Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Flamengo played against Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on May 3, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Flamengo has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Vasco da Gama has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Flamengo scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.83. Vasco da Gama scores 1.38 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Flamengo's games and 85% of Vasco da Gama's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 62%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Vasco da Gama has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.53 per game. Flamengo takes 13.8 shots per game, while Vasco da Gama takes 17.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Flamengo leads at halftime in 58% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Vasco da Gama leads at halftime in 15% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Flamengo's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Vasco da Gama, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Flamengo has a clear home advantage: they score 2.2 goals and concede only 0.4 goals per match at home, with 60% clean sheets and an 80% home win rate. Vasco away averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per match, has not yet recorded an away win (0% wins) and has no clean sheets on the road. In quality of chances Flamengo generates 1.84 xG at home versus 1.57 xG for Vasco away, and they convert at 13% with an average of 5.4 shots on target per match compared to Vasco’s 7% conversion and 4.33 shots on target. Form confirms the hosts’ superiority — Flamengo scored 13 goals in the last 5 matches and are on a run of 4 wins and 1 draw (2.6 points per match), while Vasco scored 8 goals in their last 5 and have a record of 3 wins and 2 losses (1.8 points per match). Given superior efficiency, better defense and Vasco’s lack of away wins, I assess probabilities as 75% home win, 15% draw and 10% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have very high season BTTS rates: Flamengo 86% and Vasco 83%, averaging around 84.5%, which is a strong signal in favor of BTTS - Yes. The quality of chances analysis confirms this: Flamengo generates 2.14 xG at home with 19.43 shots and 6.29 on target, while Vasco away posts 1.57 xG with 15.83 shots and 4.33 on target; simultaneously Vasco concedes 1.41 xG on average and Flamengo 1.18 xG, meaning both teams’ attacking output exceeds the opponent’s defensive allowance. Over the season Flamengo scores 1.57 and concedes 1.29, and Vasco scores 1.17 and concedes 1.67, highlighting Vasco’s greater susceptibility to goals conceded (1.67). The last 5 matches paint a mixed picture (BTTS 60% for Flamengo vs 40% for Vasco, average goals 2.6 and 1.6 and goals conceded 0.6 and 0.8), so short-term certainty drops, but the dominance of season metrics and xG favors BTTS - Yes, hence the rating 78% vs 22%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated opponents' xG suggest 1.78 expected goals for Flamengo (xG_for 2.14 vs xG_against Vasco 1.41) and 1.38 for Vasco (xG_for 1.57 vs xG_against Flamengo 1.18), totaling 3.16. Both teams have a high share of matches with BTTS: Flamengo 86% and Vasco 83%, and over 1.5 occurred for them in the season in 86% and 83% of games, giving a strong signal for Over 1.5. Flamengo averages 1.57 goals per match this season (last 5: 2.6) and records 6.29 shots on target versus Vasco's 4.33, increasing the likelihood of further goals. Over 2.5 has moderate support (Flamengo 71%, Vasco 50%, last 5: 60%), while Over 3.5 has been rare (14% and 17%), therefore the safest line to play is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Flamengo have a clear advantage in chance creation: xG 2.14 versus 1.57 for Vasco and on average 6.29 shots on target versus 4.33, translating into more opportunities. In their last five matches Flamengo led at the break in 4 of 5 games (80%) and averaged 1.6 goals by half-time, while Vasco led at the break in 2 of 5 (40%) and averaged 0.4 goals by half-time. After the break the hosts are even more dangerous: Flamengo score on average 1.29 goals in the second half versus 0.67 for Vasco, and in minutes 61–75 they scored 4 goals versus 0 for their opponents, so they can produce a turnaround after the break. Vasco have 0% wins this season and average 0.5 points per match, therefore an away win is unlikely, although the high proportions of both teams scoring (BTTS 86% and 83%) suggest the game will be high-scoring. Accordingly the strongest signal is Flamengo leading at half-time and winning Full-Time (1/1), and as an alternative I consider a half-time draw and Flamengo to win Full-Time (X/1) due to their xG advantage and second-half effectiveness.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Flamengo | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Flamengo is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Flamengo · 1 pts / game - Vasco da Gama
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flamengo is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Flamengo · 1.38 goals / game - Vasco da Gama
Flamengo is 76% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.83 goals / game - Flamengo · 1.46 goals / game - Vasco da Gama
Flamengo scores in 92% of games (11 of 12 meczów), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 13 meczów).
Vasco da Gama scores in 85% of games (11 of 13 meczów), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Flamengo
Over / Under - Vasco da Gama
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Flamengo is 135% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Flamengo · 0.85 pts / game - Vasco da Gama
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Flamengo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 58% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Vasco da Gama - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Flamengo
Vasco da Gama
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Flamengo | Liga | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.83 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 85% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 48% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Flamengo's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Vasco da Gama. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama?
The Serie A match finished Flamengo 2:2 Vasco da Gama. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Vasco da Gama?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 0, Vasco da Gama won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama?
Flamengo score 2.00 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.38. The Serie A average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Flamengo's matches and 85% of Vasco da Gama's.
What form are Flamengo and Vasco da Gama in?
Over the last 5 games Flamengo have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.