Fiorentina vs Cagliari: match statistics
Fiorentina displays better form in the last five matches with a record of 1.6 points per match compared to Cagliari's 1.4. The hosts show a significant advantage in xG statistics at their own stadium (1.7 vs 1.12 for the visitors away), suggesting higher quality in chance creation. Cagliari struggles severely with keeping clean sheets on the road (only 9% CS%) and has a high rate of goals conceded (average 1.55 per match). In home matches, Fiorentina averages 16.5 shots with 54% possession, which should translate into goals given the visitors' weak defense. A draw remains a realistic option due to the high number of draws for both teams this season, but xG statistics and form speak in favor of the hosts. Cagliari scores points sporadically away (18% win rate), making their victory the least likely scenario.
Fiorentina vs Cagliari: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fiorentina played against Cagliari in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Fiorentina has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Cagliari has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Fiorentina scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 1.52. Cagliari scores 1.05 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 2.37 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Fiorentina's games and 52% of Cagliari's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 48%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fiorentina has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.09 per game. Fiorentina takes 13.7 shots per game, while Cagliari takes 10.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Fiorentina leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Cagliari leads at halftime in 10% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fiorentina's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Cagliari, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.37 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fiorentina displays better form in the last five matches with a record of 1.6 points per match compared to Cagliari's 1.4. The hosts show a significant advantage in xG statistics at their own stadium (1.7 vs 1.12 for the visitors away), suggesting higher quality in chance creation. Cagliari struggles severely with keeping clean sheets on the road (only 9% CS%) and has a high rate of goals conceded (average 1.55 per match). In home matches, Fiorentina averages 16.5 shots with 54% possession, which should translate into goals given the visitors' weak defense. A draw remains a realistic option due to the high number of draws for both teams this season, but xG statistics and form speak in favor of the hosts. Cagliari scores points sporadically away (18% win rate), making their victory the least likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fiorentina | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fiorentina is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Fiorentina · 1.4 pts / game - Cagliari
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fiorentina is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
1.1 goals / game - Fiorentina · 1.05 goals / game - Cagliari
Cagliari is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.52 goals / game - Fiorentina · 1.43 goals / game - Cagliari
Fiorentina scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
Cagliari scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fiorentina
Over / Under - Cagliari
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fiorentina is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / game - Fiorentina · 0.81 pts / game - Cagliari
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fiorentina - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cagliari - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fiorentina
Cagliari
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fiorentina | Liga | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.62 | 2.37 | ▲ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 43% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 32% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 64% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Fiorentina's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Cagliari. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
The Serie A match finished Fiorentina 1:2 Cagliari. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
Fiorentina score 1.10 goals per game on average and Cagliari 1.05. The Serie A average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Fiorentina's matches and 52% of Cagliari's.
What form are Fiorentina and Cagliari in?
Over the last 5 games Fiorentina have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cagliari 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
The statistical background for Fiorentina vs Cagliari — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.