Impact scores 1.00 and allows 2.50. Games in this league average 2.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of FC Cincinnati's games and 25% of Montreal Impact's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 100%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
FC Cincinnati has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.00 per game. FC Cincinnati takes 13.3 shots per game, while Montreal Impact takes 9.5.
First-half and second-half trends
FC Cincinnati leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Montreal Impact leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
FC Cincinnati's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Montreal Impact, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 2.99 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
FC Cincinnati holds a clear home advantage, supported by a 50% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference (+1) at their stadium. Montreal Impact exhibits very poor away form with 75% losses and a disastrous goal difference (-6), conceding an average of 2.5 goals per match. The hosts boast superior xG metrics (1.2 vs 1.0) and ball possession dominance (56% vs 46%), indicating control of the game. Montreal shows slightly higher shot accuracy (11% vs 8%), but the visitors' defensive struggles (averaging 2.5 goals conceded away) should be a decisive factor. Both teams have identical form in their last 5 matches (0.6 PPG), but the home field advantage and Cincinnati's more solid defense (0.5 goals conceded in home matches) favor a home win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati | Montreal Impact | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Montreal Impact is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
0.75 goals / game - FC Cincinnati · 1 goals / game - Montreal Impact
FC Cincinnati is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - FC Cincinnati · 2.5 goals / game - Montreal Impact
FC Cincinnati scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 meczów), while Montreal Impact keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
Montreal Impact scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 meczów), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati
Over / Under - Montreal Impact
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Montreal Impact - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 25% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 25% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
FC Cincinnati
Montreal Impact
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati | Liga | Montreal Impact | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.75 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 49% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 59% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 25% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact?
The MLS match finished FC Cincinnati 4:3 Montreal Impact. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact?
FC Cincinnati score 0.75 goals per game on average and Montreal Impact 1.00. The MLS average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 25% of FC Cincinnati's matches and 25% of Montreal Impact's.
What form are FC Cincinnati and Montreal Impact in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati have a 1-0-3 record (0.75 points per game) and Montreal Impact 1-0-3 (0.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.