Folgore Caratese vs Dolomiti Bellunesi: match statistics

Folgore Caratese have shown clearly more stable form over their last five matches, collecting 8 points from 2 wins, 2 draws and just 1 defeat, while Dolomiti Bellunesi have managed 4 points. The hosts have scored 8 goals during this period, averaging 1.6 per match, compared with the visitors’ 3 goals, highlighting a significant advantage in attacking efficiency. Folgore Caratese have also been stronger defensively, conceding 5 goals in five matches compared with 7 for their opponents. Dolomiti Bellunesi have lost 3 of their last 5 matches and recorded a winning result only once, making them difficult to consider favorites away from home. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as the hosts have drawn their last two matches, but the 8:5 goal difference supports a home victory.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Dolomiti Bellunesi have scored only 3 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 per game. The visitors recorded BTTS in just 20% of their last five outings, while Folgore Caratese saw this scenario in 40% of their matches. The hosts are in better attacking form, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and generating an xG of 1.56, but their opponents create chances worth only 0.98 xG. Folgore conceded an average of 1.0 goal per match during this period, further reducing the likelihood of the visitors overcoming their attacking struggles. The most likely outcome is therefore a home goal with at least one team failing to score.

Folgore Caratese have averaged 1.6 goals scored over their last five matches, while Dolomiti Bellunesi have managed just 0.6, limiting the visitors’ potential to produce a high-scoring game. The home side conceded 1.0 goal per match during this period, whereas the visitors conceded 7 goals in five fixtures, an average of 1.4. The xG data also points to a moderate-goals scenario: the hosts created chances worth 1.56 xG, while the visitors recorded 0.98 xG. Over 2.5 goals landed in 40% of Folgore’s recent matches and just 20% of Dolomiti’s, making four or more goals unlikely. The strongest option is Under 3.5, supported by a projection of 2.35 goals and approximately an 80% chance of no more than three goals.

Folgore Caratese are in clearly better current form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 1.6 goals and 1.6 points, compared with just 0.6 goals and 0.8 points for Dolomiti Bellunesi. The hosts won 40% of those matches and lost only 20%, while the visitors suffered defeat in 60% of their games. At half-time, Folgore averaged 0.8 goals compared with 0.4 for their opponents, and they held a lead at the break in 40% of matches—twice as often as Dolomiti. After the interval, the hosts’ advantage remains significant, as they won the second half in 60% of their last matches, whereas the visitors did not win any and scored only 0.2 goals per game in those periods. The most likely scenario is therefore an HT/FT 1/1 outcome, with Folgore Caratese taking the lead before half-time and maintaining it until the final whistle.