Fylde vs Carlisle United: match statistics
Fylde vs Carlisle United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fylde played against Carlisle United in National League (England). The game was played on September 29, 2026. Venue: Mill Farm Stadium. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Fylde has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Carlisle United has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Fylde scores 2.10 goals per game and allows 1.30. Carlisle United scores 1.80 and allows 1.90. Games in this league average 3.13 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 80% of Fylde's games and 90% of Carlisle United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 60%, compared with league averages of 65% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carlisle United has the higher season xG average, 1.95 to 1.38 per game. Fylde takes 9.1 shots per game, while Carlisle United takes 15.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Fylde leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 1.30 goals per game after halftime. Carlisle United leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fylde's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Carlisle United, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 3.13 goals. Both teams score in 65% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fylde sit 4th, while Carlisle United are only 16th, and the hosts have collected 3 wins and 10 points from their last five matches, compared with one win and 5 points for the visitors. At home, Fylde average 1.75 goals per match, with 5 shots on target and an 18% conversion rate, whereas Carlisle score just 0.75 goals away from home, averaging 3 shots on target with an 8% conversion rate. The hosts have failed to score in none of their home matches, while the visitors have failed to find the net in 25% of their away games and have kept a clean sheet in none of them. Carlisle do, however, have a 50% draw rate both away from home and in their last five away matches, while Fylde have drawn half of their home games, significantly increasing the likelihood of a share of the points. Fylde’s advantage in chance creation at home is small but meaningful: their average xG is 1.51 compared with Carlisle’s 1.41 away from home, which is why a home win remains the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for BTTS - Yes is very strong: Fylde have seen both teams score in 100% of their matches this season, compared with 75% for Carlisle United and a league average of 66%. Neither team has kept a clean sheet yet, with Fylde conceding an average of 1.8 goals and Carlisle 1.25 per match. In their last five games, the hosts have scored 2.4 goals and conceded 1.4 on average, while the visitors have scored 1.6 and allowed 1.6 goals. Carlisle strengthen the attacking case with an average xG of 1.93 across their last five matches, while Fylde record as many as 20.8 shots and 9.2 shots on target per home game. The main risk to the pick is Carlisle’s season average of 0.75 goals scored away from home; however, the hosts’ defensive struggles and the visitors’ current form provide stronger support for a Goal/Goal scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Fylde score an average of 2.6 goals at home, while Carlisle concede 1.25 away from home, with the hosts creating as much as 2.45 xG per match. However, Fylde’s defense does not provide much security, as they allow an average of 1.27 xG and 1.8 goals, while Carlisle have scored 1.6 goals per game across their last 5 matches. Fylde’s last five games produced an average of 3.8 goals, whereas Carlisle’s matches averaged 3.2 goals; both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in more than 60% of those fixtures. Additionally, neither side kept a clean sheet in the analyzed seasonal split, while the hosts average 20.8 shots and 9.2 shots on target. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as the combination of Fylde’s attacking strength and both teams’ defensive vulnerability clearly points towards at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Fylde have a clear first-half advantage: they have led at the break in 80% of their matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded before half-time, while Carlisle have scored only 0.25 goals during this period. The visitors have been behind at half-time in 50% of their matches, have not won a single game this season, and average just 0.75 goals per match overall. The hosts’ attacking potential is further supported by an xG of 2.45 compared with their opponents’ 1.41, as well as an average of 9.2 shots on target per game against Carlisle’s 3.0. After the break, Fylde continue to average 1.2 goals, while Carlisle lose the second half in 50% of cases. Therefore, the most likely scenario is for the hosts to lead at half-time and secure a full-time victory: 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fylde | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 56% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fylde is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Fylde · 0.4 pts / game - Carlisle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fylde is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
2.1 goals / game - Fylde · 1.8 goals / game - Carlisle United
Fylde is 46% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.3 goals / game - Fylde · 1.9 goals / game - Carlisle United
Fylde scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 games).
Carlisle United scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Fylde keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fylde
Over / Under - Carlisle United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / game - Fylde · 1.8 pts / game - Carlisle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fylde - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fylde
Carlisle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Fylde | Liga | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.40 | 3.13 | ▲ 3.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 65% | ▲ 90% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 63% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 20% | 18% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 72% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 88% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Fylde vs Carlisle United?
The National League match finished Fylde 0:2 Carlisle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fylde vs Carlisle United?
Fylde score 2.10 goals per game on average and Carlisle United 1.80. The National League average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Fylde's matches and 90% of Carlisle United's.
What form are Fylde and Carlisle United in?
Over the last 5 games Fylde have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Carlisle United 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fylde vs Carlisle United?
The statistical background for Fylde vs Carlisle United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.