Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg: match statistics
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fortuna Düsseldorf played against MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The game was played on September 12, 2026. Venue: Merkur Spiel-Arena. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Fortuna Düsseldorf has 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. MSV Duisburg has 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Fortuna Düsseldorf scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 1.00. MSV Duisburg scores 3.00 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 3.32 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Fortuna Düsseldorf's games and 50% of MSV Duisburg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 100%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
MSV Duisburg has the higher season xG average, 1.90 to 1.44 per game. Fortuna Düsseldorf takes 12.5 shots per game, while MSV Duisburg takes 16.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Fortuna Düsseldorf leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. MSV Duisburg leads at halftime in 50% and scores 2.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fortuna Düsseldorf's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For MSV Duisburg, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3. Liga games average 3.32 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MSV Duisburg sit in 1st place and have won all 4 of their league matches so far, scoring 12 goals and conceding just 3. Fortuna Düsseldorf, meanwhile, have a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring only 2 goals. The visitors are highly effective away from home, averaging 3 goals, 6 shots on target and converting 23% of their attempts, while Fortuna score just 0.5 goals per home match and fail to find the net in 50% of their games. The difference in the quality of chances created is reflected in Duisburg’s average xG of 1.65 compared with Fortuna’s 1.49, although the hosts are let down by their finishing, converting only 4% of their shots into goals. Recent form over the last five matches also favors the visitors, who have won 4 times and scored 13 goals, while Fortuna have suffered 3 defeats and conceded 9 goals. Düsseldorf can take confidence from conceding just 1 goal per home match on average, but Duisburg’s attacking potential and run of two consecutive away wins clearly point to an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
MSV Duisburg have very strong attacking potential: they have scored an average of 2.6 goals in their last 5 matches, with an xG of 1.68, while Fortuna conceded 1.8 goals per game over the same period. However, the key factor weighing against BTTS is the hosts’ attack, which has scored only 3 goals in their last 5 appearances—an average of 0.6 per match—despite an xG of 1.31. Fortuna have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their home matches so far, and their season BTTS rate stands at 0%, compared with the league average of 57%. Duisburg have failed to keep a clean sheet in any match and have a BTTS rate of 100%, but Fortuna’s weaker current finishing and three-match losing streak point slightly more strongly towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The latest form clearly favors goals from the visitors: MSV Duisburg scored 13 goals in five matches, averaging 2.6 per game, while Fortuna conceded 9 during that period, an average of 1.8. Düsseldorf have shown weaker offensive production, scoring just 0.6 goals per match in their last five appearances, but Duisburg have failed to keep a clean sheet in any match this season. The average xG from the last five matches points to approximately 1.31 for Fortuna and 1.68 for Duisburg, supporting a projection of around 2.72 total goals. Over 2.5 goals landed in all five of Duisburg’s last matches, but in only 40% of Fortuna’s games, which makes Over 1.5 the safer and strongest option. In addition, the league average of 3.3 goals and 63% of matches finishing Over 2.5 further strengthen the expectation of at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Recent form clearly favors MSV Duisburg: the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.6 goals, while Fortuna have won only 1 game, scored 0.6 goals and conceded 1.8. Düsseldorf have failed to score before half-time in any of their last five appearances, and in 60% of those matches they went into the break trailing. Duisburg led at the break in 40% of their recent matches, with a first-half goal balance of +1, compared with -3 for the hosts. After the break, the visitors maintain their strong attacking power, averaging 2.0 goals and winning the second half in 80% of matches, making a Duisburg lead at half-time followed by a full-time victory the most likely outcome: 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.13 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
MSV Duisburg is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Fortuna Düsseldorf · 3 pts / game - MSV Duisburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MSV Duisburg is 500% better for: goals scored per game.
0.5 goals / game - Fortuna Düsseldorf · 3 goals / game - MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Fortuna Düsseldorf · 0.75 goals / game - MSV Duisburg
Fortuna Düsseldorf scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 games), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 games).
MSV Duisburg scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 games), while Fortuna Düsseldorf keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fortuna Düsseldorf
Over / Under - MSV Duisburg
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MSV Duisburg is 250% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / game - Fortuna Düsseldorf · 1.75 pts / game - MSV Duisburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fortuna Düsseldorf - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.50 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.75 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fortuna Düsseldorf
MSV Duisburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | Liga | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.50 | 3.32 | ▲ 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 24% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?
The 3. Liga match finished Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:1 MSV Duisburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?
Fortuna Düsseldorf score 0.50 goals per game on average and MSV Duisburg 3.00. The 3. Liga average is 3.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Fortuna Düsseldorf's matches and 50% of MSV Duisburg's.
What form are Fortuna Düsseldorf and MSV Duisburg in?
Over the last 5 games Fortuna Düsseldorf have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and MSV Duisburg 4-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?
The statistical background for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.