FC Penafiel vs União de Leiria: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

FC Penafiel play União de Leiria in LigaPro (Portugal). The match date is 5 December 2025 at 19:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

FC Penafiel: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. União de Leiria: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

FC Penafiel scores 1.09 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. União de Leiria scores 1.53 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: FC Penafiel 44%, União de Leiria 62%. Over 2.5: FC Penafiel 38%, União de Leiria 59%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

União de Leiria has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.33. FC Penafiel: 11.5 shots per match, União de Leiria: 12.4.

Match halves

FC Penafiel: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.71. União de Leiria: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.82.

Goals by minute

FC Penafiel: 76-90+ (14 goals). União de Leiria: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

LigaPro: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

39Possession (%)61
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
15Shots18
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
5Shots on target6
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
1.63xG2.17
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
6Corners7
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
46Dangerous attacks85
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
18Fouls8
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
3Cards1
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
1.09Goals scored / match1.53
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
1.15Goals conceded / match1.35
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
46%Average possession50%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
3.76Shots on target / match4.76
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.5Shots per match12.44
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
3.76Shots on target4.76
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
9.5%Shot conversion12.3%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
46%Possession50%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
1.33xG for1.49
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
1.59xG against1.39
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria

Shooting quality

FC Penafiel: BalancedUnião de Leiria: Balanced
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
Accuracy (shots on target)33%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

FC Penafiel is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - FC Penafiel · 0.8 pts / match - União de Leiria

FC Penafiel
LWLWL
Season result split
32% W24% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-8-15
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-5-5
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
União de Leiria
WLLLD
Season result split
38% W32% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-11-10
1.47 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-6
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

União de Leiria is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

1.09 goals / match - FC Penafiel · 1.53 goals / match - União de Leiria

FC Penafiel is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.15 goals / match - FC Penafiel · 1.35 goals / match - União de Leiria

FC Penafiel scoring profile: strong

FC Penafiel scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while União de Leiria keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

União de Leiria scoring profile: strong

União de Leiria scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while FC Penafiel keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

37Goals scored (season)52
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
39Goals conceded (season)46
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
2.24Average goals in match2.88
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
9Goals scored (last 5)7
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
9Goals conceded (last 5)10
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal76%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
29%2 goals50%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
9%3 goals18%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
3%4 goals9%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal76%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
38%2 goals47%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
12%3 goals12%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
3%4 goals0%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
União de Leiria - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 34 matches
46%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time32%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
6%BTTS in both halves12%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
12%Scored in both halves38%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
60%BTTS - last 560%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

União de Leiria is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.91 pts / match - FC Penafiel · 1.41 pts / match - União de Leiria

FC Penafiel - half-time state
12% leading56% draw32% trailing
União de Leiria - half-time state
32% leading44% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.91Points per match (1st half)1.41
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.71
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
0.97Average goals (1st half)1.26
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
56%Clean sheet before half-time47%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
71%No goal before half-time44%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)1.38
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
0.56Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
1.26Average goals (2nd half)1.62
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
56%Clean sheet after half-time50%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria
50%No goal after half-time41%
FC PenafielUnião de Leiria

FC Penafiel - second-half results

35% W32% R32% P
31
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding267%

Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

União de Leiria - second-half results

35% W32% R32% P
48
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

FC Penafiel - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
União de Leiria - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

FC Penafiel
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
1
8
16-30
10
5
31-45
4
7
46-60
6
6
61-75
14
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

União de Leiria
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
7
4
16-30
9
9
31-45
9
10
46-60
8
6
61-75
11
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+134%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

FC Penafiel

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

União de Leiria

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).

Teams vs league

FC PenafielLigaUnião de Leiria
Average goals in match 2.242.44 2.88
Both teams scored 44%46% 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%45% 59%
Clean sheets 38%32% 24%
Goal before half-time 53%64% 76%
Goal after half-time 74%75% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.16
Away goals / match
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: FC Penafiel 0 - 0 - 1 União de Leiria. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of FC Penafiel vs União de Leiria?

The LigaPro match finished FC Penafiel 1:0 União de Leiria. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before FC Penafiel vs União de Leiria?

FC Penafiel score 1.09 goals per game on average and União de Leiria 1.53. The LigaPro average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 44% of FC Penafiel's matches and 62% of União de Leiria's.

What form are FC Penafiel and União de Leiria in?

Over the last 5 games FC Penafiel have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and União de Leiria 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Penafiel vs União de Leiria?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.