Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
Fluminense demonstrates impressive home form with a 100% win rate in home matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 1. The hosts boast significantly better offensive statistics in home games (xG 1.76) and defensive statistics (xG Against 0.79) compared to Atlético Mineiro's away capabilities. The visitors have failed to win any of their three away matches this season, displaying poor scoring efficiency (0.33 goals per game) and a high loss rate (100% losses). The disparity in possession (59% vs 52%), shots on target (7 vs 2.33), and chance conversion (14% vs 3%) clearly favors the hosts. Fluminense's positive goal difference (+3) in home matches contrasted with Atlético's negative away goal difference (-4) further confirms the home advantage.
Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fluminense played against Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Fluminense has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Atlético Mineiro has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Fluminense scores 1.71 goals per game and allows 1.29. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.14 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Fluminense's games and 43% of Atlético Mineiro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 43%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fluminense has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.26 per game. Fluminense takes 14.9 shots per game, while Atlético Mineiro takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Fluminense leads at halftime in 57% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Mineiro leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fluminense's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Atlético Mineiro, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fluminense demonstrates impressive home form with a 100% win rate in home matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 1. The hosts boast significantly better offensive statistics in home games (xG 1.76) and defensive statistics (xG Against 0.79) compared to Atlético Mineiro's away capabilities. The visitors have failed to win any of their three away matches this season, displaying poor scoring efficiency (0.33 goals per game) and a high loss rate (100% losses). The disparity in possession (59% vs 52%), shots on target (7 vs 2.33), and chance conversion (14% vs 3%) clearly favors the hosts. Fluminense's positive goal difference (+3) in home matches contrasted with Atlético's negative away goal difference (-4) further confirms the home advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fluminense | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fluminense is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Fluminense · 1.4 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fluminense is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1.71 goals / game - Fluminense · 1.14 goals / game - Atlético Mineiro
Fluminense is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Fluminense · 1.43 goals / game - Atlético Mineiro
Fluminense scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 meczów), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 meczów).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 meczów), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fluminense
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fluminense is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Fluminense · 1 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fluminense
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fluminense | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.70 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 48% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 21% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Fluminense's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Atlético Mineiro. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro?
The Serie A match finished Fluminense 1:0 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Atlético Mineiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 1, Atlético Mineiro won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro?
Fluminense score 1.71 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.14. The Serie A average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Fluminense's matches and 43% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are Fluminense and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


