Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina: match statistics
Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Folgore Caratese played against Desenzano Calvina in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Sportitalia Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Folgore Caratese has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Desenzano Calvina has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Folgore Caratese scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.43. Desenzano Calvina scores 0.57 and allows 0.86. Games in this league average 2.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Folgore Caratese's games and 43% of Desenzano Calvina's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 29%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Folgore Caratese has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.31 per game. Folgore Caratese takes 12.6 shots per game, while Desenzano Calvina takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Folgore Caratese leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Desenzano Calvina leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Folgore Caratese's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Desenzano Calvina, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.25 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams have won just 1 of their 7 league matches, and each has recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games. Folgore Caratese create more chances at home, averaging 1.79 xG and 6.33 shots on target, while Desenzano Calvina average 1.30 xG and 3 shots on target away from home. However, the hosts concede an average of 2 goals per home match and have yet to keep a clean sheet there, which limits their chances of winning. The visitors concede just 0.75 goals per away match, although they allow opponents chances worth 1.94 xG, so that defensive efficiency may be difficult to sustain. With Desenzano drawing 50% of their away matches and Folgore drawing 33% at home, a share of the points looks the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for at least one team failing to score is their low scoring output: Folgore Caratese average 0.33 goals at home, while Desenzano Calvina average 0.75 away. The hosts have failed to score in 67% of their home matches, while the visitors have drawn a blank in 50% of their away fixtures. Both teams scored in 33% of Folgore’s home matches and 50% of Desenzano’s away matches, against a league average of 49%. Some counterevidence comes from average xG figures of 1.33 and 1.30, as well as the fact that both teams scored in 60% and 40% of their respective last five matches. Even so, their season-long scoring records and frequent failures to find the net support the BTTS - No pick: at least one team is expected not to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Folgore Caratese matches have produced an average of 1.33 goals, while Desenzano Calvina fixtures have averaged 1.50, so both teams’ results to date point towards a low-scoring game. Under 3.5 goals has landed in 67% of the home team’s matches and 100% of the away team’s, while their average goals scored stand at 0.33 and 0.75, respectively. Folgore’s last five matches have averaged 2.2 goals, compared with 1.6 in Desenzano’s, which still supports the under-four-goals pick. The teams’ xG figures of 1.33 and 1.30 warrant some caution, as they suggest more chances than goals actually scored. Even so, the Under 3.5 goals line is best supported by both teams’ results and offers a greater margin for error than the 2.5 goals line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw occurred in 2 of Folgore Caratese’s 3 matches and 3 of Desenzano Calvina’s 4, with neither team scoring in the first half in this sample. A draw was also common after 90 minutes, accounting for 67% of the home side’s matches and 50% of the visitors’ games. The teams appear evenly matched in terms of chances created, with average xG figures of 1.33 and 1.30 respectively, further supporting the prospect of a balanced contest. Desenzano have the edge after the break, averaging 0.75 goals compared with Folgore’s 0.33, so a draw at half-time followed by an away win remains a notable alternative. However, the strongest single scenario is a draw both at half-time and at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Folgore Caratese | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Folgore Caratese is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Folgore Caratese · 0.57 goals / game - Desenzano Calvina
Desenzano Calvina is 66% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Folgore Caratese · 0.86 goals / game - Desenzano Calvina
Folgore Caratese scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Desenzano Calvina keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).
Desenzano Calvina scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 games), while Folgore Caratese keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Folgore Caratese
Over / Under - Desenzano Calvina
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Folgore Caratese is 121% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / game - Folgore Caratese · 0.71 pts / game - Desenzano Calvina
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Folgore Caratese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Desenzano Calvina - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Folgore Caratese
Desenzano Calvina
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Folgore Caratese | Liga | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.57 | 2.25 | ▼ 1.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 50% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 47% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 34% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 68% | ▼ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina?
The Serie C Group A match finished Folgore Caratese 1:2 Desenzano Calvina. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina?
Folgore Caratese score 1.14 goals per game on average and Desenzano Calvina 0.57. The Serie C Group A average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Folgore Caratese's matches and 43% of Desenzano Calvina's.
What form are Folgore Caratese and Desenzano Calvina in?
Over the last 5 games Folgore Caratese have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Desenzano Calvina 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.