FC Penafiel vs Lusitania Lourosa: match statistics
Lusitania Lourosa clearly outperforms FC Penafiel in terms of form and efficiency. The visitors are in 6th place in the table with a 60% win rate away from home, while the hosts are in 17th position with only a 30% win rate at home. Lusitania averages 1.8 goals per away match with a shot conversion rate of 17%, which is significantly better than the hosts' 0.7 goals at a 6% conversion rate. The form from the last 5 matches also favors the visitors (1.6 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), and their away goal difference (+2) contrasts with Penafiel's problems in home matches (-2). Additionally, the hosts have failed to score in 40% of their home games, which, given the visitors' offensive strength, makes Lusitania's victory the most likely scenario.
FC Penafiel vs Lusitania Lourosa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Penafiel play Lusitania Lourosa in LigaPro (Portugal). The match date is 16 February 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
FC Penafiel: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Lusitania Lourosa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Penafiel scores 1.09 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Lusitania Lourosa scores 1.29 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Penafiel 44%, Lusitania Lourosa 62%. Over 2.5: FC Penafiel 38%, Lusitania Lourosa 59%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
FC Penafiel has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.22. FC Penafiel: 11.5 shots per match, Lusitania Lourosa: 10.3.
Match halves
FC Penafiel: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.71. Lusitania Lourosa: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
FC Penafiel: 76-90+ (14 goals). Lusitania Lourosa: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Lusitania Lourosa clearly outperforms FC Penafiel in terms of form and efficiency. The visitors are in 6th place in the table with a 60% win rate away from home, while the hosts are in 17th position with only a 30% win rate at home. Lusitania averages 1.8 goals per away match with a shot conversion rate of 17%, which is significantly better than the hosts' 0.7 goals at a 6% conversion rate. The form from the last 5 matches also favors the visitors (1.6 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), and their away goal difference (+2) contrasts with Penafiel's problems in home matches (-2). Additionally, the hosts have failed to score in 40% of their home games, which, given the visitors' offensive strength, makes Lusitania's victory the most likely scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Penafiel | Lusitania Lourosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Penafiel is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - FC Penafiel · 0.8 pts / match - Lusitania Lourosa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lusitania Lourosa is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - FC Penafiel · 1.29 goals / match - Lusitania Lourosa
FC Penafiel is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - FC Penafiel · 1.53 goals / match - Lusitania Lourosa
FC Penafiel scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Lusitania Lourosa keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Lusitania Lourosa scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while FC Penafiel keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — FC Penafiel
Over / Under — Lusitania Lourosa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lusitania Lourosa is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - FC Penafiel · 1.09 pts / match - Lusitania Lourosa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Penafiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lusitania Lourosa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Penafiel
Lusitania Lourosa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| FC Penafiel | Liga | Lusitania Lourosa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.24 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 46% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 45% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 32% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: FC Penafiel 0 - 1 - 0 Lusitania Lourosa. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Penafiel vs Lusitania Lourosa?
The LigaPro match finished FC Penafiel 2:0 Lusitania Lourosa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Penafiel vs Lusitania Lourosa?
FC Penafiel score 1.09 goals per game on average and Lusitania Lourosa 1.29. The LigaPro average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 44% of FC Penafiel's matches and 62% of Lusitania Lourosa's.
What form are FC Penafiel and Lusitania Lourosa in?
Over the last 5 games FC Penafiel have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Lusitania Lourosa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Penafiel vs Lusitania Lourosa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FC Penafiel vs Lusitania Lourosa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.