Freiburg vs Hamburger SV: match statistics
Freiburg displays significantly better home form with 43% wins and only 14% losses at home, while Hamburger SV has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%). The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match with an xG of 1.63, confirming their efficiency, whereas the visitors average a mere 0.43 goals away with an xG of 1.3. Freiburg's home goal difference stands at +5, while HSV suffers from a disastrous -13 record in away fixtures. Additionally, Hamburger SV failed to score in 57% of their away matches, which, combined with the hosts' solid defense (1.29 conceded on average), gives Freiburg a clear advantage. The recent form of both teams (Freiburg: wlwdw vs HSV: wdwld) and the hosts' dominance in possession (56% vs 47%) further support the forecast for a Freiburg victory.
Freiburg vs Hamburger SV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Freiburg play Hamburger SV in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 10 January 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Freiburg: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Hamburger SV: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Freiburg scores 1.50 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Hamburger SV scores 1.18 and concedes 1.59. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Freiburg 62%, Hamburger SV 65%. Over 2.5: Freiburg 65%, Hamburger SV 56%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Freiburg has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.35. Freiburg: 12.3 shots per match, Hamburger SV: 12.3.
Match halves
Freiburg: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.91. Hamburger SV: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Freiburg: 76-90+ (12 goals). Hamburger SV: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Freiburg displays significantly better home form with 43% wins and only 14% losses at home, while Hamburger SV has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%). The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match with an xG of 1.63, confirming their efficiency, whereas the visitors average a mere 0.43 goals away with an xG of 1.3. Freiburg's home goal difference stands at +5, while HSV suffers from a disastrous -13 record in away fixtures. Additionally, Hamburger SV failed to score in 57% of their away matches, which, combined with the hosts' solid defense (1.29 conceded on average), gives Freiburg a clear advantage. The recent form of both teams (Freiburg: wlwdw vs HSV: wdwld) and the hosts' dominance in possession (56% vs 47%) further support the forecast for a Freiburg victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Freiburg | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Freiburg is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Freiburg · 1.18 goals / match - Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Freiburg · 1.59 goals / match - Hamburger SV
Freiburg scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
Hamburger SV scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Freiburg keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Freiburg
Over / Under — Hamburger SV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Freiburg is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Freiburg · 1.03 pts / match - Hamburger SV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Freiburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Freiburg
Hamburger SV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Freiburg | Liga | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.18 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 64% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 21% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 86% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Freiburg 0 - 0 - 1 Hamburger SV. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Freiburg vs Hamburger SV?
The Bundesliga match finished Freiburg 2:1 Hamburger SV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Freiburg vs Hamburger SV?
Freiburg score 1.50 goals per game on average and Hamburger SV 1.18. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Freiburg's matches and 65% of Hamburger SV's.
What form are Freiburg and Hamburger SV in?
Over the last 5 games Freiburg have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hamburger SV 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Freiburg vs Hamburger SV?
The statistical background for Freiburg vs Hamburger SV — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.