United States - USL League OneData current as of September 22, 2026

Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph: match statistics

Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Forward Madison played against Greenville Triumph in USL League One (United States). The game was played on August 13, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Forward Madison has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Greenville Triumph has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Forward Madison scores 2.06 goals per game and allows 1.06. Greenville Triumph scores 1.11 and allows 1.72. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 56% of Forward Madison's games and 39% of Greenville Triumph's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 56%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.54 per game. Forward Madison takes 13.1 shots per game, while Greenville Triumph takes 13.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Forward Madison leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Greenville Triumph leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.39 after halftime.

When the teams score

Forward Madison's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (10 goals). For Greenville Triumph, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

USL League One games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Forward Madison are in an excellent run of five consecutive wins, scoring 18 goals in the process, while Greenville have won just once in their last five matches and conceded 11 goals. The hosts win 88% of their home games, score an average of 3.25 goals and remain unbeaten on home soil, whereas the visitors lose 75% of their away matches. Madison’s superiority is also evident in chance creation: they average 18 shots and 6.75 shots on target per match, compared with Greenville’s 10.88 shots and 3.38 on target. The hosts’ defense concedes just 0.75 goals per home game, while the visitors score only 0.5 goals away from home and have failed to score in 75% of such matches. Forward Madison’s home xG stands at 2.01, compared with Greenville’s 1.36 away from home, further supporting a convincing home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Forward Madison has recorded BTTS in 67% of their matches this season, while in their last five games, both teams have scored in 60%—the same figure as for Greenville. The hosts have recently averaged 3.6 goals per match and created 1.89 xG, whereas Greenville, despite their weaker season-long efficiency, have produced a strong 2.14 xG across their last five appearances. Forward Madison’s defense allows an average of 1.4 xG this season, while the visitors have conceded 11 goals in their last five matches, or 2.2 per game, which strongly supports a home goal. The risk to BTTS is Greenville’s season average of just 0.5 goals and 75% of matches without scoring, but the visitors’ current attacking form and the opponent’s weaker defense slightly favor the “yes” option.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Forward Madison average 1.78 goals per game this season, rising to as many as 3.6 goals per match across their last five fixtures, with xG at 1.89. Greenville concede an average of 1.75 goals in the competition and 2.2 over their last five matches, clearly strengthening the prospect of at least two goals for the hosts or an open game. The 1.5 line has been covered in 78% of Forward Madison matches and 75% of Greenville games, while the league average stands at 2.88 goals. The visitors have scored just 0.5 goals per match this season, so their projected goal tally remains limited to 0.91; however, their recent xG of 2.14 suggests they can contribute to the scoreline. Over 1.5 is the strongest pick, as it combines the high consistency of both teams with a projected total of 2.87 goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Forward Madison have won all of their last five matches, scoring an average of 3.6 goals while conceding just 1.2, whereas Greenville have lost three of their five games during this period and conceded an average of 2.2 goals. The home side led at the break in each of their last five appearances, scoring an average of 1.8 goals before half-time, while the visitors failed to go into the interval with a lead on any occasion and conceded an average of 1.25 goals before the break. Madison’s advantage is also evident over the course of the season: they win 44% of their matches compared with Greenville’s 13%, while the visitors’ opponents have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their games. The hosts’ attack generates 1.76 xG and averages 5.67 shots on target, compared with Greenville’s 1.36 xG and 3.38 shots on target, supporting the HT/FT scenario of Madison leading at half-time and maintaining their advantage through to the final whistle.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

61Possession (%)39
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
20Shots10
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
8Shots on target3
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
2.14xG0.96
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
11Corners1
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
47Dangerous attacks16
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
15Fouls17
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
1Cards4
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
2.06Goals scored / game1.11
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
1.06Goals allowed / game1.72
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
49%Average possession47%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
4.78Shots on target / game4.39
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.11Shots per game13.28
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
4.78Shots on target4.39
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
15.7%Shot conversion8.4%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
49%Possession47%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
1.54xG for1.54
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
1.37xG against1.47
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

Shooting quality

Forward Madison: Efficient finishingGreenville Triumph: Balanced
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
Accuracy (shots on target)36%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Forward Madison is 200% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Forward Madison · 0.8 pts / game - Greenville Triumph

Forward Madison
WWWWL
Season result split
61% W11% D28% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-2-5
1.94 pts / game · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Greenville Triumph
LLWDL
Season result split
28% W17% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-10
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-7
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.93Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forward Madison is 86% better for: goals scored per game.

