Germany - BundesligaData current as of September 11, 2026

Freiburg vs Hamburger SV: match statistics

Freiburg crest
Freiburg
2 : 1half-time 0:0
Hamburger SV crest
Hamburger SV
165%(1.79)
X22%(3.45)
213%(4.50)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Won
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.57.75
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favorable long term.16.35%

Freiburg displays significantly better home form with 43% wins and only 14% losses at home, while Hamburger SV has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%). The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match with an xG of 1.63, confirming their efficiency, whereas the visitors average a mere 0.43 goals away with an xG of 1.3. Freiburg's home goal difference stands at +5, while HSV suffers from a disastrous -13 record in away fixtures. Additionally, Hamburger SV failed to score in 57% of their away matches, which, combined with the hosts' solid defense (1.29 conceded on average), gives Freiburg a clear advantage. The recent form of both teams (Freiburg: wlwdw vs HSV: wdwld) and the hosts' dominance in possession (56% vs 47%) further support the forecast for a Freiburg victory.

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Freiburg vs Hamburger SV: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Freiburg played against Hamburger SV in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Freiburg has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Hamburger SV has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Freiburg scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.73. Hamburger SV scores 1.07 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 3.18 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Freiburg's games and 53% of Hamburger SV's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 53%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Freiburg has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.40 per game. Freiburg takes 13.1 shots per game, while Hamburger SV takes 13.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Freiburg leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Hamburger SV leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.73 after halftime.

When the teams score

Freiburg's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Hamburger SV, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Bundesliga games average 3.18 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Freiburg displays significantly better home form with 43% wins and only 14% losses at home, while Hamburger SV has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%). The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match with an xG of 1.63, confirming their efficiency, whereas the visitors average a mere 0.43 goals away with an xG of 1.3. Freiburg's home goal difference stands at +5, while HSV suffers from a disastrous -13 record in away fixtures. Additionally, Hamburger SV failed to score in 57% of their away matches, which, combined with the hosts' solid defense (1.29 conceded on average), gives Freiburg a clear advantage. The recent form of both teams (Freiburg: wlwdw vs HSV: wdwld) and the hosts' dominance in possession (56% vs 47%) further support the forecast for a Freiburg victory.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
2 : 1
Second half

Game stats

60Possession (%)40
FreiburgHamburger SV
20Shots10
FreiburgHamburger SV
7Shots on target5
FreiburgHamburger SV
2.04xG1.19
FreiburgHamburger SV
0Corners3
FreiburgHamburger SV
40Dangerous attacks28
FreiburgHamburger SV
13Fouls11
FreiburgHamburger SV
3Cards5
FreiburgHamburger SV

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.33Points per gamePPG - points per game.1.07
FreiburgHamburger SV
1.67Goals scored / game1.07
FreiburgHamburger SV
1.73Goals allowed / game1.67
FreiburgHamburger SV
1.45xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.4
FreiburgHamburger SV
51%Average possession47%
FreiburgHamburger SV
4.2Shots on target / game4.6
FreiburgHamburger SV
27%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.20%
FreiburgHamburger SV
67%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.53%
FreiburgHamburger SV

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.07Shots per game13
FreiburgHamburger SV
4.2Shots on target4.6
FreiburgHamburger SV
12.8%Shot conversion8.2%
FreiburgHamburger SV
51%Possession47%
FreiburgHamburger SV
1.45xG for1.4
FreiburgHamburger SV
1.32xG against1.6
FreiburgHamburger SV

Shooting quality

Freiburg: BalancedHamburger SV: Balanced
FreiburgHamburger SV
Accuracy (shots on target)32%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Freiburg
LWLDW
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-5
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-1
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DDWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Hamburger SV
LWWLD
Season result split
27% W27% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-7
1.07 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-5
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Freiburg is 56% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - Freiburg · 1.07 goals / game - Hamburger SV

Freiburg scoring profile: very strong

Freiburg scores in 80% of games (12 of 15 meczów), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 meczów).

Hamburger SV scoring profile: strong

Hamburger SV scores in 60% of games (9 of 15 meczów), while Freiburg keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 meczów).

25Goals scored (season)16
FreiburgHamburger SV
26Goals conceded (season)25
FreiburgHamburger SV
3.4Average goals per game2.73
FreiburgHamburger SV
12Goals scored (last 5)7
FreiburgHamburger SV
12Goals conceded (last 5)9
FreiburgHamburger SV
Freiburg
27%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.4 of 15 meczów
20%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.3 of 15 meczów
Hamburger SV
20%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.3 of 15 meczów
40%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.6 of 15 meczów

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal60%
FreiburgHamburger SV
47%2 goals27%
FreiburgHamburger SV
27%3 goals13%
FreiburgHamburger SV
13%4 goals7%
FreiburgHamburger SV

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal80%
FreiburgHamburger SV
47%2 goals40%
FreiburgHamburger SV
27%3 goals20%
FreiburgHamburger SV
13%4 goals20%
FreiburgHamburger SV

