Freiburg vs Wolfsburg: match statistics
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Freiburg played against Wolfsburg in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on May 3, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Freiburg has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Wolfsburg has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Freiburg scores 1.42 goals per game and allows 1.68. Wolfsburg scores 1.32 and allows 2.13. Games in this league average 3.22 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Freiburg's games and 74% of Wolfsburg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 68%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Freiburg has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.32 per game. Freiburg takes 12.6 shots per game, while Wolfsburg takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Freiburg leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.87 goals per game after halftime. Wolfsburg leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Freiburg's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Wolfsburg, it is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.22 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 7.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Freiburg has a 53% home win rate and averages 1.87 goals per home match, while Wolfsburg wins only 27% of away matches and averages 1.33 goals. Visitors concede 2.33 goals on average away versus 1.33 conceded by Freiburg at home, and the season totals show 66 goals conceded for Wolfsburg compared to 52 for Freiburg. Chance quality favors the hosts: Freiburg posts 1.63 xG at home with 1.32 xG against and averages 14.67 shots with 5.27 on target, whereas Wolfsburg has 1.05 xG away, 2.13 xG against and only 9.4 shots with 3.27 on target. In the last 5 matches Freiburg scored 7 goals and averages 1.2 points per match, Wolfsburg scored 6 goals and averages 0.8 points per match; both sides conceded 10 goals in that period, which may indicate an open game. Considering higher xG, better control (51% possession for Freiburg vs 42% for Wolfsburg), superiority in shots and a stronger home record (+8 vs -15 away), I favor the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have very high seasonal BTTS rates: Freiburg 75% and Wolfsburg 73% (average 74%), which is 13 percentage points above the league BTTS average of 61%. Both sides regularly concede — Freiburg concedes 1.94 goals per game, Wolfsburg 2.33, and in the last 5 matches both teams conceded 2.0 goals on average (10 conceded goals in 5 fixtures). Freiburg generates 1.56 xG per game and averages 4.69 shots on target, while Wolfsburg has 1.05 xG and 3.27 shots on target; defensively Wolfsburg allows 2.13 xG, which favors Freiburg scoring. Clean sheet percentage is extremely low (6% for Freiburg and 7% for Wolfsburg), and the share of matches over 2.5 goals is 69% and 67% with over2.5+i and BTTS at 63% and 60%, further supporting a both teams to score scenario. On this basis the strongest signal from the data is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and goal data analysis points to a match with numerous goal-scoring opportunities: Freiburg has an attacking xG of 1.56 while Wolfsburg concedes an average xG against of 2.13, which when averaged yields an expected ~1.85 goals for the home side. The visitors have an attacking xG of 1.05 while Freiburg concedes xG against of 1.69, giving ~1.37 expected goals for Wolfsburg; the combined projected goals total is 3.22. Historically Over 1.5 occurs in 81% of Freiburg’s matches and 80% of Wolfsburg’s, and Over 2.5 is recorded in 69% and 67% of cases respectively, confirming a tendency toward higher scoring. Additionally both teams show high BTTS rates: 75% (Freiburg) and 73% (Wolfsburg), and Freiburg have had Over 2.5 in 100% of their last 5 matches, which strengthens the over signal. Based on this the strongest selection is an Over 1.5 bet (recommended) with a projected 82% probability for Over 1.5 and an expected 3.22 goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal comes from half-time statistics: Wolfsburg led at the break in 40% of their matches, while Freiburg only in 19%. Wolfsburg also posts superior half-time metrics — 22 points and an average of 1.47 points at half-time versus Freiburg’s 16 points and 1.0, with half-time goals averaging 0.8 for Wolfsburg and 0.56 for Freiburg. Over the full match Wolfsburg won 27% of games compared to Freiburg’s 13%, despite Freiburg generating more chances (xG 1.56 vs 1.05 and 13.44 shots on average versus 9.4), which points to Wolfsburg’s advantage in efficiency and holding a lead. Additionally, both teams scored in 75% of Freiburg’s matches and 73% of Wolfsburg’s, so the most likely scenario is Wolfsburg leading at the break and maintaining the win to full-time (HT/FT 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Freiburg | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Freiburg is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Freiburg · 0.8 pts / game - Wolfsburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Freiburg is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.42 goals / game - Freiburg · 1.32 goals / game - Wolfsburg
Freiburg is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.68 goals / game - Freiburg · 2.13 goals / game - Wolfsburg
Freiburg scores in 71% of games (22 of 31 meczów), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 31 meczów).
Wolfsburg scores in 77% of games (24 of 31 meczów), while Freiburg keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Freiburg
Over / Under - Wolfsburg
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Freiburg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Wolfsburg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 19%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Freiburg
Wolfsburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Freiburg | Liga | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.10 | 3.22 | ▲ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 21% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 85% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Freiburg's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Wolfsburg. Games average 7.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Freiburg vs Wolfsburg?
The Bundesliga match finished Freiburg 1:1 Wolfsburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Freiburg vs Wolfsburg?
Freiburg score 1.42 goals per game on average and Wolfsburg 1.32. The Bundesliga average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Freiburg's matches and 74% of Wolfsburg's.
What form are Freiburg and Wolfsburg in?
Over the last 5 games Freiburg have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Wolfsburg 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Freiburg vs Wolfsburg?
The statistical background for Freiburg vs Wolfsburg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.