Germany vs Paraguay: match statistics
Germany vs Paraguay: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Germany played against Paraguay in World Cup (International). The game was played on June 29, 2026. Venue: Gillette Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Germany has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Paraguay has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.33 points per game.
Scoring records
Germany scores 3.33 goals per game and allows 1.33. Paraguay scores 0.67 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.96 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Germany's games and 33% of Paraguay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 33%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Germany has the higher season xG average, 2.14 to 0.76 per game. Germany takes 17.7 shots per game, while Paraguay takes 7.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Germany leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 2.00 goals per game after halftime. Paraguay leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Germany's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Paraguay, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
World Cup games average 2.96 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Typ 1X2 after 90 minutes: 1. Germany has much greater creative potential and should impose territory control. Paraguay is inconvenient because he can defend low for a long time and play on the opponent's single mistake, but he does not have enough regular attacking quality to create a full sensation. We assume a patient match, with Germany's advantage increasing after the first goal. Our prediction is 61% for Germany, 25% for draw and 14% for Paraguay. Most likely exact score: 2-0. Promotion: Germany (76% vs 24%). Status: BET
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Typ BTTS: no. Germany has much greater creative potential and should impose territory control. Paraguay is inconvenient because he can defend low for a long time and play on the opponent's single mistake, but he does not have enough regular attacking quality to create a full sensation. We assume a patient match, with Germany's advantage increasing after the first goal. Control of one side and the limited volume of underdog situations are more important here, so it is more likely that at least one team will finish the match without a goal. The model gives 38% on BTTS Yes and 62% on BTTS No, with expected goals of Germany 1.70, Paraguay 0.65. Status: BET
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Typ: under 2.5. Germany has much greater creative potential and should impose territory control. Paraguay is inconvenient because he can defend low for a long time and play on the opponent's single mistake, but he does not have enough regular attacking quality to create a full sensation. We assume a patient match, with Germany's advantage increasing after the first goal. The gate model gives 42% on Over 2.5 and 58% on Under 2.5. xG: Germany 1.70, Paraguay 0.65, total 2.35. Most likely result: 2-0. Line 2.5 separates a controlled match from an open match. In this pair, the underlying score and the need for caution after conceding a goal for the first time are more important than the teams' branding itself. Status: SMALL BET
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Typ HT/FT: 1/1. Germany has much greater creative potential and should impose territory control. Paraguay is inconvenient because he can defend low for a long time and play on the opponent's single mistake, but he does not have enough regular attacking quality to create a full sensation. We assume a patient match, with Germany's advantage increasing after the first goal. The host has the best chance to take the lead and maintain the advantage thanks to rhythm control and better quality in key sectors. The highest model paths were 1/1 38%, X/1 21% and X/X 17%. The HT/FT spread is calibrated to our 1X2 61%–25%–14% and does not use odds. Status: BET
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Germany | Paraguay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 22% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Germany is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Germany · 1.33 pts / game - Paraguay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Germany is 397% better for: goals scored per game.
3.33 goals / game - Germany · 0.67 goals / game - Paraguay
Germany scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Paraguay keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 meczów).
Paraguay scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Germany keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Germany
Over / Under - Paraguay
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Germany - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Paraguay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Germany
Paraguay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| Germany | Liga | Paraguay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.67 | 2.96 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 54% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 28% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▼ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Germany vs Paraguay?
The World Cup match finished Germany 1:1 Paraguay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Germany vs Paraguay?
Germany score 3.33 goals per game on average and Paraguay 0.67. The World Cup average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Germany's matches and 33% of Paraguay's.
What form are Germany and Paraguay in?
Over the last 5 games Germany have a 2-0-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Paraguay 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Germany vs Paraguay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.