Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town: match statistics
Fleetwood Town displays solid home form with a 55% win rate and an impressive +5 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.91 goals per game on home soil with a mere 9% loss rate, making them clear favorites. Grimsby Town struggles on the road, recording only a 27% win rate and a negative -2 goal difference, additionally failing to score in 18% of matches. Recent form also favors the hosts, with Fleetwood averaging 1.6 points per game in their last five outings compared to Grimsby's 1.0. While the visitors' 56% possession advantage could stifle the game, creating a tangible possibility of a draw, Fleetwood's home statistics identify a home win as the most likely outcome.
Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fleetwood Town played against Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on January 1, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Fleetwood Town has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Grimsby Town has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Fleetwood Town scores 1.39 goals per game and allows 1.26. Grimsby Town scores 1.48 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Fleetwood Town's games and 52% of Grimsby Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 48%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Grimsby Town has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.42 per game. Fleetwood Town takes 12.4 shots per game, while Grimsby Town takes 14.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Fleetwood Town leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Grimsby Town leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fleetwood Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Grimsby Town, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fleetwood Town displays solid home form with a 55% win rate and an impressive +5 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.91 goals per game on home soil with a mere 9% loss rate, making them clear favorites. Grimsby Town struggles on the road, recording only a 27% win rate and a negative -2 goal difference, additionally failing to score in 18% of matches. Recent form also favors the hosts, with Fleetwood averaging 1.6 points per game in their last five outings compared to Grimsby's 1.0. While the visitors' 56% possession advantage could stifle the game, creating a tangible possibility of a draw, Fleetwood's home statistics identify a home win as the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fleetwood Town | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fleetwood Town is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Fleetwood Town · 1 pts / game - Grimsby Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.39 goals / game - Fleetwood Town · 1.48 goals / game - Grimsby Town
Fleetwood Town scores in 83% of games (19 of 23 meczów), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
Grimsby Town scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fleetwood Town
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grimsby Town is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - Fleetwood Town · 1.39 pts / game - Grimsby Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fleetwood Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fleetwood Town
Grimsby Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Fleetwood Town | Liga | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.65 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 47% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Fleetwood Town 0:1 Grimsby Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town?
Fleetwood Town score 1.39 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.48. The EFL League Two average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Fleetwood Town's matches and 52% of Grimsby Town's.
What form are Fleetwood Town and Grimsby Town in?
Over the last 5 games Fleetwood Town have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Grimsby Town 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.