Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen: match statistics

Alemannia Aachen sit 2nd in the table, while Fortuna Köln are 12th, and the start of the season confirms this disparity: the visitors won their only league match 4:1, whereas the hosts lost 0:1. Aachen remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 4 wins and a draw while scoring as many as 17 goals—an average of 3.4 per game. Over the same period, Fortuna have a record of 2 wins, a draw and 2 defeats, with a goal tally of 7:6. The visitors combine significantly greater attacking efficiency with a more solid defense, having conceded just 4 goals in their last five matches compared with Fortuna’s 6. The advantage in form, attacking output and results to date points to an Alemannia win, although the away fixture increases the hosts’ chances of earning a draw.

The strongest signal in favor of BTTS - Yes comes from the current form: Fortuna Köln have had both teams score in 60% of their last 5 matches, while Alemannia Aachen have done so in as many as 80%. The visitors are particularly productive, averaging 3.4 goals in their last five matches, while Fortuna conceded 1.2 goals per game during this period. The hosts should also create chances, having scored an average of 1.4 goals in their last five appearances, while Aachen allowed an average of 0.8 goals. Additionally, Aachen’s average xG stands at 1.48, with an xG conceded of 1.15, pointing to a match with genuine chances at both ends. In the league, as many as 80% of matches end with both teams scoring, making the scenario in which each team finds the net more likely. BTTS - No would mean that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.

Alemannia Aachen are in very strong attacking form: they have scored 17 goals in their last five matches, averaging 3.4 per game, while conceding just 4. Fortuna Köln have averaged 1.4 goals scored over the same period but conceded 1.2 per match, giving the visitors clear conditions to create numerous chances. Matches involving Fortuna exceeded 2.5 goals in 60% of their last five appearances, while Aachen’s figure is as high as 80%; both teams scored in 60% and 80% of those matches, respectively. Additionally, the league average is a very high 4.4 goals per match, and 90% of games exceeded the 2.5-goal line, which is why the safest choice remains Over 1.5.

Alemannia Aachen are in clearly better form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, remain unbeaten, and average 3.4 goals scored against just 0.8 conceded. The visitors tend to start matches strongly, leading at the break in 60% of their last five outings, while averaging 1.2 goals before half-time compared with Fortuna Köln’s 0.6. Fortuna have won only 2 of their last 5 matches and suffered 2 defeats, while their average of 1.4 goals scored is clearly below their opponents’ tally. Aachen’s advantage increases further after the break, as they average 2.2 goals compared with Köln’s 0.8, supporting the HT/FT scenario of the visitors leading at half-time and winning the match. A draw at half-time followed by an Aachen victory remains a significant alternative, as Fortuna were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their recent matches.