Forest Green Rovers vs Morecambe: match statistics
Forest Green Rovers vs Morecambe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forest Green Rovers play Morecambe in National League (England). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Forest Green Rovers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Morecambe: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forest Green Rovers scores 1.74 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Morecambe scores 1.43 and concedes 2.24. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forest Green Rovers 64%, Morecambe 57%. Over 2.5: Forest Green Rovers 51%, Morecambe 70%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Forest Green Rovers has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.38. Forest Green Rovers: 16.2 shots per match, Morecambe: 11.3.
Match halves
Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.02. Morecambe: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (16 goals). Morecambe: 46-60 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Forest Green Rovers have a potent attack and good form – 77 goals this season and 13 goals in the last 5 matches (2.6 per match), and at home they score 2.0 goals on average with an xG of 2.29. Morecambe have clear defensive issues: 98 goals conceded this season and 14 in the last 5 matches (2.8 per match), and away they concede 2.36 goals on average with xG against 1.93. The hosts create significantly more opportunities – 19.55 shots and 6.91 on target per home match versus 10.45 shots and 4.18 on target for the visitors, while also enjoying higher possession (57% vs 49%). Forest Green keep a clean sheet in 27% of home games and fail to score in only 5% of matches, whereas Morecambe have 14% clean sheets away and fail to score in 27% of away matches, exacerbating the visitors’ defensive problems. Considering the xG advantage (2.29 vs 1.35), lower average goals conceded by the hosts at home (1.00 vs 2.36) and better form (2.0 vs 0.8 points in the last 5), I assess probabilities as: Home 70%, Draw 18%, Morecambe win 12%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forest Green Rovers | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forest Green Rovers is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers · 0.8 pts / match - Morecambe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forest Green Rovers is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.74 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers · 1.43 goals / match - Morecambe
Forest Green Rovers is 98% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers · 2.24 goals / match - Morecambe
Forest Green Rovers scores in 85% of matches (40 of 47 matches), while Morecambe keeps a clean sheet in 13% (6 of 46 matches).
Morecambe scores in 67% of matches (31 of 46 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 47 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Forest Green Rovers
Over / Under — Morecambe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forest Green Rovers is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers · 1.11 pts / match - Morecambe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forest Green Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Morecambe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (28). Late-goal balance (76-90): -17 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forest Green Rovers
Morecambe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Forest Green Rovers | Liga | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.87 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 51% | 57% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 24% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Forest Green Rovers 1 - 0 - 0 Morecambe. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forest Green Rovers vs Morecambe?
The National League match finished Forest Green Rovers 5:0 Morecambe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Forest Green Rovers vs Morecambe?
Forest Green Rovers score 1.74 goals per game on average and Morecambe 1.43. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Forest Green Rovers's matches and 57% of Morecambe's.
What form are Forest Green Rovers and Morecambe in?
Over the last 5 games Forest Green Rovers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Morecambe 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forest Green Rovers vs Morecambe?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.