FCV Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge: match statistics
FCV Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
FCV Dender EH played against Cercle Brugge in Pro League (Belgium). The game was played on April 19, 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
FCV Dender EH has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Cercle Brugge has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
FCV Dender EH scores 0.81 goals per game and allows 1.66. Cercle Brugge scores 1.38 and allows 1.53. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of FCV Dender EH's games and 63% of Cercle Brugge's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 53%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cercle Brugge has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.27 per game. FCV Dender EH takes 10.9 shots per game, while Cercle Brugge takes 14.3.
First-half and second-half trends
FCV Dender EH leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Cercle Brugge leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
FCV Dender EH's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Cercle Brugge, it is minutes 31-45+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Pro League games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cercle Brugge is the favorite for this fixture: they average 1.38 goals per away match with a shot conversion rate around 11%, whereas FCV Dender EH score only 0.81 goals at home with a 7% conversion. Defensively the visitors perform better — they concede 1.13 goals on average away compared to 1.88 conceded by the hosts at home, and Cercle’s clean sheet rate on the road is 38% versus Dender’s 19%. In terms of chance quality Cercle posts higher average xG (1.45 away vs 1.31 xG for the hosts) and more shots on target (3.94 vs 3.63), translating into 10 goals scored in the last 5 matches compared to Dender’s 5. Form metrics confirm the edge: Cercle averages 1.4 points per match over the last 5, Dender only 0.8, with both teams having conceded 9 goals in that period. Considering superior attacking efficiency, more stable away defense and higher xG, I predict an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes with a 72% vs 28% probability because FCV Dender have a home BTTS of 75% and concede 1.94 goals per game with only 13% clean sheets, promoting goal exchanges. Cercle Brugge have a season BTTS of 50% and 38% clean sheets away, but in their last 5 matches BTTS is 80%, they score 2.0 goals on average (recent xG_for 1.91) and concede 1.8 goals on average, so recent form points to goals from both sides. Additionally, Dender generate higher season xG_for 1.74 vs 1.45, more shots 15.63 vs 12.94 and more shots on target 5.31 vs 3.94, confirming the hosts’ ability to create chances. Considering the league BTTS rate of 54% and the combination of 75% (Dender) and 80% (Cercle in last 5), the ‘Yes’ scenario is statistically stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I expect a total around 3.17 goals: 1.68 for FCV Dender EH (attacking xG 1.74 vs Cercle’s defensive xG conceded 1.62) and 1.49 for Cercle Brugge (attacking xG 1.45 vs hosts’ defensive xG conceded 1.52). Seasonally Dender have 94% of matches over 1.5 goals, Cercle 81%, and Dender matches have seen goals from both sides in 75% of cases (Cercle 50%), which increases the likelihood of scoring. A Poisson model with mean 3.17 yields roughly 82% chance for Over 1.5, about 61% for Over 2.5 and about 39% for Over 3.5; these results align with seasonal rates (Over 2.5: Dender 69% vs Cercle 38%, and in the last 5 matches the away side has 100% Over 2.5). Therefore the strongest and safest signal is a bet on Over 1.5 (recommended), Over 2.5 is a moderate option, and Over 3.5 is too risky.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is the away team leading at half-time and winning the match: the visitors led at the break in 44% of their season matches and score an average of 1.00 goals in the first half versus 0.69 for the home team. Final- result statistics also favor Cercle: the visitors average 1.5 points per match and have a 38% win rate this season, while the hosts average 0.69 p.p.m. and only 13% wins. Although the home side have a higher xG (1.74 versus 1.45), they concede significantly more goals (1.94 vs 1.13 per match), and the visitors keep a clean sheet in 38% of games, which reduces the likelihood of the hosts maintaining a lead. Additionally, in the last 5 matches the visitors led at half-time in 60% of games versus 20% for the hosts, therefore I assign the highest weight (34%) to the 2/2 combination, with smaller weights reserved for draws and potential home turnarounds after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| FCV Dender EH | Cercle Brugge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cercle Brugge is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - FCV Dender EH · 1.4 pts / game - Cercle Brugge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cercle Brugge is 70% better for: goals scored per game.
0.81 goals / game - FCV Dender EH · 1.38 goals / game - Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.66 goals / game - FCV Dender EH · 1.53 goals / game - Cercle Brugge
FCV Dender EH scores in 63% of games (20 of 32 meczów), while Cercle Brugge keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 meczów).
Cercle Brugge scores in 78% of games (25 of 32 meczów), while FCV Dender EH keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FCV Dender EH
Over / Under - Cercle Brugge
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cercle Brugge is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - FCV Dender EH · 1.25 pts / game - Cercle Brugge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FCV Dender EH - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 13%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cercle Brugge - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 25%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
FCV Dender EH
Cercle Brugge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| FCV Dender EH | Liga | Cercle Brugge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.47 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 70% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from FCV Dender EH's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Cercle Brugge. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of FCV Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge?
The Pro League match finished FCV Dender EH 1:4 Cercle Brugge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FCV Dender EH and Cercle Brugge?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches FCV Dender EH won 0, Cercle Brugge won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FCV Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge?
FCV Dender EH score 0.81 goals per game on average and Cercle Brugge 1.38. The Pro League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 56% of FCV Dender EH's matches and 63% of Cercle Brugge's.
What form are FCV Dender EH and Cercle Brugge in?
Over the last 5 games FCV Dender EH have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Cercle Brugge 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FCV Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FCV Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.