Denmark - 1st DivisionMonjasa ParkData current as of October 16, 2026

Fredericia vs Hobro: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Fredericia vs Hobro: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Fredericia plays Hobro in 1st Division (Denmark). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Monjasa Park.

Recent form

Fredericia has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Hobro has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Fredericia scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 0.60. Hobro scores 1.30 and allows 1.70. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Fredericia's games and 80% of Hobro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 70%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fredericia has the higher season xG average, 2.50 to 1.29 per game. Fredericia takes 22.5 shots per game, while Hobro takes 9.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Fredericia leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Hobro leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.80 after halftime.

When the teams score

Fredericia's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Hobro, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

1st Division games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.55)
(4.13)
(5.12)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.4Goals scored / game1.3
FredericiaHobro
0.6Goals allowed / game1.7
FredericiaHobro
56%Average possession49%
FredericiaHobro
8.5Shots on target / game3.6
FredericiaHobro

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

22.5Shots per game9.3
FredericiaHobro
8.5Shots on target3.6
FredericiaHobro
6.2%Shot conversion14%
FredericiaHobro
56%Possession49%
FredericiaHobro
2.5xG for1.29
FredericiaHobro
1.19xG against1.54
FredericiaHobro

Shooting quality

Fredericia: DominantHobro: Efficient finishing
FredericiaHobro
Accuracy (shots on target)38%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.160.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Fredericia is 300% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Fredericia · 0.4 pts / game - Hobro

Fredericia
LWDDW
Season result split
40% W50% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-1
1.70 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-0
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
WDDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.37Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Hobro
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-4
1.40 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 away
2-0-2
WWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fredericia is 8% better for: goals scored per game.

1.4 goals / game - Fredericia · 1.3 goals / game - Hobro

Fredericia is 183% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.6 goals / game - Fredericia · 1.7 goals / game - Hobro

Fredericia scoring profile: very strong

Fredericia scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).

Hobro scoring profile: strong

Hobro scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Fredericia keeps a clean sheet in 60% (6 of 10 games).

14Goals scored (season)13
FredericiaHobro
6Goals conceded (season)17
FredericiaHobro
2Average goals per game3
FredericiaHobro
6Goals scored (last 5)5
FredericiaHobro
4Goals conceded (last 5)12
FredericiaHobro

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal90%
FredericiaHobro
40%2 goals40%
FredericiaHobro
20%3 goals0%
FredericiaHobro
0%4 goals0%
FredericiaHobro

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal80%
FredericiaHobro
20%2 goals40%
FredericiaHobro
0%3 goals30%
FredericiaHobro
0%4 goals10%
FredericiaHobro

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time30%
FredericiaHobro
10%BTTS in both halves10%
FredericiaHobro
10%Scored in both halves20%
FredericiaHobro

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS70%
FredericiaHobro
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
FredericiaHobro
40%BTTS - last 580%
FredericiaHobro

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
FredericiaHobro
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
FredericiaHobro
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
FredericiaHobro

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
FredericiaHobro
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
FredericiaHobro
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
FredericiaHobro

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fredericia is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / game - Fredericia · 1 pts / game - Hobro

Fredericia - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing
Hobro - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per game (1st half)1
FredericiaHobro
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.5
FredericiaHobro
0.3Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
FredericiaHobro
0.7Average goals (1st half)1.3
FredericiaHobro
70%Clean sheet before half-time40%
FredericiaHobro
70%No goal before half-time60%
FredericiaHobro

After half-time (2nd half)

1.9Points per game (2nd half)1.4
FredericiaHobro
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
FredericiaHobro
0.3Goals conceded (2nd half)0.9
FredericiaHobro
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.7
FredericiaHobro
80%Clean sheet after half-time50%
FredericiaHobro
40%No goal after half-time30%
FredericiaHobro

Fredericia - second-half results

50% W40% D10% L
12
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Hobro - second-half results

30% W50% D20% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Fredericia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.20
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Hobro - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game1.01.4
Average goals per game1.22.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-4-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Fredericia
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
5
1
46-60
4
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Hobro
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
2
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
4
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Fredericia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
43%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

Hobro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

FredericiaLigaHobro
Average goals per game▼ 2.002.78▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▼ 40%62%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%53%▲ 70%
Clean sheets▲ 60%24%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%77%▼ 70%
Goal after half-time▼ 70%77%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / game
1.38
Away goals / game
+1%
Home attack advantage
+1%
Home defensive advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Fredericia and Hobro play?

Fredericia face Hobro on October 17, 2026 in 1st Division at Monjasa Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Fredericia vs Hobro?

Fredericia score 1.40 goals per game on average and Hobro 1.30. The 1st Division average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Fredericia's matches and 80% of Hobro's.

What form are Fredericia and Hobro in?

Over the last 5 games Fredericia have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Hobro 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fredericia vs Hobro?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fredericia vs Hobro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.