Fiorentina vs Cremonese: match statistics
Fiorentina presents very poor home form with just 13% wins and a staggering 63% loss rate at their own stadium, placing them last (20th) in the home table. Cremonese shows significantly better stability in away matches with a record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses, ranking 12th in the away table. A key factor is Fiorentina's advantage in possession (52% vs 45%) and better xG figures (1.54 vs 0.95), yet their form in the last 5 home games is catastrophic. Cremonese might exploit the hosts' struggles, but their difficulty scoring away (44% of matches without a goal) suggests a low probability of a certain victory. Considering all statistics, a draw appears the most likely scenario, though Fiorentina holds a slight edge due to home advantage and superior offensive parameters.
Fiorentina vs Cremonese: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fiorentina played against Cremonese in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on January 4, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Fiorentina has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Cremonese has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Fiorentina scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.65. Cremonese scores 1.06 and allows 1.18. Games in this league average 2.31 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Fiorentina's games and 53% of Cremonese's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 35%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fiorentina has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 0.99 per game. Fiorentina takes 13.3 shots per game, while Cremonese takes 8.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Fiorentina leads at halftime in 12% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Cremonese leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fiorentina's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Cremonese, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.31 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fiorentina presents very poor home form with just 13% wins and a staggering 63% loss rate at their own stadium, placing them last (20th) in the home table. Cremonese shows significantly better stability in away matches with a record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses, ranking 12th in the away table. A key factor is Fiorentina's advantage in possession (52% vs 45%) and better xG figures (1.54 vs 0.95), yet their form in the last 5 home games is catastrophic. Cremonese might exploit the hosts' struggles, but their difficulty scoring away (44% of matches without a goal) suggests a low probability of a certain victory. Considering all statistics, a draw appears the most likely scenario, though Fiorentina holds a slight edge due to home advantage and superior offensive parameters.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fiorentina | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cremonese is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Fiorentina · 1.4 pts / game - Cremonese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cremonese is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Fiorentina · 1.06 goals / game - Cremonese
Cremonese is 40% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.65 goals / game - Fiorentina · 1.18 goals / game - Cremonese
Fiorentina scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while Cremonese keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).
Cremonese scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fiorentina
Over / Under - Cremonese
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cremonese is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / game - Fiorentina · 1.12 pts / game - Cremonese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fiorentina - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 6%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cremonese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fiorentina
Cremonese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fiorentina | Liga | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.65 | 2.31 | • 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 47% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 42% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 32% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 64% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Fiorentina vs Cremonese?
The Serie A match finished Fiorentina 1:0 Cremonese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fiorentina vs Cremonese?
Fiorentina score 1.00 goals per game on average and Cremonese 1.06. The Serie A average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Fiorentina's matches and 53% of Cremonese's.
What form are Fiorentina and Cremonese in?
Over the last 5 games Fiorentina have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Cremonese 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fiorentina vs Cremonese?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.