Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueGround Cae-y-CastellData current as of October 18, 2026

Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay: match statistics

Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Flint Town United played against Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on August 31, 2026. Venue: Ground Cae-y-Castell. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Flint Town United has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Connah's Quay has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Flint Town United scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.80. Connah's Quay scores 3.00 and allows 0.60. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Flint Town United's games and 40% of Connah's Quay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 80%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Connah's Quay has the higher season xG average, 1.98 to 1.20 per game. Flint Town United takes 9.6 shots per game, while Connah's Quay takes 16.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Flint Town United leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.20 goals per game after halftime. Connah's Quay leads at halftime in 100% and scores 1.20 after halftime.

When the teams score

Flint Town United's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Connah's Quay, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Connah's Quay sit 4th, while Flint Town United are 13th, and the season record clearly favors the visitors: 3 wins and 12 goals scored compared with 4 defeats for the hosts and only 4 goals scored. Away from home, Connah's Quay have won both of their matches so far, averaging 2.5 goals scored and conceding just 0.5, whereas Flint have lost both home fixtures, conceding an average of 2 goals. The visitors create more high-quality chances, as confirmed by an xG of 1.89 compared with the hosts' 1.27, while also limiting opponents to an xG of just 0.78 against Flint Town United's 1.53. The advantage is also evident in attacking intensity: Connah's Quay average 16 shots and 6.5 on target away from home, while Flint record 11 attempts and 3 on target. The hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in any home match and have failed to score in 50% of those fixtures, making an away win the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The BTTS scenario is primarily supported by current form: in their last 5 matches, both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of games. Flint Town United averaged 1.2 goals scored during this period but conceded as many as 2.0, while Connah's Quay scored 2.8 goals per match. The hosts allowed opponents an xG of 1.58, while the visitors created an average of 1.93 xG, significantly increasing the likelihood of them scoring. Flint’s recent xG is lower at 1.26, but Connah's Quay concede an average of 1.2 goals and allow opponents 1.11 xG, giving the hosts a realistic chance of finding the net as well. Neither side has failed to score in any of their matches, although 50% clean sheets for both teams reduce confidence and keep the BTTS - Yes prediction at a moderate level.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The signal for at least two goals is strong, as both teams have gone over the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their league matches so far. In their last five games, Flint Town United matches produced an average of 3.2 goals, while Connah's Quay matches averaged 4.0 goals, with 60% and 80% respectively finishing Over 2.5 goals. Flint Town United conceded an average of 2.0 goals during this period, while Connah's Quay scored 2.8, clearly strengthening the prediction of an away goal. The quality of chances created also points towards an open game: Connah's Quay's average xG is 1.93, while Flint Town United allowed chances worth 1.58 xG. The Over 1.5 line offers the greatest edge, as it requires only two goals to be covered, while the data supports a forecast of around 3.15 total goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Connah's Quay are showing significantly better current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Flint Town United have failed to win any and have lost 4 of their 5 games. Over this period, the visitors averaged 2.8 goals scored per match and conceded 1.2, whereas the hosts scored just 1.2 and conceded as many as 2.0. Before half-time, Connah's Quay were leading in 80% of their last five appearances and averaged 1.4 goals, compared with Flint's 60% lead rate and 1.0 goal. After the break, the hosts scored just 0.2 goals per match in their last five games, while the visitors averaged 1.4, reinforcing the scenario of Connah's Quay leading at the break and maintaining their victory through full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

53Possession (%)47
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
-1Shots-1
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
-1Shots on target-1
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
0xG0
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
8Corners5
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
0Dangerous attacks0
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
23Fouls7
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
4Cards2
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
1Goals scored / game3
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
1.8Goals allowed / game0.6
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
48%Average possession57%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
3.4Shots on target / game7
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.6Shots per game16.4
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
3.4Shots on target7
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
10.4%Shot conversion18.3%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
48%Possession57%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
1.2xG for1.98
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
1.66xG against0.87
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Shooting quality

Flint Town United: BalancedConnah's Quay: Dominant
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
Accuracy (shots on target)35%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Connah's Quay is 1100% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / game - Flint Town United · 2.4 pts / game - Connah's Quay

Flint Town United
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W20% D80% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 at home
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Connah's Quay
LWWWW
Season result split
80% W0% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 away
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 0.87BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Connah's Quay is 200% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Flint Town United · 3 goals / game - Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay is 200% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.8 goals / game - Flint Town United · 0.6 goals / game - Connah's Quay

Flint Town United scoring profile: mixed

Flint Town United scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 games), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 games).

Connah's Quay scoring profile: very strong

Connah's Quay scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Flint Town United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 games).

5Goals scored (season)15
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
9Goals conceded (season)3
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
2.8Average goals per game3.6
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
5Goals scored (last 5)15
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
9Goals conceded (last 5)3
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal100%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
40%2 goals80%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
0%3 goals60%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
0%4 goals20%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal40%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
40%2 goals20%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
40%3 goals0%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
0%4 goals0%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time20%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
0%Scored in both halves60%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS40%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
60%BTTS - last 540%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
40%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Connah's Quay is 114% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / game - Flint Town United · 3 pts / game - Connah's Quay

Flint Town United - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing
Connah's Quay - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per game (1st half)3
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
0.8Goals scored (1st half)1.8
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
1.6Average goals (1st half)2
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
20%Clean sheet before half-time80%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
60%No goal before half-time0%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

After half-time (2nd half)

0.8Points per game (2nd half)2
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
0.2Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
40%Clean sheet after half-time80%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
80%No goal after half-time40%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Flint Town United - second-half results

20% W20% D60% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Connah's Quay - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
15
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at halftime in 100% of games and wins 80%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Flint Town United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.80.2
Goals allowed / game0.81.0
Average goals per game1.61.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Connah's Quay - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game3.002.00
Goals scored / game1.81.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game2.01.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+8+4
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Flint Town United
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Connah's Quay
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
4
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.20
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 2.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Flint Town United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
129%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 40% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Connah's Quay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
214%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
35%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Flint Town UnitedLigaConnah's Quay
Average goals per game▼ 2.803.10▲ 3.60
Both teams scored▲ 60%45%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%57%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▼ 0%29%▲ 60%
Goal before half-time• 80%80%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time• 80%80%• 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per game
45%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.70
Home goals / game
1.40
Away goals / game
+21%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Flint Town UnitedYellow cardLassana Nalatche Mendes
  2. Connah's QuayGoalCallum West
  3. Flint Town UnitedYellow cardBen Hughes
  4. Connah's QuayGoalCallum West
  5. Connah's QuaySubstitutionOn: Frankie DeaneOff: Iwan Murray
  6. Flint Town UnitedGoalHarry Dean

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Flint Town United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Connah's Quay. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Flint Town United FC
0 : 2
Connah's Quay Nomads FC
Connah's Quay Nomads FC
3 : 2
Flint Town United FC

FAQ

What was the result of Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Flint Town United 1:2 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Flint Town United and Connah's Quay?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Flint Town United won 0, Connah's Quay won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay?

Flint Town United score 1.00 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 3.00. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Flint Town United's matches and 40% of Connah's Quay's.

What form are Flint Town United and Connah's Quay in?

Over the last 5 games Flint Town United have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Connah's Quay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay?

The statistical background for Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.