Fleetwood Town vs Barrow: match statistics
Fleetwood Town shows solid home form with a 40% win rate and only 7% of their home matches ending without a goal scored. The hosts hold a positive home goal difference (+1) and average 1.6 goals per game, which outperforms Barrow's away record (1.25 goals). Barrow is in a difficult situation, with a 56% loss rate on the road, poor recent form across their last five matches (0.6 points per game), and a negative goal difference (-5). The expected goals (xG) difference is minimal, but Fleetwood holds the advantage in possession (49% vs 45%) and has better shooting accuracy. Considering the home advantage, Barrow's poor away form, and the head-to-head statistics, a Fleetwood Town victory is the most likely scenario, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the relatively balanced offensive efficiency of both teams.
Fleetwood Town vs Barrow: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fleetwood Town played against Barrow in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Fleetwood Town has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Barrow has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Fleetwood Town scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.29. Barrow scores 1.00 and allows 1.52. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Fleetwood Town's games and 58% of Barrow's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 61%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fleetwood Town has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.26 per game. Fleetwood Town takes 12.1 shots per game, while Barrow takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Fleetwood Town leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. Barrow leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fleetwood Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Barrow, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fleetwood Town shows solid home form with a 40% win rate and only 7% of their home matches ending without a goal scored. The hosts hold a positive home goal difference (+1) and average 1.6 goals per game, which outperforms Barrow's away record (1.25 goals). Barrow is in a difficult situation, with a 56% loss rate on the road, poor recent form across their last five matches (0.6 points per game), and a negative goal difference (-5). The expected goals (xG) difference is minimal, but Fleetwood holds the advantage in possession (49% vs 45%) and has better shooting accuracy. Considering the home advantage, Barrow's poor away form, and the head-to-head statistics, a Fleetwood Town victory is the most likely scenario, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the relatively balanced offensive efficiency of both teams.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fleetwood Town | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fleetwood Town is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Fleetwood Town · 0.6 pts / game - Barrow
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fleetwood Town is 29% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Fleetwood Town · 1 goals / game - Barrow
Fleetwood Town is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Fleetwood Town · 1.52 goals / game - Barrow
Fleetwood Town scores in 84% of games (26 of 31 meczów), while Barrow keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 meczów).
Barrow scores in 68% of games (21 of 31 meczów), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fleetwood Town
Over / Under - Barrow
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fleetwood Town is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / game - Fleetwood Town · 1.03 pts / game - Barrow
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fleetwood Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Barrow - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fleetwood Town
Barrow
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Fleetwood Town | Liga | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.58 | 2.56 | • 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 26% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Fleetwood Town's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Barrow. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fleetwood Town vs Barrow?
The EFL League Two match finished Fleetwood Town 3:2 Barrow. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fleetwood Town vs Barrow?
Fleetwood Town score 1.29 goals per game on average and Barrow 1.00. The EFL League Two average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Fleetwood Town's matches and 58% of Barrow's.
What form are Fleetwood Town and Barrow in?
Over the last 5 games Fleetwood Town have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Barrow 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fleetwood Town vs Barrow?
The statistical background for Fleetwood Town vs Barrow — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.