Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence: match statistics
Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fort Wayne played against Charlotte Independence in USL League One (United States). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Fort Wayne has 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Charlotte Independence has 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Fort Wayne scores 0.75 goals per game and allows 1.50. Charlotte Independence scores 2.00 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Fort Wayne's games and 75% of Charlotte Independence's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 75%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Charlotte Independence has the higher season xG average, 1.93 to 1.29 per game. Fort Wayne takes 11.5 shots per game, while Charlotte Independence takes 17.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Fort Wayne leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. Charlotte Independence leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fort Wayne's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Charlotte Independence, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL League One games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Charlotte is the favorite in this match due to a clear offensive edge: the visitors have scored 8 goals this season versus Fort Wayne’s 3, and in the last 5 games Charlotte has 8 goals scored and 14 conceded, while the hosts have 4 scored and 9 conceded. Away, Charlotte averages 4.67 shots on target and 18 shots per game with 58% possession, and their away xG is 1.99 versus xG against 1.69, indicating higher-quality chance creation. However, the visitors’ defense is vulnerable — 14 goals conceded in the last five matches and an average of 2.0 goals conceded on the road increase the risk of an open game with many opportunities. Fort Wayne has averaged 0.8 points per match in the last 5 fixtures, holds a season record of 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses and only 3 goals this season, reflecting limited offensive effectiveness. Given the 8-to-3 goals, the visitors’ 1.99 xG, superiority in shots and possession, and a higher average points tally (1.2 vs 0.8), I project a Charlotte win (2) with an estimated away win probability of around 60%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the "both teams to score" scenario: Fort Wayne has a season BTTS 0% versus Charlotte's 100%, but in the last 5 matches it's 40% vs 80% respectively. In their last 5 matches Fort Wayne concedes an average of 1.8 goals (9 conceded in 5), and Charlotte concedes an average of 2.8 goals (14 in 5), indicating both sides have been allowing goals recently. The visitors generate xG 1.99 per match against Fort Wayne's xG against 1.36 and have scored an average of 1.6 goals in the last 5, while Fort Wayne despite a season scoring average of 4.0 has only 0.8 (4 goals) in the last 5 — this increases the likelihood of goal exchange. Additionally Fort Wayne’s shot conversion 25% vs Charlotte 7% and the league BTTS average 60% support the "BTTS - Yes" option, therefore I assess BTTS probability at 70% and No BTTS at 30%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model gives 1.72 xG for Fort Wayne (home attack xG 1.74 vs Charlotte defense xG 1.69) and 1.68 xG for Charlotte (away attack xG 1.99 vs Fort Wayne defense xG 1.36), totaling 3.40 expected goals. Converted to a Poisson distribution, these 3.40 goals translate to roughly an 85% chance of Over 1.5, ~66% for Over 2.5 and ~44% for Over 3.5. Seasonal data reinforce these conclusions: Fort Wayne at home has a season average of 4.0 goals and 100% of matches >1.5, while Charlotte away has 100% of matches >1.5 and 67% of matches >2.5; additionally Fort Wayne posts a 25% shot accuracy at home (5 on target from 16) versus 7% for Charlotte (4.67 on target from 18), which supports xG being realized. In the last 5 matches Charlotte scored 8 goals, Fort Wayne 4, and the league average is 2.8 goals per match, so our 3.40 projection is clearly above average; the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Fort Wayne is the favorite to lead at the break and to win (HT/FT 1/1), because the hosts average 3.0 goals by half-time and concede none (avg. 3.0 scored, 0.0 conceded) and lead at the break in 100% of home matches. At home they also have 100.0% wins and 100.0% clean sheets, which indicates they maintain the advantage throughout the match. Charlotte, on the other hand, averages 1.0 goal by half-time and concedes 1.33, does not lead at the break in any match and has only 0.33 points per game, so the probability of a turnaround is low. Although the visitors’ xG is 1.99 versus the hosts’ 1.74, Fort Wayne converts much better (25% conversion rate versus 7%) and averages 5.0 shots on target compared to 4.67, which translates into actual goals; therefore the strongest HT/FT signal is 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fort Wayne | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Charlotte Independence is 167% better for: goals scored per game.
0.75 goals / game - Fort Wayne · 2 goals / game - Charlotte Independence
Fort Wayne scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 meczów), while Charlotte Independence keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
Charlotte Independence scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Fort Wayne keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fort Wayne
Over / Under - Charlotte Independence
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fort Wayne is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Fort Wayne · 1.25 pts / game - Charlotte Independence
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fort Wayne - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Charlotte Independence - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.25 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fort Wayne
Charlotte Independence
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Fort Wayne | Liga | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.25 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 58% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 56% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence?
The USL League One match finished Fort Wayne 2:2 Charlotte Independence. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence?
Fort Wayne score 0.75 goals per game on average and Charlotte Independence 2.00. The USL League One average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Fort Wayne's matches and 75% of Charlotte Independence's.
What form are Fort Wayne and Charlotte Independence in?
Over the last 5 games Fort Wayne have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Charlotte Independence 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.