Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC: match statistics

Pyramids FC are clearly in better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and remain unbeaten, while Ghazl El Mehalla recorded 2 wins and 2 defeats over the same period. The visitors scored 11 goals in five matches, averaging 2.2 goals per game, compared with 7 goals for the hosts, who averaged 1.4. The difference is also evident in the points gained over the last five league rounds: Pyramids average 2.6 points per match, while Ghazl El Mehalla average 1.4. The visitors’ defense conceded 5 goals, one fewer than the hosts, despite their team recording twice as many wins. The advantage in attacking efficiency and consistency of results favors a Pyramids FC win, although 1 draw in each team’s last five matches increases the likelihood of a closely contested encounter.

Recent form points to a moderate lean toward a both-teams-to-score scenario: Pyramids FC recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Ghazl El Mehalla. Over this period, the hosts averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, suggesting they are capable of replying with a goal but cannot guarantee a clean sheet. Pyramids FC have shown a clearly stronger attack, averaging 2.2 goals scored with an xG of 1.44, while the hosts allowed opponents an xG of 1.23. However, the away side conceded only 1.0 goal per match and had an xG against of 0.97, so the risk of Ghazl El Mehalla failing to score remains significant. Nevertheless, the combination of 7 home goals and 11 away goals in the last five matches marginally favors BTTS - Yes.

In their last five matches, Ghazl El Mehalla averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Pyramids FC scored as many as 2.2 goals and conceded 1.0. The visitors’ advantage is also evident in the quality of chances: their average xG stands at 1.44, compared with 1.04 for the hosts, while Ghazl El Mehalla allow opponents 1.23 xG per match. Pyramids FC recorded over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, but the projected total of 2.55 goals still remains clearly below the 3.5 line. The hosts exceeded 2.5 goals in only 40% of their last five matches, so the most likely scenario points to a maximum of three goals, making Under 3.5 the preferred outcome.

Pyramids FC are in significantly better form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals, while Ghazl El Mehalla have suffered 2 defeats and scored 1.4 goals per match. The visitors have not lost any of those five matches, whereas the hosts lost 40% of them, clearly strengthening the scenario of a Pyramids victory at full time. A draw at half-time occurred in 60% of both teams’ recent matches, making an even opening more likely than an early decisive outcome. Pyramids scored an average of 1.2 goals before the break compared with Ghazl’s 0.6, but the hosts conceded only 0.6 goals in this period, which still favors a draw after 45 minutes. After the break, Pyramids conceded just 0.2 goals per match and recorded a positive goal difference of +4, so their superior quality should translate most fully into a late victory.