Fluminense vs São Paulo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fluminense play São Paulo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 28 November 2025 at 00:30. Final score: 6:0.

Current form

Fluminense: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. São Paulo: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fluminense scores 1.32 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. São Paulo scores 1.13 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fluminense 39%, São Paulo 39%. Over 2.5: Fluminense 39%, São Paulo 42%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Fluminense has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.28. Fluminense: 12.3 shots per match, São Paulo: 11.9.

Match halves

Fluminense: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.79. São Paulo: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Fluminense: 76-90+ (15 goals). São Paulo: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

3 : 0
1st half
3 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
FluminenseSão Paulo
16Shots5
FluminenseSão Paulo
11Shots on target1
FluminenseSão Paulo
2.06xG0.71
FluminenseSão Paulo
3Corners4
FluminenseSão Paulo
39Dangerous attacks43
FluminenseSão Paulo
8Fouls11
FluminenseSão Paulo
1Cards1
FluminenseSão Paulo

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

FluminenseSão Paulo
1.32Goals scored / match1.13
FluminenseSão Paulo
1.03Goals conceded / match1.24
FluminenseSão Paulo
53%Average possession52%
FluminenseSão Paulo
4Shots on target / match3.66
FluminenseSão Paulo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.29Shots per match11.87
FluminenseSão Paulo
4Shots on target3.66
FluminenseSão Paulo
10.7%Shot conversion9.5%
FluminenseSão Paulo
53%Possession52%
FluminenseSão Paulo
1.35xG for1.28
FluminenseSão Paulo
1.18xG against1.44
FluminenseSão Paulo

Shooting quality

Fluminense: BalancedSão Paulo: Balanced
FluminenseSão Paulo
Accuracy (shots on target)33%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fluminense is 117% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Fluminense · 1.2 pts / match - São Paulo

Fluminense
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W18% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-7-12
1.68 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
15-1-3
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
São Paulo
LWLWL
Season result split
37% W24% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-9-15
1.34 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-10
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.92BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fluminense is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

1.32 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.13 goals / match - São Paulo

Fluminense is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.03 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.24 goals / match - São Paulo

Fluminense scoring profile: strong

Fluminense scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).

São Paulo scoring profile: mixed

São Paulo scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

50Goals scored (season)43
FluminenseSão Paulo
39Goals conceded (season)47
FluminenseSão Paulo
2.34Average goals in match2.37
FluminenseSão Paulo
12Goals scored (last 5)6
FluminenseSão Paulo
2Goals conceded (last 5)11
FluminenseSão Paulo

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal63%
FluminenseSão Paulo
42%2 goals45%
FluminenseSão Paulo
8%3 goals5%
FluminenseSão Paulo
3%4 goals0%
FluminenseSão Paulo

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal68%
FluminenseSão Paulo
32%2 goals34%
FluminenseSão Paulo
11%3 goals13%
FluminenseSão Paulo
3%4 goals3%
FluminenseSão Paulo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time13%
FluminenseSão Paulo
5%BTTS in both halves5%
FluminenseSão Paulo
26%Scored in both halves26%
FluminenseSão Paulo

BTTS and goal count

34%Min. 3 goals and BTTS34%
FluminenseSão Paulo
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
FluminenseSão Paulo
40%BTTS - last 540%
FluminenseSão Paulo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
FluminenseSão Paulo
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
FluminenseSão Paulo
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
FluminenseSão Paulo

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
FluminenseSão Paulo
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
FluminenseSão Paulo
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
FluminenseSão Paulo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

São Paulo is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / match - Fluminense · 1.55 pts / match - São Paulo

Fluminense - half-time state
34% leading39% draw26% trailing
São Paulo - half-time state
37% leading45% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per match (1st half)1.55
FluminenseSão Paulo
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.61
FluminenseSão Paulo
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
FluminenseSão Paulo
0.95Average goals (1st half)1.03
FluminenseSão Paulo
68%Clean sheet before half-time68%
FluminenseSão Paulo
55%No goal before half-time55%
FluminenseSão Paulo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.34Points per match (2nd half)1.08
FluminenseSão Paulo
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
FluminenseSão Paulo
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
FluminenseSão Paulo
1.39Average goals (2nd half)1.34
FluminenseSão Paulo
53%Clean sheet after half-time39%
FluminenseSão Paulo
45%No goal after half-time55%
FluminenseSão Paulo

Fluminense - second-half results

32% W39% R29% P
54
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding147%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

São Paulo - second-half results

24% W37% R39% P
59
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fluminense - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.60
Goals scored / match1.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+6+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
São Paulo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fluminense
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
10
6
31-45
7
5
46-60
8
5
61-75
15
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

São Paulo
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
6
4
16-30
9
7
31-45
5
7
46-60
2
12
61-75
13
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.36
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+49%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fluminense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.92
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

São Paulo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

FluminenseLigaSão Paulo
Average goals in match 2.342.52 2.37
Both teams scored 39%47% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%46% 42%
Clean sheets 42%30% 32%
Goal before half-time 66%70% 63%
Goal after half-time 76%76% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Fluminense 1 - 0 - 1 São Paulo. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Fluminense FC
2 : 1
São Paulo FC
São Paulo FC
3 : 1
Fluminense FC

FAQ

What was the result of Fluminense vs São Paulo?

The Serie A match finished Fluminense 6:0 São Paulo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and São Paulo?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 1, São Paulo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs São Paulo?

Fluminense score 1.32 goals per game on average and São Paulo 1.13. The Serie A average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Fluminense's matches and 39% of São Paulo's.

What form are Fluminense and São Paulo in?

Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and São Paulo 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs São Paulo?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fluminense vs São Paulo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.