Frosinone vs Como: match statistics

Como remain unbeaten in the league after 4 matches, winning 3 times, and have scored 13 goals in their last five fixtures, recording 4 wins and a draw. Away from home, the visitors average 2.33 goals, generate an xG of 2.15 and register 20.33 shots per match, while Frosinone average 1.5 goals and an xG of 1.37 at home. Como’s superiority is also evident in their control of the game: average possession stands at 60% compared with the hosts’ 38%, while shots on target are 7 to 5. Frosinone have failed to keep a clean sheet in any home match and allow opponents an xG of 1.72, which, combined with Como’s attacking potential, increases the visitors’ chances of securing the win. However, the hosts have scored 8 goals in their last five matches, so a draw remains a realistic scenario, although the balance of arguments favors a Como victory.

The signal for both teams to score is very strong, as both Frosinone and Como have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches so far this season, and neither team has kept a clean sheet. The hosts score an average of 2.00 goals, while Como average 2.33, with both sides conceding an identical average of 1.00 goal. Their creative potential also points towards goals: the average xG is 2.99 for Frosinone and 2.15 for Como, while their opponents generate 1.29 and 1.33 xG respectively. In their last five matches, Como scored as many as 2.6 goals per game and recorded BTTS in 100% of appearances, while Frosinone saw this scenario in 60% of matches. Although the season sample is limited, the data for both teams clearly exceeds the league BTTS average of 60%, making it more likely that both sides will find the net. This supports the BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal selection rather than BTTS - No, which means that at least one team fails to score and does not automatically imply a 0:0 result.

Both teams have scored in 100% of their matches so far, and neither has kept a clean sheet yet, which strongly supports the scenario of at least two goals. Frosinone average 2.00 goals at home, while Como average 2.33 away, with both sides conceding exactly 1.00 goal per game. In their last five matches, Como have scored 13 goals, averaging 2.60 per game, while both teams have conceded 5 goals each during this period. Their chance creation potential is also high: Frosinone’s average home xG is 2.99, compared with 2.15 for Como, making Over 1.5 goals the strongest pick with a projected total of 3.40 goals.

Como are showing clearly better recent form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 2 for Frosinone, while the average number of goals scored by the visitors is 2.6 versus 1.6 for the hosts. Como were leading at the break in 80% of their recent matches, compared with 60% for Frosinone, and averaged 1.6 goals before half-time against 1.2 for their opponents. Although the hosts have the higher average xG, 2.99 to 2.15, Como record an equal number of shots on target—7 per match—and convert their chances more efficiently, at 11% compared with 7%. After the interval, Como still hold the advantage, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, while Frosinone score just 0.4 and concede 0.6. The most consistent scenario therefore points to Como taking the lead at the break and maintaining their advantage until the final whistle.