2.06 goals / game - Forward Madison · 1.11 goals / game - Greenville Triumph

Forward Madison is 62% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.06 goals / game - Forward Madison · 1.72 goals / game - Greenville Triumph

Forward Madison scoring profile: very strong

Forward Madison scores in 83% of games (15 of 18 games), while Greenville Triumph keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 games).

Greenville Triumph scoring profile: mixed

Greenville Triumph scores in 50% of games (9 of 18 games), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 games).

37Goals scored (season)20
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
19Goals conceded (season)31
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
3.11Average goals per game2.83
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
15Goals scored (last 5)6
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal50%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
56%2 goals28%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
39%3 goals28%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
17%4 goals6%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal83%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
28%2 goals61%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
6%3 goals22%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
0%4 goals6%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time17%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
44%Scored in both halves22%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
60%BTTS - last 540%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

94%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forward Madison is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.11 pts / game - Forward Madison · 1.17 pts / game - Greenville Triumph

Forward Madison - half-time state
67% leading11% draw22% trailing
Greenville Triumph - half-time state
22% leading50% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.11Points per game (1st half)1.17
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
1.17Goals scored (1st half)0.56
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
1.72Average goals (1st half)1.22
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
61%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
22%No goal before half-time61%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

After half-time (2nd half)

1.56Points per game (2nd half)0.83
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
1.39Average goals (2nd half)1.28
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
56%Clean sheet after half-time39%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
50%No goal after half-time72%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

Forward Madison - second-half results

39% W39% D22% L
38
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding91%

Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 61%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Greenville Triumph - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
21
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Forward Madison - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.402.60
Goals scored / game1.41.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game2.02.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+4+6
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Greenville Triumph - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.00
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.4
Average goals per game1.40.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Forward Madison
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
10
5
16-30
8
2
31-45
2
4
46-60
8
0
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Greenville Triumph
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
2
3
16-30
4
5
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
5
61-75
0
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.98
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Forward Madison

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.83
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Greenville Triumph

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 35% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).

Teams vs league

Forward MadisonLigaGreenville Triumph
Average goals per game 3.112.88 2.83
Both teams scored 56%55% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 61%60% 56%
Clean sheets 28%26% 17%
Goal before half-time 94%70% 67%
Goal after half-time 72%78% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / game
1.10
Away goals / game
+62%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defensive advantage
+34%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Greenville TriumphGoalMubashir Nour
  2. Greenville TriumphYellow cardMubashir Nour
  3. Greenville TriumphYellow cardBrandon Fricke
  4. Greenville TriumphSubstitutionOn: Evan LeeOff: Brandon Fricke
  5. Forward MadisonGoalBibi Hakim KaramokoAssist: Roman Torres
  6. Greenville TriumphYellow cardZane Bubb
  7. Forward MadisonYellow cardJackson Castro
  8. Greenville TriumphSubstitutionOn: Jason BouregyOff: Kimito Fritz

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Forward Madison's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Greenville Triumph. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Greenville Triumph
1 : 0
Forward Madison
Greenville Triumph SC
3 : 0
Forward Madison FC
Forward Madison FC
3 : 1
Greenville Triumph SC

FAQ

What was the result of Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?

The USL League One match finished Forward Madison 1:1 Greenville Triumph. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Forward Madison and Greenville Triumph?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Forward Madison won 1, Greenville Triumph won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?

Forward Madison score 2.06 goals per game on average and Greenville Triumph 1.11. The USL League One average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Forward Madison's matches and 39% of Greenville Triumph's.

What form are Forward Madison and Greenville Triumph in?

Over the last 5 games Forward Madison have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Greenville Triumph 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?

The statistical background for Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.