Fredrikstad vs Vålerenga: match statistics
Fredrikstad vs Vålerenga: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fredrikstad played against Vålerenga in Eliteserien (Norway). The game was played on April 12, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Fredrikstad has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Vålerenga has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Fredrikstad scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 2.33. Vålerenga scores 1.00 and allows 0.33. Games in this league average 3.04 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Fredrikstad's games and 0% of Vålerenga's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 0%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Vålerenga has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.28 per game. Fredrikstad takes 9.7 shots per game, while Vålerenga takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Fredrikstad leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Vålerenga leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fredrikstad's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For Vålerenga, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eliteserien games average 3.04 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). Fredrikstad holds an offensive edge in the numbers: 10 goals scored in the last 5 matches versus Vålerenga’s 7, and a home goals average of 3.0 per match compared to visitors’ 2.0 on the road. The hosts average 14 shots and 7 on target per home game versus Vålerenga’s 10 shots and 6 on target, while average xG is 1.75 for Fredrikstad vs 1.24 for Vålerenga, indicating more high-quality chances for the hosts. The defense poses a risk — Fredrikstad conceded 11 goals in the last 5 fixtures and concedes on average 1.0 goal per home match, whereas Vålerenga’s data shows 0.0 goals conceded away and 100% clean sheets, which may limit the hosts’ advantage. Considering the higher volume of chances, superior xG and better recent form (Fredrikstad 3 wins in last 5 vs Vålerenga 2), I assign a 55% probability to a home win, 20% to a draw and 25% to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes (70% vs 30%) as the more likely outcome. In the last 5 matches Fredrikstad has BTTS at 80% (4/5), scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.2 on average, while Vålerenga in the last 5 has BTTS 40% (2/5), scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8. xG and shot metrics corroborate the risk of goals at both ends: season xG is 1.53 for Fredrikstad and 1.24 for Vålerenga, and in the last 5 matches xG is 1.3 vs 1.33 with xG against 1.49 vs 1.68; additionally Vålerenga averages 6.0 shots on target vs Fredrikstad's 3.5 and a conversion rate of 20% vs 4%. Counterarguments are seasonal anomalies — both teams have season BTTS of 0% and Vålerenga has seasonally 100% clean sheets with an average of 0.0 goals conceded, which increases the risk of a No Goal outcome for one side. However, given the fresher form indicators, higher xG against Fredrikstad (1.91 seasonally) and Vålerenga's high conversion, the Both Teams To Score scenario appears stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Considering xG, Fredrikstad has xG_for 1.53, Vålerenga 1.24; after accounting for opponents' xG_against I project 1.45 goals for Fredrikstad and 1.58 for Vålerenga, totaling 3.03 expected goals. This is above the league average of 2.95, and a Poisson model with λ=3.03 yields ~80% probability for Over 1.5, ~58% for Over 2.5 and ~36% for Over 3.5. Additionally, Vålerenga averages 6.0 shots on target with a 20.0% conversion rate, while Fredrikstad has 3.5 SoT and a 4.0% conversion, indicating greater clinical finishing from the visitors. In the last 5 matches Fredrikstad scored 2.0 and conceded 2.2 on average (10 scored/11 conceded) and had 100% of games Over 2.5, which amplifies the expectation of a higher-scoring match despite their seasonal discrepancy (seasonally Fredrikstad 0.5 goals/match). Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation: Over 1.5) with an estimated probability of ~81%; the 2.5 line also favors Over (~58%) but with lower confidence.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Forecast: draw at half-time and away win (X/2). Data show the away side scores on average 2.0 goals after the break (AVG_2hg_away = 2.0) and has a 100% win rate in second halves (wins_2hg_percentage_away = 100.0), which strongly supports a decision after the break. At half-time the home team averages 0.5 goals (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.5) and the away team 0.0 (scoredAVGHT_away = 0.0), and the away team records 100% draws at the break (drawingAtHTPercentage_away = 100.0), so a half-time draw is most likely. Although the home xG is 1.53 versus 1.24 for the away side (xG_for_avg_home = 1.53 vs xG_for_avg_away = 1.24), the away team is far more efficient: shots on target 6.0 vs 3.5 and a conversion rate of 20.0% vs 4.0% (shotsOnTargetAVG_away = 6.0, shotsOnTargetAVG_home = 3.5, shot_conversion_rate_away = 20.0, shot_conversion_rate_home = 4.0), which favors their second-half victory. Additionally, the away team has a 100% season win rate (winPercentage_away = 100.0) versus 50.0% for the home team (winPercentage_home = 50.0), therefore the X/2 selection is the strongest signal from the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fredrikstad | Vålerenga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fredrikstad is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Fredrikstad · 1 goals / game - Vålerenga
Vålerenga is 606% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.33 goals / game - Fredrikstad · 0.33 goals / game - Vålerenga
Fredrikstad scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Vålerenga keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 meczów).
Vålerenga scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Fredrikstad keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fredrikstad
Over / Under - Vålerenga
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fredrikstad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Vålerenga - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Average goals per game | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 100% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fredrikstad
Vålerenga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Fredrikstad | Liga | Vålerenga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.33 | 3.04 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 56% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Fredrikstad's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Vålerenga. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fredrikstad vs Vålerenga?
The Eliteserien match finished Fredrikstad 1:1 Vålerenga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fredrikstad and Vålerenga?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 1, Vålerenga won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fredrikstad vs Vålerenga?
Fredrikstad score 2.00 goals per game on average and Vålerenga 1.00. The Eliteserien average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Fredrikstad's matches and 0% of Vålerenga's.
What form are Fredrikstad and Vålerenga in?
Over the last 5 games Fredrikstad have a 2-0-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Vålerenga 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fredrikstad vs Vålerenga?
The statistical background for Fredrikstad vs Vålerenga — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.