Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pasto: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Fortaleza CEIF shows solid home form with 60% wins at home and a goal difference of +3, but their recent overall form is poor (0.8 points per match). Deportivo Pasto has a better overall record (7 wins) and recently earns 2 points per match, but their away form is unstable (40% wins, 40% losses). A key factor is the hosts' advantage in ball possession (59% vs 52%) and better xG in home matches (1.57 vs 1.38 for the visitors away). Taking into account that both teams have identical shooting efficiency (1.4 goals per match under respective conditions) and Fortaleza's tendency for draws at home (40%), the most likely outcome appears to be a share of the points.
Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pasto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fortaleza CEIF play Deportivo Pasto in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 25 March 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Fortaleza CEIF: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Deportivo Pasto: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.16 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Deportivo Pasto scores 1.38 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fortaleza CEIF 74%, Deportivo Pasto 52%. Over 2.5: Fortaleza CEIF 47%, Deportivo Pasto 52%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Pasto has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.26. Fortaleza CEIF: 12.0 shots per match, Deportivo Pasto: 12.0.
Match halves
Fortaleza CEIF: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.79. Deportivo Pasto: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Fortaleza CEIF: 76-90+ (10 goals). Deportivo Pasto: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Fortaleza CEIF shows solid home form with 60% wins at home and a goal difference of +3, but their recent overall form is poor (0.8 points per match). Deportivo Pasto has a better overall record (7 wins) and recently earns 2 points per match, but their away form is unstable (40% wins, 40% losses). A key factor is the hosts' advantage in ball possession (59% vs 52%) and better xG in home matches (1.57 vs 1.38 for the visitors away). Taking into account that both teams have identical shooting efficiency (1.4 goals per match under respective conditions) and Fortaleza's tendency for draws at home (40%), the most likely outcome appears to be a share of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fortaleza CEIF | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fortaleza CEIF is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 0.6 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Pasto is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.38 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.33 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Deportivo Pasto keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Deportivo Pasto scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Fortaleza CEIF
Over / Under — Deportivo Pasto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Pasto is 92% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.52 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo Pasto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fortaleza CEIF
Deportivo Pasto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Fortaleza CEIF | Liga | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 53% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Fortaleza CEIF 1 - 0 - 1 Deportivo Pasto. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pasto?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Fortaleza CEIF 1:2 Deportivo Pasto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fortaleza CEIF and Deportivo Pasto?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fortaleza CEIF won 1, Deportivo Pasto won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pasto?
Fortaleza CEIF score 1.16 goals per game on average and Deportivo Pasto 1.38. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Fortaleza CEIF's matches and 52% of Deportivo Pasto's.
What form are Fortaleza CEIF and Deportivo Pasto in?
Over the last 5 games Fortaleza CEIF have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Deportivo Pasto 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pasto?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pasto: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.