Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza: match statistics
Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fuerte San Francisco play Alianza in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Fuerte San Francisco: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Alianza: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fuerte San Francisco scores 0.86 and concedes 1.66 goals per match. Alianza scores 1.61 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fuerte San Francisco 50%, Alianza 49%. Over 2.5: Fuerte San Francisco 45%, Alianza 51%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Fuerte San Francisco: 9.9 shots per match, Alianza: 9.5.
Match halves
Fuerte San Francisco: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.52. Alianza: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Fuerte San Francisco: 76-90+ (11 goals). Alianza: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-0-3. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Alianza are the clear favorites: over the season they scored 80 goals versus Fuerte’s 38, and away they average 1.63 goals scored and only 0.79 conceded per match, while Fuerte at home average just 0.76 scored and 1.86 conceded. Although Fuerte produce a home xG of 1.40 and average 10.62 shots per game, their conversion is only 7% and 38% of home matches end with them failing to score, whereas Alianza have an away xG of 1.31, 9.29 shots and a 17% conversion. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored only 4 goals with a 1-1-3 record and 0.8 points per game, while Alianza have 7 goals with a 2-1-2 record and 1.4 points per game. Defensively the gap is clear: Fuerte have 24% clean sheets at home and 52% home defeats, while Alianza have 46% clean sheets away and only 17% away defeats. Considering the goal difference advantage (GD +20 for Alianza away vs -23 for the hosts at home), the higher conversion 17% vs 7% and superior defensive metrics, I tip the visitors to win; a draw is possible given the high share of home draws (43%), while the hosts’ chances of victory are low.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fuerte San Francisco | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Alianza is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco · 1.4 pts / match - Alianza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alianza is 87% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco · 1.61 goals / match - Alianza
Alianza is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.66 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco · 1.08 goals / match - Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco scores in 57% of matches (25 of 44 matches), while Alianza keeps a clean sheet in 35% (18 of 51 matches).
Alianza scores in 75% of matches (38 of 51 matches), while Fuerte San Francisco keeps a clean sheet in 23% (10 of 44 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Fuerte San Francisco
Over / Under — Alianza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alianza is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco · 1.59 pts / match - Alianza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fuerte San Francisco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Alianza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Fuerte San Francisco | Liga | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.52 | 2.67 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 50% | • 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Fuerte San Francisco 0 - 0 - 3 Alianza. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Fuerte San Francisco 0:1 Alianza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fuerte San Francisco and Alianza?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Fuerte San Francisco won 0, Alianza won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?
Fuerte San Francisco score 0.86 goals per game on average and Alianza 1.61. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Fuerte San Francisco's matches and 49% of Alianza's.
What form are Fuerte San Francisco and Alianza in?
Over the last 5 games Fuerte San Francisco have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Alianza 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.