GD Estoril Praia vs Vitória Guimarães: match statistics
GD Estoril Praia displays solid home form with 44% of home matches won and an impressive average of 1.89 goals per game. The hosts have won three of their last five meetings, scoring 11 goals, which indicates good offensive disposition. Vitória Guimarães faces serious problems on the road – as many as 63% of matches end without scoring a goal, and the average of just 0.5 goals per away match is alarmingly low. The visitors' away goal difference stands at -5, with 50% of matches lost. Estoril holds a positive goal difference (+5) in home matches and significantly better shot conversion (16%). Considering the hosts' advantage in every aspect of home play and Vitória's poor away form, I expect a victory for GD Estoril Praia.
GD Estoril Praia vs Vitória Guimarães: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
GD Estoril Praia played against Vitória Guimarães in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
GD Estoril Praia has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Vitória Guimarães has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
GD Estoril Praia scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 1.61. Vitória Guimarães scores 1.00 and allows 1.28. Games in this league average 2.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of GD Estoril Praia's games and 33% of Vitória Guimarães's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 39%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
GD Estoril Praia has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.41 per game. GD Estoril Praia takes 12.3 shots per game, while Vitória Guimarães takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
GD Estoril Praia leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.94 goals per game after halftime. Vitória Guimarães leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.56 after halftime.
When the teams score
GD Estoril Praia's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Vitória Guimarães, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.71 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
GD Estoril Praia displays solid home form with 44% of home matches won and an impressive average of 1.89 goals per game. The hosts have won three of their last five meetings, scoring 11 goals, which indicates good offensive disposition. Vitória Guimarães faces serious problems on the road – as many as 63% of matches end without scoring a goal, and the average of just 0.5 goals per away match is alarmingly low. The visitors' away goal difference stands at -5, with 50% of matches lost. Estoril holds a positive goal difference (+5) in home matches and significantly better shot conversion (16%). Considering the hosts' advantage in every aspect of home play and Vitória's poor away form, I expect a victory for GD Estoril Praia.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| GD Estoril Praia | Vitória Guimarães | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
GD Estoril Praia is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - GD Estoril Praia · 1.4 pts / game - Vitória Guimarães
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
GD Estoril Praia is 83% better for: goals scored per game.
1.83 goals / game - GD Estoril Praia · 1 goals / game - Vitória Guimarães
Vitória Guimarães is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.61 goals / game - GD Estoril Praia · 1.28 goals / game - Vitória Guimarães
GD Estoril Praia scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Vitória Guimarães keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 meczów).
Vitória Guimarães scores in 56% of games (10 of 18 meczów), while GD Estoril Praia keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - GD Estoril Praia
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
GD Estoril Praia is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / game - GD Estoril Praia · 1.06 pts / game - Vitória Guimarães
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
GD Estoril Praia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 33%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Vitória Guimarães - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
GD Estoril Praia
Vitória Guimarães
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| GD Estoril Praia | Liga | Vitória Guimarães | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.44 | 2.71 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 94% | 72% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from GD Estoril Praia's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Vitória Guimarães. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of GD Estoril Praia vs Vitória Guimarães?
The Liga NOS match finished GD Estoril Praia 4:2 Vitória Guimarães. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before GD Estoril Praia vs Vitória Guimarães?
GD Estoril Praia score 1.83 goals per game on average and Vitória Guimarães 1.00. The Liga NOS average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 56% of GD Estoril Praia's matches and 33% of Vitória Guimarães's.
What form are GD Estoril Praia and Vitória Guimarães in?
Over the last 5 games GD Estoril Praia have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Vitória Guimarães 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for GD Estoril Praia vs Vitória Guimarães?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for GD Estoril Praia vs Vitória Guimarães: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.