International - World CupGillette StadiumData current as of 17 July 2026

Germany vs Paraguay: match statistics

Germany crest
Germany
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Paraguay crest
Paraguay

Germany vs Paraguay: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Germany play Paraguay in World Cup (International). The match date is 29 June 2026 at 22:30. Venue: Gillette Stadium. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Germany: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match. Paraguay: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Germany scores 2.75 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Paraguay scores 0.60 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Germany 100%, Paraguay 40%. Over 2.5: Germany 75%, Paraguay 20%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Germany has higher xG: 2.29 vs 0.74. Germany: 18.5 shots per match, Paraguay: 7.0.

Match halves

Germany: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.75. Paraguay: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.20.

Goals by minute

Germany: 76-90+ (3 goals). Paraguay: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

World Cup: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Match description

Typ 1X2 after 90 minutes: 1. Germany has much greater creative potential and should impose territory control. Paraguay is inconvenient because he can defend low for a long time and play on the opponent's single mistake, but he does not have enough regular attacking quality to create a full sensation. We assume a patient match, with Germany's advantage increasing after the first goal. Our prediction is 61% for Germany, 25% for draw and 14% for Paraguay. Most likely exact score: 2-0. Promotion: Germany (76% vs 24%). Status: BET

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

76Possession (%)24
GermanyParaguay
21Shots7
GermanyParaguay
6Shots on target3
GermanyParaguay
2.75xG0.94
GermanyParaguay
16Corners6
GermanyParaguay
139Dangerous attacks39
GermanyParaguay
18Fouls12
GermanyParaguay
2Cards2
GermanyParaguay

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.75Goals scored / match0.6
GermanyParaguay
1.25Goals conceded / match1.2
GermanyParaguay
66%Average possession30%
GermanyParaguay
7Shots on target / match1.6
GermanyParaguay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

18.5Shots per match7
GermanyParaguay
7Shots on target1.6
GermanyParaguay
14.9%Shot conversion8.6%
GermanyParaguay
66%Possession30%
GermanyParaguay
2.29xG for0.74
GermanyParaguay
0.95xG against2.29
GermanyParaguay

Shooting quality

Germany: DominantParaguay: Balanced
GermanyParaguay
Accuracy (shots on target)38%23%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Germany is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.75 pts / match - Germany · 1 pts / match - Paraguay

Germany
WWLD
Season result split
50% W25% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 2.29Opponent xG: 0.95BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 75%
Paraguay
LWDDL
Season result split
20% W40% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.74Opponent xG: 2.29BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Germany is 358% better for: goals scored per match.

2.75 goals / match - Germany · 0.6 goals / match - Paraguay

Germany scoring profile: very strong

Germany scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Paraguay keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

Paraguay scoring profile: very strong

Paraguay scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Germany keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).

11Goals scored (season)3
GermanyParaguay
5Goals conceded (season)6
GermanyParaguay
4Average goals in match1.8
GermanyParaguay
11Goals scored (last 5)3
GermanyParaguay
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
GermanyParaguay

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal60%
GermanyParaguay
50%2 goals0%
GermanyParaguay
25%3 goals0%
GermanyParaguay
25%4 goals0%
GermanyParaguay

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal60%
GermanyParaguay
25%2 goals20%
GermanyParaguay
0%3 goals20%
GermanyParaguay
0%4 goals20%
GermanyParaguay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time0%
GermanyParaguay
0%BTTS in both halves0%
GermanyParaguay
25%Scored in both halves0%
GermanyParaguay

BTTS and goal count

75%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
GermanyParaguay
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
GermanyParaguay
100%BTTS - last 540%
GermanyParaguay

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
GermanyParaguay
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
GermanyParaguay
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
GermanyParaguay

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
GermanyParaguay
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
GermanyParaguay
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
GermanyParaguay

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paraguay is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Germany · 1.6 pts / match - Paraguay

Germany - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
Paraguay - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.6
GermanyParaguay
1Goals scored (1st half)0.4
GermanyParaguay
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
GermanyParaguay
2Average goals (1st half)1
GermanyParaguay
0%Clean sheet before half-time80%
GermanyParaguay
50%No goal before half-time60%
GermanyParaguay

After half-time (2nd half)

2.25Points per match (2nd half)0.6
GermanyParaguay
1.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.2
GermanyParaguay
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
GermanyParaguay
2Average goals (2nd half)0.8
GermanyParaguay
75%Clean sheet after half-time40%
GermanyParaguay
25%No goal after half-time80%
GermanyParaguay

Germany - second-half results

75% W0% R25% P
4
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.8

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paraguay - second-half results

0% W60% R40% P
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Germany - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.25
Goals scored / match1.01.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.3
Average goals in match2.02.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals25%25%
Clean sheet0%75%
No goal50%25%
Goal difference0+6
Half-time: 25% leading - 25% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 75% won - 0% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 4
Paraguay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Germany
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Paraguay
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Germany

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Paraguay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.95
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
50%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).

Teams vs league

GermanyLigaParaguay
Average goals in match 4.002.91 1.80
Both teams scored 100%55% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%56% 20%
Clean sheets 0%26% 40%
Goal before half-time 100%70% 60%
Goal after half-time 100%81% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.71
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+41%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Germany vs Paraguay?

The World Cup match finished Germany 1:1 Paraguay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Germany vs Paraguay?

Germany score 2.75 goals per game on average and Paraguay 0.60. The World Cup average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Germany's matches and 40% of Paraguay's.

What form are Germany and Paraguay in?

Over the last 5 games Germany have a 2-1-1 record (1.75 points per game) and Paraguay 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Germany vs Paraguay?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.