Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Paderborn: match statistics
Paderborn are displaying significantly higher form and quality this season, sitting in 3rd place in the table with a 56% away win rate, while Fortuna Düsseldorf are in 16th place with only a 30% win rate at home. The offensive statistics clearly favor the visitors – Paderborn score an average of 1.44 goals per away match with 5.11 shots on target, while the hosts net only 0.9 goals with 3.5 shots on target in home games. Paderborn's defense is also much more solid, conceding an average of 0.78 goals away (44% clean sheets) compared to 1.5 goals conceded by Fortuna at home. The form from the last five matches confirms the visitors' superiority (2.0 points per game vs 1.2 for the hosts), and the difference in expected goals (xG 1.64 vs 1.38) indicates a higher quality of chances created by Paderborn. Considering all these factors, an away win seems the most likely scenario, although Fortuna's poor home form could also lead to a draw.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Paderborn: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fortuna Düsseldorf played against Paderborn in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Fortuna Düsseldorf has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Paderborn has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Fortuna Düsseldorf scores 0.89 goals per game and allows 1.53. Paderborn scores 1.58 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.81 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Fortuna Düsseldorf's games and 58% of Paderborn's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 58%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paderborn has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.37 per game. Fortuna Düsseldorf takes 12.6 shots per game, while Paderborn takes 16.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Fortuna Düsseldorf leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Paderborn leads at halftime in 32% and scores 1.11 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fortuna Düsseldorf's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Paderborn, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
2. Bundesliga games average 2.81 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paderborn are displaying significantly higher form and quality this season, sitting in 3rd place in the table with a 56% away win rate, while Fortuna Düsseldorf are in 16th place with only a 30% win rate at home. The offensive statistics clearly favor the visitors – Paderborn score an average of 1.44 goals per away match with 5.11 shots on target, while the hosts net only 0.9 goals with 3.5 shots on target in home games. Paderborn's defense is also much more solid, conceding an average of 0.78 goals away (44% clean sheets) compared to 1.5 goals conceded by Fortuna at home. The form from the last five matches confirms the visitors' superiority (2.0 points per game vs 1.2 for the hosts), and the difference in expected goals (xG 1.64 vs 1.38) indicates a higher quality of chances created by Paderborn. Considering all these factors, an away win seems the most likely scenario, although Fortuna's poor home form could also lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paderborn is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Fortuna Düsseldorf · 1.4 pts / game - Paderborn
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paderborn is 78% better for: goals scored per game.
0.89 goals / game - Fortuna Düsseldorf · 1.58 goals / game - Paderborn
Paderborn is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.53 goals / game - Fortuna Düsseldorf · 1.11 goals / game - Paderborn
Fortuna Düsseldorf scores in 63% of games (12 of 19 meczów), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 meczów).
Paderborn scores in 84% of games (16 of 19 meczów), while Fortuna Düsseldorf keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fortuna Düsseldorf
Over / Under - Paderborn
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paderborn is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / game - Fortuna Düsseldorf · 1.26 pts / game - Paderborn
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fortuna Düsseldorf - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Paderborn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | Liga | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.42 | 2.81 | ▼ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 57% | • 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 25% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 83% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Fortuna Düsseldorf's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Paderborn. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Paderborn?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:1 Paderborn. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Paderborn?
Fortuna Düsseldorf score 0.89 goals per game on average and Paderborn 1.58. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Fortuna Düsseldorf's matches and 58% of Paderborn's.
What form are Fortuna Düsseldorf and Paderborn in?
Over the last 5 games Fortuna Düsseldorf have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Paderborn 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Paderborn?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.