Fortaleza vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fortaleza play Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 30 November 2025 at 22:30. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Fortaleza: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Atlético Mineiro: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fortaleza scores 1.13 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.13 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fortaleza 50%, Atlético Mineiro 39%. Over 2.5: Fortaleza 47%, Atlético Mineiro 39%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Atlético Mineiro has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.36. Fortaleza: 13.0 shots per match, Atlético Mineiro: 15.1.

Match halves

Fortaleza: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.55. Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.74.

Goals by minute

Fortaleza: 61-75 (9 goals). Atlético Mineiro: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

34Possession (%)66
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
15Shots9
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
4Shots on target4
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
1.58xG1.34
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
9Corners2
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
50Dangerous attacks65
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
9Fouls10
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
0Cards1
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
1.13Goals scored / match1.13
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
1.53Goals conceded / match1.16
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
44%Average possession54%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
4.26Shots on target / match4.53
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.97Shots per match15.05
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
4.26Shots on target4.53
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
8.7%Shot conversion7.5%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
44%Possession54%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
1.36xG for1.59
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
1.53xG against1.32
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

Shooting quality

Fortaleza: BalancedAtlético Mineiro: Attacking
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
Accuracy (shots on target)33%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fortaleza is 200% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Fortaleza · 0.8 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro

Fortaleza
WWWWL
Season result split
29% W26% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-17
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-8
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Atlético Mineiro
LDLLW
Season result split
32% W32% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-12-14
1.26 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-12
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Mineiro is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.53 goals / match - Fortaleza · 1.16 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro

Fortaleza scoring profile: strong

Fortaleza scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

Atlético Mineiro scoring profile: strong

Atlético Mineiro scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).

43Goals scored (season)43
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
58Goals conceded (season)44
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
2.66Average goals in match2.29
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
9Goals scored (last 5)6
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal61%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
29%2 goals29%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
11%3 goals16%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
3%4 goals5%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal66%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
45%2 goals37%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
18%3 goals13%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
11%4 goals0%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

39%
Atlético Mineiro - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 38 matches
47%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time8%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
3%BTTS in both halves3%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
18%Scored in both halves16%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
60%BTTS - last 520%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fortaleza is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.32 pts / match - Fortaleza · 1.24 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro

Fortaleza - half-time state
37% leading21% draw42% trailing
Atlético Mineiro - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.32Points per match (1st half)1.24
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.39
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
1.26Average goals (1st half)0.79
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
47%Clean sheet before half-time68%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
50%No goal before half-time68%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)1.16
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
0.84Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
1.39Average goals (2nd half)1.5
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
45%Clean sheet after half-time47%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
63%No goal after half-time55%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

Fortaleza - second-half results

21% W39% R39% P
50
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding78%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Mineiro - second-half results

24% W45% R32% P
47
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fortaleza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.00
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Atlético Mineiro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fortaleza
ScoredConceded
8
10
0-15
7
5
16-30
7
11
31-45
6
10
46-60
9
8
61-75
6
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Atlético Mineiro
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
3
6
16-30
6
5
31-45
5
12
46-60
10
4
61-75
13
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+142%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fortaleza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
153%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Atlético Mineiro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

FortalezaLigaAtlético Mineiro
Average goals in match 2.662.52 2.29
Both teams scored 50%47% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%46% 39%
Clean sheets 26%30% 34%
Goal before half-time 87%70% 55%
Goal after half-time 71%76% 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Fortaleza 0 - 1 - 0 Atlético Mineiro. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

CA Mineiro
3 : 3
Fortaleza EC

FAQ

What was the result of Fortaleza vs Atlético Mineiro?

The Serie A match finished Fortaleza 1:0 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Fortaleza vs Atlético Mineiro?

Fortaleza score 1.13 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.13. The Serie A average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Fortaleza's matches and 39% of Atlético Mineiro's.

What form are Fortaleza and Atlético Mineiro in?

Over the last 5 games Fortaleza have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortaleza vs Atlético Mineiro?

The statistical background for Fortaleza vs Atlético Mineiro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.