Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fortuna Sittard play Ajax in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 6 December 2025 at 18:45. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

Fortuna Sittard: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Ajax: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fortuna Sittard scores 1.44 and concedes 1.85 goals per match. Ajax scores 1.81 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fortuna Sittard 76%, Ajax 67%. Over 2.5: Fortuna Sittard 68%, Ajax 56%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Ajax has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.38. Fortuna Sittard: 12.7 shots per match, Ajax: 14.9.

Match halves

Fortuna Sittard: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Ajax: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Fortuna Sittard: 0-15 (10 goals). Ajax: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

36Possession (%)64
Fortuna SittardAjax
26Shots13
Fortuna SittardAjax
7Shots on target4
Fortuna SittardAjax
2.47xG1.45
Fortuna SittardAjax
4Corners4
Fortuna SittardAjax
49Dangerous attacks48
Fortuna SittardAjax
13Fouls9
Fortuna SittardAjax
5Cards4
Fortuna SittardAjax

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Fortuna SittardAjax
1.44Goals scored / match1.81
Fortuna SittardAjax
1.85Goals conceded / match1.17
Fortuna SittardAjax
45%Average possession56%
Fortuna SittardAjax
4.44Shots on target / match5.92
Fortuna SittardAjax

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.68Shots per match14.89
Fortuna SittardAjax
4.44Shots on target5.92
Fortuna SittardAjax
11.4%Shot conversion12.1%
Fortuna SittardAjax
45%Possession56%
Fortuna SittardAjax
1.38xG for1.73
Fortuna SittardAjax
1.74xG against1.46
Fortuna SittardAjax

Shooting quality

Fortuna Sittard: BalancedAjax: Dominant
Fortuna SittardAjax
Accuracy (shots on target)35%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ajax is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard · 1.2 pts / match - Ajax

Fortuna Sittard
DLLWL
Season result split
32% W18% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-17
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-4-6
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Ajax
DLDWD
Season result split
42% W42% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-15-6
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-10-2
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LDWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ajax is 26% better for: goals scored per match.

1.44 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard · 1.81 goals / match - Ajax

Ajax is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.85 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard · 1.17 goals / match - Ajax

Fortuna Sittard scoring profile: very strong

Fortuna Sittard scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 36 matches).

Ajax scoring profile: very strong

Ajax scores in 92% of matches (33 of 36 matches), while Fortuna Sittard keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 34 matches).

49Goals scored (season)65
Fortuna SittardAjax
63Goals conceded (season)42
Fortuna SittardAjax
3.29Average goals in match2.97
Fortuna SittardAjax
6Goals scored (last 5)6
Fortuna SittardAjax
9Goals conceded (last 5)5
Fortuna SittardAjax

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal92%
Fortuna SittardAjax
41%2 goals61%
Fortuna SittardAjax
15%3 goals22%
Fortuna SittardAjax
3%4 goals6%
Fortuna SittardAjax

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal69%
Fortuna SittardAjax
65%2 goals42%
Fortuna SittardAjax
18%3 goals6%
Fortuna SittardAjax
9%4 goals0%
Fortuna SittardAjax

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time28%
Fortuna SittardAjax
15%BTTS in both halves8%
Fortuna SittardAjax
26%Scored in both halves42%
Fortuna SittardAjax

BTTS and goal count

68%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Fortuna SittardAjax
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Fortuna SittardAjax
80%BTTS - last 560%
Fortuna SittardAjax

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

91%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Fortuna SittardAjax
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time53%
Fortuna SittardAjax
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Fortuna SittardAjax

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Fortuna SittardAjax
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Fortuna SittardAjax
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Fortuna SittardAjax

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ajax is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard · 1.81 pts / match - Ajax

Fortuna Sittard - half-time state
29% leading32% draw38% trailing
Ajax - half-time state
47% leading39% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.81
Fortuna SittardAjax
0.74Goals scored (1st half)1.03
Fortuna SittardAjax
0.91Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
Fortuna SittardAjax
1.65Average goals (1st half)1.5
Fortuna SittardAjax
32%Clean sheet before half-time58%
Fortuna SittardAjax
38%No goal before half-time31%
Fortuna SittardAjax

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per match (2nd half)1.42
Fortuna SittardAjax
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
Fortuna SittardAjax
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
Fortuna SittardAjax
1.65Average goals (2nd half)1.47
Fortuna SittardAjax
29%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Fortuna SittardAjax
50%No goal after half-time36%
Fortuna SittardAjax

Fortuna Sittard - second-half results

15% W50% R35% P
41
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ajax - second-half results

33% W42% R25% P
65
Half-time points
37
Half-time goals
+20
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding89%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 42%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fortuna Sittard - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Ajax - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fortuna Sittard
ScoredConceded
10
11
0-15
5
11
16-30
10
9
31-45
8
8
46-60
6
9
61-75
10
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Ajax
ScoredConceded
10
6
0-15
12
5
16-30
15
6
31-45
12
8
46-60
4
7
61-75
12
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
78%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fortuna Sittard

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Ajax

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

Fortuna SittardLigaAjax
Average goals in match 3.293.17 2.97
Both teams scored 76%63% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 68%61% 56%
Clean sheets 9%20% 31%
Goal before half-time 91%80% 83%
Goal after half-time 79%84% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.17
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.80
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Fortuna Sittard 0 - 0 - 1 Ajax. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?

The Eredivisie match finished Fortuna Sittard 1:3 Ajax. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?

Fortuna Sittard score 1.44 goals per game on average and Ajax 1.81. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Fortuna Sittard's matches and 67% of Ajax's.

What form are Fortuna Sittard and Ajax in?

Over the last 5 games Fortuna Sittard have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ajax 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.