Forlì vs Livorno: match statistics
Forlì perform significantly better at home, achieving a 46% win rate in home matches and maintaining a positive goal difference (+5) at their own stadium. The home team has an advantage in average goals scored at home (1.46) and a higher xG ratio (1.67 vs 1.35), which indicates better quality of chances created. Livorno perform poorly in away matches, losing as many as 62% of games and scoring an average of just 0.69 goals per match, while also having a negative goal difference (-11). Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 46% of away matches, which, given Forlì's solid home defense (31% clean sheets), could prove decisive. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (1.4 points per game each), but the home advantage and Forlì's home statistics speak in favor of the hosts.
Forlì vs Livorno: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Forlì played against Livorno in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Forlì has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Livorno has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Forlì scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.46. Livorno scores 1.03 and allows 1.41. Games in this league average 2.27 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Forlì's games and 55% of Livorno's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 62%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Forlì has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.32 per game. Forlì takes 11.7 shots per game, while Livorno takes 10.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Forlì leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Livorno leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Forlì's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Livorno, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.27 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Forlì perform significantly better at home, achieving a 46% win rate in home matches and maintaining a positive goal difference (+5) at their own stadium. The home team has an advantage in average goals scored at home (1.46) and a higher xG ratio (1.67 vs 1.35), which indicates better quality of chances created. Livorno perform poorly in away matches, losing as many as 62% of games and scoring an average of just 0.69 goals per match, while also having a negative goal difference (-11). Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 46% of away matches, which, given Forlì's solid home defense (31% clean sheets), could prove decisive. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (1.4 points per game each), but the home advantage and Forlì's home statistics speak in favor of the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Forlì | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forlì is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Forlì · 1.03 goals / game - Livorno
Forlì scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 meczów), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 meczów).
Livorno scores in 69% of games (20 of 29 meczów), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forlì
Over / Under - Livorno
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Livorno is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / game - Forlì · 1.31 pts / game - Livorno
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Livorno - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Forlì
Livorno
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Forlì | Liga | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.71 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 39% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 63% | • 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 71% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Forlì's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Livorno. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Forlì vs Livorno?
The Serie C Group B match finished Forlì 1:1 Livorno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Forlì vs Livorno?
Forlì score 1.25 goals per game on average and Livorno 1.03. The Serie C Group B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Forlì's matches and 55% of Livorno's.
What form are Forlì and Livorno in?
Over the last 5 games Forlì have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Livorno 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forlì vs Livorno?
The statistical background for Forlì vs Livorno — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.