France vs Senegal: match statistics
France vs Senegal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
France play Senegal in World Cup (International). The match date is 16 June 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
France: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Senegal: 1-0-3, 0.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
France scores 2.50 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Senegal scores 2.50 and concedes 2.25. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: France 38%, Senegal 75%. Over 2.5: France 63%, Senegal 100%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
France has higher xG: 2.06 vs 1.95. France: 17.4 shots per match, Senegal: 17.3.
Match halves
France: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.88. Senegal: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 2.00.
Goals by minute
France: 61-75 (6 goals). Senegal: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
World Cup: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
France has greater individual quality, but Senegal is athletically and tactically robust enough to keep the match close. We view the draw as value, since a first group match often reinforces the favorite’s caution. Our probability distribution: France 54%, draw 25%, Senegal 21%. At odds of 4.70 the model shows EV ≈ +17.5%, so the pick only makes sense as a smaller, high-variance stake. The risk is France’s attacking depth; if the favorite ramps up the tempo early, Senegal could be under prolonged pressure. Status: SMALL BET.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| France | Senegal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
France is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - France · 0.75 pts / match - Senegal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
France is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - France · 2.25 goals / match - Senegal
France scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Senegal keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Senegal scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while France keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — France
Over / Under — Senegal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Senegal is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - France · 1.75 pts / match - Senegal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
France - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Senegal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 4.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
France
Senegal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| France | Liga | Senegal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.75 | 2.96 | ▲ 4.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 55% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of France vs Senegal?
The World Cup match finished France 3:1 Senegal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before France vs Senegal?
France score 2.50 goals per game on average and Senegal 2.50. The World Cup average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 38% of France's matches and 75% of Senegal's.
What form are France and Senegal in?
Over the last 5 games France have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Senegal 1-0-3 (0.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for France vs Senegal?
The statistical background for France vs Senegal — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.