Fenerbahçe vs İstanbul Başakşehir: match statistics
Fenerbahçe vs İstanbul Başakşehir: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fenerbahçe play İstanbul Başakşehir in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Fenerbahçe: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. İstanbul Başakşehir: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fenerbahçe scores 2.26 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. İstanbul Başakşehir scores 1.71 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fenerbahçe 62%, İstanbul Başakşehir 56%. Over 2.5: Fenerbahçe 65%, İstanbul Başakşehir 62%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Fenerbahçe has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.50. Fenerbahçe: 17.2 shots per match, İstanbul Başakşehir: 13.5.
Match halves
Fenerbahçe: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.32. İstanbul Başakşehir: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Fenerbahçe: 76-90+ (20 goals). İstanbul Başakşehir: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Fenerbahçe are favorites thanks to a clear home offensive edge: they average 2.27 goals per match and 2.16 xG at home versus 1.47 goals and 1.52 xG away for İstanbul Başakşehir. The hosts generate significantly more chances — 19.53 shots and 6.87 on target per match with 63% possession, while the visitors record 13.87 shots, 4.53 on target and 55% possession. Conversely, Başakşehir show a solid defensive trend: only 1 goal conceded in the last 5 matches, an average of 0.93 goals conceded away and 40% clean sheets, whereas Fenerbahçe have conceded 6 goals in their last 5 outings and have a 27% clean sheet rate at home. Additionally, the hosts are unbeaten at home this season (67% home wins, 0% home losses) and have 0% matches without scoring, which reinforces their advantage despite the visitors having a better recent points average in the last 5 matches (1.8 vs 1.4). Based on this, I forecast a Fenerbahçe win, approximate probabilities: 60% home, 25% draw and 15% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fenerbahçe | İstanbul Başakşehir | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
İstanbul Başakşehir is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Fenerbahçe · 2 pts / match - İstanbul Başakşehir
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fenerbahçe is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
2.26 goals / match - Fenerbahçe · 1.71 goals / match - İstanbul Başakşehir
İstanbul Başakşehir is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Fenerbahçe · 1.03 goals / match - İstanbul Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while İstanbul Başakşehir keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
İstanbul Başakşehir scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Fenerbahçe keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Fenerbahçe
Over / Under — İstanbul Başakşehir
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
İstanbul Başakşehir is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Fenerbahçe · 1.71 pts / match - İstanbul Başakşehir
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fenerbahçe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
İstanbul Başakşehir - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fenerbahçe
İstanbul Başakşehir
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Fenerbahçe | Liga | İstanbul Başakşehir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.35 | 2.65 | • 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 55% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 53% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 68% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fenerbahçe 0 - 1 - 0 İstanbul Başakşehir. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fenerbahçe vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
The Süper Lig match finished Fenerbahçe 3:1 İstanbul Başakşehir. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fenerbahçe vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
Fenerbahçe score 2.26 goals per game on average and İstanbul Başakşehir 1.71. The Süper Lig average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Fenerbahçe's matches and 56% of İstanbul Başakşehir's.
What form are Fenerbahçe and İstanbul Başakşehir in?
Over the last 5 games Fenerbahçe have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and İstanbul Başakşehir 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fenerbahçe vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.