FC Penafiel vs Paços de Ferreira: match statistics
FC Penafiel presents decidedly better home form with a 43% win rate and an impressive 71% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts hold a positive goal difference (+2) in home matches, whereas Paços de Ferreira records a disastrous -7 goal difference on the road. The visitors have won just 13% of their away games and failed to score in 63% of matches, which poses a huge problem against Penafiel's solid defense. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.40 vs 0.95), and general form over the last five matches is comparable, though Penafiel boasts a better points record (1.2 vs 1.0 PPG). All these factors point to a probable victory for the hosts, although their low scoring efficiency (0.71 goals/match at home) suggests a low-scoring win or a draw remains a viable option.
FC Penafiel vs Paços de Ferreira: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
FC Penafiel played against Paços de Ferreira in LigaPro (Portugal). The game was played on January 4, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
FC Penafiel has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Paços de Ferreira has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
FC Penafiel scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.00. Paços de Ferreira scores 1.00 and allows 1.44. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of FC Penafiel's games and 50% of Paços de Ferreira's. The Over 2.5 rates are 31% and 50%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
FC Penafiel has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.25 per game. FC Penafiel takes 11.6 shots per game, while Paços de Ferreira takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
FC Penafiel leads at halftime in 6% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Paços de Ferreira leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
FC Penafiel's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Paços de Ferreira, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
LigaPro games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
FC Penafiel presents decidedly better home form with a 43% win rate and an impressive 71% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts hold a positive goal difference (+2) in home matches, whereas Paços de Ferreira records a disastrous -7 goal difference on the road. The visitors have won just 13% of their away games and failed to score in 63% of matches, which poses a huge problem against Penafiel's solid defense. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.40 vs 0.95), and general form over the last five matches is comparable, though Penafiel boasts a better points record (1.2 vs 1.0 PPG). All these factors point to a probable victory for the hosts, although their low scoring efficiency (0.71 goals/match at home) suggests a low-scoring win or a draw remains a viable option.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| FC Penafiel | Paços de Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
FC Penafiel is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - FC Penafiel · 1 pts / game - Paços de Ferreira
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paços de Ferreira is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
0.94 goals / game - FC Penafiel · 1 goals / game - Paços de Ferreira
FC Penafiel is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - FC Penafiel · 1.44 goals / game - Paços de Ferreira
FC Penafiel scores in 63% of games (10 of 16 meczów), while Paços de Ferreira keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
Paços de Ferreira scores in 56% of games (9 of 16 meczów), while FC Penafiel keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Penafiel
Over / Under - Paços de Ferreira
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paços de Ferreira is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / game - FC Penafiel · 1.06 pts / game - Paços de Ferreira
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Penafiel - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Paços de Ferreira - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 19%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
FC Penafiel
Paços de Ferreira
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| FC Penafiel | Liga | Paços de Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.94 | 2.45 | • 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 41% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 31% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 68% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 76% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Penafiel vs Paços de Ferreira?
The LigaPro match finished FC Penafiel 1:2 Paços de Ferreira. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Penafiel vs Paços de Ferreira?
FC Penafiel score 0.94 goals per game on average and Paços de Ferreira 1.00. The LigaPro average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 38% of FC Penafiel's matches and 50% of Paços de Ferreira's.
What form are FC Penafiel and Paços de Ferreira in?
Over the last 5 games FC Penafiel have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Paços de Ferreira 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Penafiel vs Paços de Ferreira?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FC Penafiel vs Paços de Ferreira: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.