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

67%
Freiburg - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 15 meczów
53%
Hamburger SV - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 15 meczów
55%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time7%
FreiburgHamburger SV
7%BTTS in both halves0%
FreiburgHamburger SV
33%Scored in both halves20%
FreiburgHamburger SV

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
FreiburgHamburger SV
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
FreiburgHamburger SV
80%BTTS - last 580%
FreiburgHamburger SV

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

87%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.87%
FreiburgHamburger SV
87%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.73%
FreiburgHamburger SV
67%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.53%
FreiburgHamburger SV
47%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.33%
FreiburgHamburger SV
20%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.27%
FreiburgHamburger SV

Over / Under - Freiburg

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 87%Under 13%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 87%Under 13%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 67%Under 33%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 47%Under 53%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 20%Under 80%

Over / Under - Hamburger SV

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 87%Under 13%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 73%Under 27%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 53%Under 47%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 33%Under 67%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 27%Under 73%

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
FreiburgHamburger SV
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
FreiburgHamburger SV
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
FreiburgHamburger SV

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
FreiburgHamburger SV
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
FreiburgHamburger SV
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
FreiburgHamburger SV

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Freiburg is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / game - Freiburg · 0.93 pts / game - Hamburger SV

Freiburg - half-time state
27% leading33% draw40% trailing
Hamburger SV - half-time state
20% leading33% draw47% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per game (1st half)0.93
FreiburgHamburger SV
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.33
FreiburgHamburger SV
0.87Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
FreiburgHamburger SV
1.53Average goals (1st half)1.13
FreiburgHamburger SV
40%Clean sheet before half-time47%
FreiburgHamburger SV
47%No goal before half-time73%
FreiburgHamburger SV

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per game (2nd half)0.93
FreiburgHamburger SV
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
FreiburgHamburger SV
0.87Goals conceded (2nd half)0.87
FreiburgHamburger SV
1.87Average goals (2nd half)1.6
FreiburgHamburger SV
60%Clean sheet after half-time33%
FreiburgHamburger SV
40%No goal after half-time47%
FreiburgHamburger SV

Freiburg - second-half results

47% W27% D27% L
17
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Hamburger SV - second-half results

13% W53% D33% L
14
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Freiburg - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.80
Goals scored / game1.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.81.6
Average goals per game2.02.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Hamburger SV - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.81.0
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Freiburg
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
7
31-45
5
7
46-60
3
2
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Hamburger SV
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
2
5
16-30
1
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
4
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.07
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Freiburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Hamburger SV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

FreiburgLigaHamburger SV
Average goals per game▲ 3.403.18▼ 2.73
Both teams scored▲ 67%55%▼ 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%61%▼ 53%
Clean sheets▲ 27%25%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 87%77%▼ 73%
Goal after half-time• 80%81%▼ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.18
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.71
Home goals / game
1.46
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Hamburger SVYellow cardDaniel Elfadli
  2. FreiburgYellow cardPhilipp Treu
  3. FreiburgYellow cardPhilipp Lienhart
  4. FreiburgSubstitutionOn: Anthony JungOff: Philipp Lienhart
  5. Hamburger SVGoalLuka VuškovićAssist: Miro Muheim
  6. Hamburger SVYellow cardDaniel Elfadli
  7. FreiburgGoalVincenzo Grifo
  8. Hamburger SVSubstitutionOn: Jordan TorunarighaOff: Mamadou Jean-Luc Diarra Dompé
  9. Hamburger SVYellow cardLuka Vušković
  10. Hamburger SVYellow cardDaniel Heuer Fernandes
  11. Hamburger SVSubstitutionOn: Alexander Røssing-LelesiitOff: Damion Downs
  12. FreiburgSubstitutionOn: Jan-Niklas BesteOff: Philipp Treu
  13. FreiburgGoalIgor MatanovicAssist: Jan-Niklas Beste
  14. Hamburger SVSubstitutionOn: Ransford KönigsdörfferOff: Albert-Mboyo Sambi Lokonga
  15. FreiburgSubstitutionOn: Nicolas HöflerOff: Johan Manzambi
  16. FreiburgYellow cardPatrick Osterhage
  17. Hamburger SVYellow cardAlexander Røssing-Lelesiit

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeTimo Gerach

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Timo GerachMatches officiated: 8
4.38Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 213%Home wins25%Draws63%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Freiburg vs Hamburger SV?

The Bundesliga match finished Freiburg 2:1 Hamburger SV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Freiburg vs Hamburger SV?

Freiburg score 1.67 goals per game on average and Hamburger SV 1.07. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Freiburg's matches and 53% of Hamburger SV's.

What form are Freiburg and Hamburger SV in?

Over the last 5 games Freiburg have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hamburger SV 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Freiburg vs Hamburger SV?

The statistical background for Freiburg vs Hamburger SV — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.