Ferro Carril Oeste vs Estudiantes Caseros: match statistics
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Estudiantes Caseros: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ferro Carril Oeste play Estudiantes Caseros in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ferro Carril Oeste: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Estudiantes Caseros: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ferro Carril Oeste scores 1.15 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. Estudiantes Caseros scores 0.90 and concedes 0.80. League average: 1.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ferro Carril Oeste 40%, Estudiantes Caseros 30%. Over 2.5: Ferro Carril Oeste 30%, Estudiantes Caseros 25%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Ferro Carril Oeste has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.12. Ferro Carril Oeste: 13.1 shots per match, Estudiantes Caseros: 9.1.
Match halves
Ferro Carril Oeste: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85. Estudiantes Caseros: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Ferro Carril Oeste: 76-90+ (8 goals). Estudiantes Caseros: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Ferro Carril Oeste holds a clear advantage in chance creation: at home they average 64% possession, 16 shots and 4 on target per match with an average xG of 1.98, compared to Estudiantes' 46% possession, 8 shots, 3 on target and xG 1.08. Despite that, the hosts score only 0.5 goals per home match with an xG of 1.98, indicating poor finishing (difference of 1.48 xG vs goals), while the visitors score 0.75 goals away and have a higher conversion rate (9 vs 3). Defensively Estudiantes looks marginally better by the numbers: they concede 1.25 goals away versus Ferro’s 1.5 and have a lower average xG against (0.75 vs 0.95). Recent form over the last 5 matches is similar on points (Estudiantes 1.2 points per game vs Ferro 1.0), but the visitors failed to score in 75% of away games, whereas the hosts failed to score in 50% of home matches. Considering the significant advantage in possession, shots and xG for the hosts, I expect a Ferro win, although their low finishing makes a draw a realistic outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ferro Carril Oeste | Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ferro Carril Oeste is 36% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Ferro Carril Oeste · 2.2 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ferro Carril Oeste is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Ferro Carril Oeste · 0.9 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Ferro Carril Oeste is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.7 goals / match - Ferro Carril Oeste · 0.8 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Ferro Carril Oeste scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Estudiantes Caseros keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Estudiantes Caseros scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Ferro Carril Oeste keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ferro Carril Oeste
Over / Under — Estudiantes Caseros
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Estudiantes Caseros is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Ferro Carril Oeste · 1.25 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ferro Carril Oeste - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Estudiantes Caseros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ferro Carril Oeste
Estudiantes Caseros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Ferro Carril Oeste | Liga | Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.85 | 1.90 | ▼ 1.70 |
| Both teams scored | • 40% | 40% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 30% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Estudiantes Caseros?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Ferro Carril Oeste 0:1 Estudiantes Caseros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ferro Carril Oeste vs Estudiantes Caseros?
Ferro Carril Oeste score 1.15 goals per game on average and Estudiantes Caseros 0.90. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Ferro Carril Oeste's matches and 30% of Estudiantes Caseros's.
What form are Ferro Carril Oeste and Estudiantes Caseros in?
Over the last 5 games Ferro Carril Oeste have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Estudiantes Caseros 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Estudiantes Caseros?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Estudiantes Caseros: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.