Foggia vs Virtus Casarano: match statistics
Virtus Casarano appears to be the favorite for this encounter despite playing away. Foggia is in catastrophic form, having lost all of their last 5 matches without gaining a single point, reflecting a deep crisis within the team. The hosts have only a 29% home win rate and a very poor goal difference (-7 in home matches). Although Virtus Casarano struggles on the road (64% loss rate), they present significantly better offensive efficiency (1.29 goals per away match vs 0.86 for Foggia at home) and superior shot conversion (15% vs 9%). In the last 5 matches, the visitors earned 1.4 points per match and won 2 games, contrasting sharply with Foggia's total lack of points. Given the current disposition of both teams and the statistics, Virtus Casarano has a real chance of winning, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the away nature of the fixture.
Foggia vs Virtus Casarano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Foggia play Virtus Casarano in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Foggia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Virtus Casarano: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Foggia scores 0.74 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Virtus Casarano scores 1.47 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Foggia 50%, Virtus Casarano 58%. Over 2.5: Foggia 47%, Virtus Casarano 63%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Virtus Casarano has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.10. Foggia: 8.9 shots per match, Virtus Casarano: 9.4.
Match halves
Foggia: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.34. Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Foggia: 16-30 (6 goals). Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Virtus Casarano appears to be the favorite for this encounter despite playing away. Foggia is in catastrophic form, having lost all of their last 5 matches without gaining a single point, reflecting a deep crisis within the team. The hosts have only a 29% home win rate and a very poor goal difference (-7 in home matches). Although Virtus Casarano struggles on the road (64% loss rate), they present significantly better offensive efficiency (1.29 goals per away match vs 0.86 for Foggia at home) and superior shot conversion (15% vs 9%). In the last 5 matches, the visitors earned 1.4 points per match and won 2 games, contrasting sharply with Foggia's total lack of points. Given the current disposition of both teams and the statistics, Virtus Casarano has a real chance of winning, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the away nature of the fixture.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Foggia | Virtus Casarano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Virtus Casarano is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Foggia · 2.4 pts / match - Virtus Casarano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Virtus Casarano is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Foggia · 1.47 goals / match - Virtus Casarano
Virtus Casarano is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Foggia · 1.5 goals / match - Virtus Casarano
Foggia scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Virtus Casarano scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Foggia keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Foggia
Over / Under — Virtus Casarano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Virtus Casarano is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Foggia · 1.39 pts / match - Virtus Casarano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Foggia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 16%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Virtus Casarano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Foggia
Virtus Casarano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Foggia | Liga | Virtus Casarano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 46% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 67% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Foggia 1 - 0 - 0 Virtus Casarano. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Foggia vs Virtus Casarano?
The Serie C Group C match finished Foggia 1:2 Virtus Casarano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Foggia vs Virtus Casarano?
Foggia score 0.74 goals per game on average and Virtus Casarano 1.47. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Foggia's matches and 58% of Virtus Casarano's.
What form are Foggia and Virtus Casarano in?
Over the last 5 games Foggia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Virtus Casarano 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Foggia vs Virtus Casarano?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Foggia vs Virtus Casarano: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.