United States - USL League OneData current as of October 17, 2026

Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Forward Madison plays Portland Hearts of Pine in USL League One (United States). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026.

Recent form

Forward Madison has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Portland Hearts of Pine has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Forward Madison scores 1.73 goals per game and allows 1.00. Portland Hearts of Pine scores 1.47 and allows 1.83. Games in this league average 2.99 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 57% of Forward Madison's games and 80% of Portland Hearts of Pine's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 67%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Forward Madison has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.41 per game. Forward Madison takes 14.0 shots per game, while Portland Hearts of Pine takes 11.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Forward Madison leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.90 goals per game after halftime. Portland Hearts of Pine leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.97 after halftime.

When the teams score

Forward Madison's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (12 goals). For Portland Hearts of Pine, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

USL League One games average 2.99 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
1.73Goals scored / game1.47
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
1Goals allowed / game1.83
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
50%Average possession50%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
4.87Shots on target / game3.93
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.03Shots per game11.7
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
4.87Shots on target3.93
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
12.4%Shot conversion12.5%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
50%Possession50%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
1.65xG for1.41
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
1.34xG against1.85
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine

Shooting quality

Forward Madison: AttackingPortland Hearts of Pine: Balanced
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Portland Hearts of Pine is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Forward Madison · 1 pts / game - Portland Hearts of Pine

Forward Madison
LWLDL
Season result split
50% W23% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-7-8
1.73 pts / game · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-5-1
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DDDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Portland Hearts of Pine
WDLDL
Season result split
23% W33% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-10-13
1.03 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-7-6
Last 5 away
0-4-1
DDLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forward Madison is 18% better for: goals scored per game.

1.73 goals / game - Forward Madison · 1.47 goals / game - Portland Hearts of Pine

Forward Madison is 83% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Forward Madison · 1.83 goals / game - Portland Hearts of Pine

Forward Madison scoring profile: very strong

Forward Madison scores in 80% of games (24 of 30 games), while Portland Hearts of Pine keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 30 games).

Portland Hearts of Pine scoring profile: very strong

Portland Hearts of Pine scores in 83% of games (25 of 30 games), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 games).

52Goals scored (season)44
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
30Goals conceded (season)55
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
2.73Average goals per game3.3
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal83%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
50%2 goals37%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
27%3 goals20%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
10%4 goals3%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal90%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
20%2 goals53%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
7%3 goals27%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
0%4 goals10%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

80%
Portland Hearts of Pine - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.24 of 30 games
60%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time10%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
37%Scored in both halves13%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
20%BTTS - last 580%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time37%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forward Madison is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.73 pts / game - Forward Madison · 1.07 pts / game - Portland Hearts of Pine

Forward Madison - half-time state
50% leading23% draw27% trailing
Portland Hearts of Pine - half-time state
23% leading37% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.73Points per game (1st half)1.07
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
1.37Average goals (1st half)1.07
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
60%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
40%No goal before half-time67%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine

After half-time (2nd half)

1.63Points per game (2nd half)1
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.97
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)1.07
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
1.37Average goals (2nd half)2.03
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
57%Clean sheet after half-time30%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
43%No goal after half-time40%
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine

Forward Madison - second-half results

40% W43% D17% L
52
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Portland Hearts of Pine - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
32
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Forward Madison - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.60
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game0.81.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Portland Hearts of Pine - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game1.20.8
Average goals per game1.61.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Forward Madison
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
12
6
16-30
9
4
31-45
7
4
46-60
10
3
61-75
10
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Portland Hearts of Pine
ScoredConceded
7
8
0-15
3
6
16-30
5
9
31-45
8
7
46-60
6
9
61-75
15
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.01
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
0%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Forward Madison

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.93
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Portland Hearts of Pine

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).

Teams vs league

Forward MadisonLigaPortland Hearts of Pine
Average goals per game▼ 2.732.99▲ 3.30
Both teams scored▼ 57%60%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%60%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 27%23%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%75%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 73%81%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.99
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / game
1.23
Away goals / game
+43%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defensive advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Forward Madison's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Portland Hearts of Pine. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Forward Madison
Portland Hearts of Pine SC
1 : 3
Forward Madison FC
Forward Madison FC
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine SC

FAQ

When do Forward Madison and Portland Hearts of Pine play?

Forward Madison face Portland Hearts of Pine on October 17, 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Forward Madison and Portland Hearts of Pine?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Forward Madison won 2, Portland Hearts of Pine won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Forward Madison score 1.73 goals per game on average and Portland Hearts of Pine 1.47. The USL League One average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Forward Madison's matches and 80% of Portland Hearts of Pine's.

What form are Forward Madison and Portland Hearts of Pine in?

Over the last 5 games Forward Madison have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Portland Hearts of Pine 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.