Fortaleza CEIF vs La Equidad: match statistics
Fortaleza CEIF vs La Equidad: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fortaleza CEIF played against La Equidad in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on April 3, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Fortaleza CEIF has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. La Equidad has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.57. La Equidad scores 1.21 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 79% of Fortaleza CEIF's games and 57% of La Equidad's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 57%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
La Equidad has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.27 per game. Fortaleza CEIF takes 12.1 shots per game, while La Equidad takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Fortaleza CEIF leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. La Equidad leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fortaleza CEIF's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For La Equidad, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fortaleza CEIF exhibits a clear home advantage in game creation: averages of 59% possession, 13.17 shots and 5.17 shots on target per match, and home xG of 1.46. La Equidad away records only 39% possession, 10.29 shots with 3.43 on target and xG 1.11, and the percentage of away matches without scoring is 43%. Defensive differences also favor Fortaleza: hosts concede an average of 1.00 goal at home with xG against 0.86, while La Equidad concedes 1.57 goals away with xG against 1.48. A warning is form — Fortaleza scored 6 and conceded 9 in the last five matches, translating to an average of 0.8 points per game in that period; La Equidad has 3 goals scored and 7 conceded in the last five and averages 0.6 points per game. Considering higher possession, more shots on target (5.17 vs 3.43), superior home xG (1.46 vs 1.11) and the fact Fortaleza has had no home matches without a goal (0%), I assign a 60% probability to a home win, 25% to a draw and 15% to a La Equidad win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season-long BTTS at 57% (Fortaleza 57%, La Equidad 57%), while the league average BTTS is 55%, providing a baseline signal in favor of both teams scoring. In the last 5 matches Fortaleza has an 80% BTTS rate, whereas La Equidad only 40%, so the short-term stronger impulse for Goal/Goal comes from the home side. Fortaleza generates on average 1.57 xG and 5.29 shots on target per match, while La Equidad concedes on average 1.48 xG and only 3.43 shots on target, suggesting the hosts create more chances and the visitors still have defensive issues. Clean sheets occur for the home team in 29% of matches versus 14% for the visitors, and in the last 5 games the hosts conceded an average of 1.8 goals compared to 1.4 for the visitors, which also favors a both teams to score scenario. Considering the seasonal 57%, league 55% and the strong Fortaleza signal (last 5 BTTS 80% and xG 1.57), I assess BTTS at 63% vs 37% and recommend a 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated expected goals are 1.53 for Fortaleza CEIF and 1.16 for La Equidad, totaling 2.69 expected goals (average from home xG 1.57 and away xG conceded 1.48, and away xG 1.11 and home xG conceded 1.21). A Poisson model with λ=2.69 gives probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) around 75%, consistent with season Over 1.5 rates: 57% for the home side and 86% for the visitors (average ~72%). The home team has an attacking edge: 5.29 shots on target versus La Equidad’s 3.43, season xG 1.57 vs 1.11 and average goals scored 1.43 vs 1.00 for the visitors, which increases scoring chances. For the 2.5 line the baseline model shows ~50% chance for Over 2.5, but considering that 80% of the home team’s last 5 matches were above 2.5 (40% for the visitors), I slightly shift the forecast to about 52% for Over 2.5. The strongest play signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation: play Over 1.5), while Over 3.5 is assessed at about 28% and I consider it too risky to bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Home teams drew at half-time in 86% of their matches, while away teams did so in 43%, which yields roughly a 65% chance of a draw at the break in this fixture. After the break Fortaleza scores an average of 1.14 goals and wins the second half in 56% of matches, whereas La Equidad records only 0.29 goals in second halves and has a 0% second-half win rate. Additionally, the hosts’ xG is 1.57 versus the visitors’ 1.11, and an average of 5.29 shots on target to 3.43 confirms Fortaleza’s superiority in chance creation after the interval. On that basis the most likely HT/FT scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1 ~36%), followed by X/X (~20%) and 1/1 (~11%), therefore I recommend X/1 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fortaleza CEIF | La Equidad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fortaleza CEIF is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Fortaleza CEIF · 0.6 pts / game - La Equidad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
La Equidad is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.21 goals / game - La Equidad
La Equidad is 15% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.57 goals / game - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.36 goals / game - La Equidad
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 86% of games (12 of 14 meczów), while La Equidad keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 meczów).
La Equidad scores in 57% of games (8 of 14 meczów), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fortaleza CEIF
Over / Under - La Equidad
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
La Equidad is 114% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / game - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.07 pts / game - La Equidad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
La Equidad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fortaleza CEIF
La Equidad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Fortaleza CEIF | Liga | La Equidad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.71 | 2.47 | • 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 79% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Fortaleza CEIF's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against La Equidad. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fortaleza CEIF vs La Equidad?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Fortaleza CEIF 1:1 La Equidad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fortaleza CEIF and La Equidad?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Fortaleza CEIF won 3, La Equidad won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fortaleza CEIF vs La Equidad?
Fortaleza CEIF score 1.14 goals per game on average and La Equidad 1.21. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Fortaleza CEIF's matches and 57% of La Equidad's.
What form are Fortaleza CEIF and La Equidad in?
Over the last 5 games Fortaleza CEIF have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and La Equidad 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortaleza CEIF vs La Equidad?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.