FC Penafiel vs Lusitania Lourosa: match statistics
Lusitania Lourosa clearly outperforms FC Penafiel in terms of form and efficiency. The visitors are in 6th place in the table with a 60% win rate away from home, while the hosts are in 17th position with only a 30% win rate at home. Lusitania averages 1.8 goals per away match with a shot conversion rate of 17%, which is significantly better than the hosts' 0.7 goals at a 6% conversion rate. The form from the last 5 matches also favors the visitors (1.6 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), and their away goal difference (+2) contrasts with Penafiel's problems in home matches (-2). Additionally, the hosts have failed to score in 40% of their home games, which, given the visitors' offensive strength, makes Lusitania's victory the most likely scenario.
FC Penafiel vs Lusitania Lourosa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
FC Penafiel played against Lusitania Lourosa in LigaPro (Portugal). The game was played on February 16, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
FC Penafiel has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Lusitania Lourosa has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
FC Penafiel scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 1.05. Lusitania Lourosa scores 1.48 and allows 1.57. Games in this league average 2.51 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of FC Penafiel's games and 71% of Lusitania Lourosa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 67%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lusitania Lourosa has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.31 per game. FC Penafiel takes 11.1 shots per game, while Lusitania Lourosa takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
FC Penafiel leads at halftime in 5% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Lusitania Lourosa leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
FC Penafiel's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Lusitania Lourosa, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
LigaPro games average 2.51 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lusitania Lourosa clearly outperforms FC Penafiel in terms of form and efficiency. The visitors are in 6th place in the table with a 60% win rate away from home, while the hosts are in 17th position with only a 30% win rate at home. Lusitania averages 1.8 goals per away match with a shot conversion rate of 17%, which is significantly better than the hosts' 0.7 goals at a 6% conversion rate. The form from the last 5 matches also favors the visitors (1.6 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), and their away goal difference (+2) contrasts with Penafiel's problems in home matches (-2). Additionally, the hosts have failed to score in 40% of their home games, which, given the visitors' offensive strength, makes Lusitania's victory the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| FC Penafiel | Lusitania Lourosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lusitania Lourosa is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - FC Penafiel · 1.6 pts / game - Lusitania Lourosa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lusitania Lourosa is 72% better for: goals scored per game.
0.86 goals / game - FC Penafiel · 1.48 goals / game - Lusitania Lourosa
FC Penafiel is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.05 goals / game - FC Penafiel · 1.57 goals / game - Lusitania Lourosa
FC Penafiel scores in 62% of games (13 of 21 meczów), while Lusitania Lourosa keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 meczów).
Lusitania Lourosa scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while FC Penafiel keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Penafiel
Over / Under - Lusitania Lourosa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lusitania Lourosa is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / game - FC Penafiel · 1.1 pts / game - Lusitania Lourosa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Penafiel - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 5% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lusitania Lourosa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
FC Penafiel
Lusitania Lourosa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| FC Penafiel | Liga | Lusitania Lourosa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.90 | 2.51 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 45% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 30% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 66% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from FC Penafiel's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Lusitania Lourosa. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Penafiel vs Lusitania Lourosa?
The LigaPro match finished FC Penafiel 2:0 Lusitania Lourosa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Penafiel vs Lusitania Lourosa?
FC Penafiel score 0.86 goals per game on average and Lusitania Lourosa 1.48. The LigaPro average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 38% of FC Penafiel's matches and 71% of Lusitania Lourosa's.
What form are FC Penafiel and Lusitania Lourosa in?
Over the last 5 games FC Penafiel have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Lusitania Lourosa 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Penafiel vs Lusitania Lourosa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FC Penafiel vs Lusitania Lourosa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.