Forest Green Rovers vs Southend United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Forest Green Rovers play Southend United in National League (England). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Forest Green Rovers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Southend United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Forest Green Rovers scores 1.74 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Southend United scores 1.77 and concedes 1.02. League average: 2.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Forest Green Rovers 64%, Southend United 53%. Over 2.5: Forest Green Rovers 51%, Southend United 51%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Forest Green Rovers has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.92. Forest Green Rovers: 16.2 shots per match, Southend United: 16.0.

Match halves

Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.02. Southend United: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.02.

Goals by minute

Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (16 goals). Southend United: 76-90+ (26 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
19Shots8
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
7Shots on target2
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
2.24xG1.03
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
8Corners4
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
78Dangerous attacks52
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
9Fouls7
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
2Cards3
Forest Green RoversSouthend United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Forest Green RoversSouthend United
1.74Goals scored / match1.77
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
1.13Goals conceded / match1.02
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
54%Average possession53%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
5.94Shots on target / match5.91
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
Forest Green RoversSouthend United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.19Shots per match15.96
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
5.94Shots on target5.91
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
10.8%Shot conversion11.1%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
54%Possession53%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
1.95xG for1.92
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
1.19xG against1.21
Forest Green RoversSouthend United

Shooting quality

Forest Green Rovers: AttackingSouthend United: Attacking
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Southend United is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers · 1.8 pts / match - Southend United

Forest Green Rovers
DWLWL
Season result split
49% W26% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-12-12
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
15-5-3
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Southend United
WWLWL
Season result split
49% W26% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-12-12
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +35
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
10-5-9
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Southend United is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers · 1.02 goals / match - Southend United

Forest Green Rovers scoring profile: very strong

Forest Green Rovers scores in 85% of matches (40 of 47 matches), while Southend United keeps a clean sheet in 36% (17 of 47 matches).

Southend United scoring profile: very strong

Southend United scores in 85% of matches (40 of 47 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 47 matches).

82Goals scored (season)83
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
53Goals conceded (season)48
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
2.87Average goals in match2.79
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
10Goals scored (last 5)13
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
5Goals conceded (last 5)8
Forest Green RoversSouthend United

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal85%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
53%2 goals49%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
21%3 goals30%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
13%4 goals6%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal64%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
28%2 goals30%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
9%3 goals6%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
2%4 goals2%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
Forest Green Rovers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.30 of 47 matches
56%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time19%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
6%BTTS in both halves9%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
38%Scored in both halves34%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
60%BTTS - last 560%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time49%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Southend United is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers · 1.62 pts / match - Southend United

Forest Green Rovers - half-time state
36% leading32% draw32% trailing
Southend United - half-time state
40% leading40% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)1.62
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
0.72Goals scored (1st half)0.74
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
1.4Average goals (1st half)1.15
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
51%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
45%No goal before half-time47%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.87Points per match (2nd half)1.57
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
1.02Goals scored (2nd half)1.02
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.62
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.64
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
62%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United
32%No goal after half-time34%
Forest Green RoversSouthend United

Forest Green Rovers - second-half results

55% W21% R23% P
66
Half-time points
34
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
88
Second-half points
+27
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Southend United - second-half results

40% W36% R23% P
76
Half-time points
35
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
74
Second-half points
+19
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Forest Green Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Southend United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match1.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match2.41.8
1 goal100%40%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Forest Green Rovers
ScoredConceded
9
11
0-15
13
8
16-30
12
13
31-45
16
3
46-60
16
10
61-75
16
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Southend United
ScoredConceded
12
4
0-15
10
8
16-30
13
7
31-45
12
9
46-60
10
11
61-75
26
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (26 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +17 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Forest Green Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.76
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Southend United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-24.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

Forest Green RoversLigaSouthend United
Average goals in match 2.872.92 2.79
Both teams scored 64%56% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 51%57% 51%
Clean sheets 26%24% 36%
Goal before half-time 81%71% 70%
Goal after half-time 85%80% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Forest Green Rovers 0 - 0 - 1 Southend United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Forest Green Rovers vs Southend United?

The National League match finished Forest Green Rovers 2:1 Southend United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Forest Green Rovers vs Southend United?

Forest Green Rovers score 1.74 goals per game on average and Southend United 1.77. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Forest Green Rovers's matches and 53% of Southend United's.

What form are Forest Green Rovers and Southend United in?

Over the last 5 games Forest Green Rovers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Southend United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forest Green Rovers vs Southend United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Forest Green Rovers vs Southend United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.