GD Estoril Praia vs Porto: match statistics
GD Estoril Praia vs Porto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
GD Estoril Praia play Porto in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 21:30. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
GD Estoril Praia: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Porto: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
GD Estoril Praia scores 1.59 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Porto scores 1.94 and concedes 0.53. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: GD Estoril Praia 59%, Porto 38%. Over 2.5: GD Estoril Praia 62%, Porto 56%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Porto has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.34. GD Estoril Praia: 11.7 shots per match, Porto: 14.5.
Match halves
GD Estoril Praia: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82. Porto: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
GD Estoril Praia: 31-45+ (12 goals). Porto: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a Porto victory. The visitors have a defensive edge: Porto concedes an average of 0.5 goals on the road and keeps clean sheets in 64% of away matches, while Estoril concede 1.36 goals at home and have only 14% of matches without conceding. In attack Porto scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches, have away xG of 1.6 and average 5.43 shots on target per game, whereas Estoril have 4 goals in their last 5, home xG 1.42 and 4.64 shots on target; both teams, however, average 1.93 goals per game. The difference in form and results is significant: Porto have 23 wins and just 1 defeat this season (86% win rate away) and average 2.2 points per game in the last 5, while Estoril have 10 wins and 11 losses this season and average 0.8 points per game in the last 5. Additionally Porto have not had away games without scoring (0% of matches without a goal) versus 21% of home matches in which Estoril failed to score, so I assess the probabilities as approximately 70% for Porto, 20% for a draw and 10% for the home side.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| GD Estoril Praia | Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Porto is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - GD Estoril Praia · 2.4 pts / match - Porto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Porto is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - GD Estoril Praia · 1.94 goals / match - Porto
Porto is 217% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - GD Estoril Praia · 0.53 goals / match - Porto
GD Estoril Praia scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Porto keeps a clean sheet in 62% (21 of 34 matches).
Porto scores in 97% of matches (33 of 34 matches), while GD Estoril Praia keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — GD Estoril Praia
Over / Under — Porto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Porto is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - GD Estoril Praia · 2.12 pts / match - Porto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
GD Estoril Praia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Porto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 82%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
GD Estoril Praia
Porto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| GD Estoril Praia | Liga | Porto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.26 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 29% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 69% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: GD Estoril Praia 0 - 0 - 1 Porto. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of GD Estoril Praia vs Porto?
The Liga NOS match finished GD Estoril Praia 1:3 Porto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before GD Estoril Praia vs Porto?
GD Estoril Praia score 1.59 goals per game on average and Porto 1.94. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 59% of GD Estoril Praia's matches and 38% of Porto's.
What form are GD Estoril Praia and Porto in?
Over the last 5 games GD Estoril Praia have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Porto 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for GD Estoril Praia vs Porto?
The statistical background for GD Estoril Praia vs Porto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.