Forward Madison vs NY Cosmos: match statistics
Forward Madison vs NY Cosmos: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Forward Madison played against NY Cosmos in USL League One (United States). The game was played on June 21, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Forward Madison has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. NY Cosmos has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Forward Madison scores 1.64 goals per game and allows 1.18. NY Cosmos scores 1.36 and allows 2.45. Games in this league average 2.89 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Forward Madison's games and 82% of NY Cosmos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 91%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
NY Cosmos has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.45 per game. Forward Madison takes 12.4 shots per game, while NY Cosmos takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Forward Madison leads at halftime in 55% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. NY Cosmos leads at halftime in 9% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Forward Madison's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For NY Cosmos, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL League One games average 2.89 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win. Forward Madison score an average of 3.0 goals per home match (18 goals this season) and have a 67% home win rate, while NY Cosmos average 1.0 goal away and have a 0% win rate on the road. xG supports the home advantage: Forward Madison’s home xG is 2.07 with xG against 0.98, whereas Cosmos have xG for 1.36 and xG against 1.75, indicating the hosts create better chances and concede fewer. Chance quality and efficiency favor the hosts — 7.67 on-target shots and 19.67 shots per home game with a 15% conversion rate versus 3.33 on-target, 12.17 shots and 8% conversion for the visitors; additionally Cosmos have conceded 15 goals in their last 5 matches. Considering form (Forward Madison 1.4 pts/game in last 5, Cosmos 0 pts) and the fact guests lose 100% of away games and have a -12 away goal difference, I assign an 80% probability to a home win, 12% to a draw and 8% to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams give a strong signal for BTTS: Forward Madison has a seasonal BTTS rate of 80%, and NY Cosmos 83%, both well above the league average of 56%. NY Cosmos concede on average 3.0 goals per match season-to-date, while Forward Madison score 1.8 goals; simultaneously Madison concede 1.8 goals and Cosmos score 1.0 goals, indicating statistically a high likelihood of goals from both sides. Cosmos have no clean sheets this season (0%), and Madison keep a clean sheet in 20% of matches, which further increases the probability of goals for both teams. Chance quality metrics support this conclusion: xG is 1.62 for Madison and 1.36 for Cosmos, xG against 1.68 and 1.75 and average shots on target 5.0 vs 3.33; additionally 80% of Madison matches and 100% of Cosmos matches are over 2.5 goals. Although Madison had BTTS in only 40% of their last 5 matches and Cosmos 80% in their last 5, the combined seasonal rates (80%/83%), the high number of goals conceded by Cosmos and their lack of clean sheets lead me to forecast BTTS at 85% and No BTTS at 15%, recommended stake: "yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have season Over 1.5 at 100% (Forward Madison and NY Cosmos), which is the strongest signal for Over 1.5; additionally both sides have scored at least one goal in 80% and 83% of matches. Combining xG: hosts xG_for 1.62 and visitors xG_against 1.75 give the hosts ~1.69 xG, and visitors xG_for 1.36 and hosts xG_against 1.68 give the visitors ~1.52 xG, totaling 3.21 expected goals. From a Poisson distribution with a total of 3.21 there is ~62% chance for Over 2.5 and ~40% for Over 3.5, while seasonal Over 2.5 rates (80%/100%) and Over 3.5 (60%/83%) suggest higher empirical probabilities. Therefore, combining the xG model and seasonal data I assess Over 1.5 as the strongest line (~92%), Over 2.5 at ~76% and Over 3.5 at ~56% — I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the primary pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is the home side leading at the break and winning by full-time (1/1). NY Cosmos have yet to win a match this season (0 wins) and have lost all fixtures (100% defeats), conceding an average of 3.0 goals per game, while Forward Madison score an average of 1.8 goals and have an xG of 1.62 versus the visitors’ 1.36. In the last five matches the hosts have led at the break in 60% of cases and averaged 0.8 goals by halftime, whereas the visitors averaged 0.0 goals before the interval. Additionally, Forward Madison register an average of 5.0 shots on target versus Cosmos’ 3.33 and have a shot conversion rate of 14% compared to the visitors’ 8%, which increases the likelihood of the home side maintaining their lead and closing out the match as winners.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Forward Madison | NY Cosmos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forward Madison is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
1.64 goals / game - Forward Madison · 1.36 goals / game - NY Cosmos
Forward Madison is 108% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.18 goals / game - Forward Madison · 2.45 goals / game - NY Cosmos
Forward Madison scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 meczów), while NY Cosmos keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 meczów).
NY Cosmos scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 meczów), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forward Madison
Over / Under - NY Cosmos
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forward Madison is 149% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / game - Forward Madison · 0.73 pts / game - NY Cosmos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forward Madison - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 55% of games and wins 45%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
NY Cosmos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Forward Madison
NY Cosmos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Forward Madison | Liga | NY Cosmos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.82 | 2.89 | ▲ 3.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 57% | ▲ 82% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 58% | ▲ 91% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 24% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Forward Madison's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against NY Cosmos. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Forward Madison vs NY Cosmos?
The USL League One match finished Forward Madison 3:1 NY Cosmos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Forward Madison vs NY Cosmos?
Forward Madison score 1.64 goals per game on average and NY Cosmos 1.36. The USL League One average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Forward Madison's matches and 82% of NY Cosmos's.
What form are Forward Madison and NY Cosmos in?
Over the last 5 games Forward Madison have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and NY Cosmos 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forward Madison vs NY Cosmos?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Forward Madison vs NY Cosmos: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.