Giana Erminio vs Inter II: match statistics
Giana Erminio vs Inter II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Giana Erminio played against Inter II in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on April 19, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Giana Erminio has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Inter II has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Giana Erminio scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.08. Inter II scores 1.11 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 2.32 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Giana Erminio's games and 56% of Inter II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 39%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Inter II has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.37 per game. Giana Erminio takes 9.9 shots per game, while Inter II takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Giana Erminio leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Inter II leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.47 after halftime.
When the teams score
Giana Erminio's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Inter II, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.32 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an Inter II win: the visitors have scored 40 goals this season versus the hosts' 34, averaging 1.44 goals per away match with a shot conversion rate of 14%, while Giana at home only averages 0.94 goals per game with a 10% conversion. The visitors win 50% of their away matches, whereas the hosts win 39% of home games, and the goal difference is +5 for Inter II away compared to -4 for the hosts. Giana produces a slightly higher home xG (1.43) than Inter II away (1.36), but this does not translate into goals — the hosts fail to score in 33% of home matches, while Inter II fail to score in only 11% of away fixtures. Both teams concede on average 1.17 goals per game, however the visitors' higher average of shots on target (4.06 vs 3.89) and superior conversion favor Inter II, so I give them about a 55% chance to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The primary signal for BTTS comes from Inter II: season-long share of matches with both teams scoring is 67%, and in the last 5 matches it is 60%, indicating Inter frequently scores and concedes. Giana Erminio averages only 0.78 goals per game this season, but their xG_for is 1.68 (higher than the visitors' xG 1.36), meaning they create chances they fail to convert due to a low conversion rate of 5.0%. Clean sheets are rare: the home side has 28% of matches without conceding, and the visitors 22%, so in 72% and 78% of matches respectively they concede at least one goal. Additionally, in the last 5 games both teams scored and conceded on average 1.2 goals (6 scored and 6 conceded), which confirms a tendency for goal exchange; therefore I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability of 65% versus 35%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estimated xG and defensive metrics indicate combined offensive pressure: home xG 1.68, away xG 1.36, and xG against 1.26 for Giana and 1.49 for Inter, yielding expected goals of 1.59 for Giana Erminio and 1.31 for Inter II (total 2.90). This 2.90 expected goals exceeds the league average of 2.32, and Inter II shows high shot conversion of 14% versus the home side's 5% and averages 4.06 shots on target per match, increasing the likelihood of goals. Seasonal indicators confirm the trend: Over 1.5 occurred in 50% of Giana’s matches and 89% of Inter’s matches, while both-teams-to-score rates are 44% and 67% respectively. A Poisson model with a 2.90 total estimates over 1.5 ≈79% and over 2.5 ≈55%, whereas over 3.5 is less likely (~33%). Based on this, the best selection is Over 1.5 (back the over at 1.5): high expected total goals, low clean sheet rates (28% and 22%), and Inter’s strong efficiency support at least two goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a lead at the break and a Full-Time win for Inter II: Inter II led at half-time in 50% of matches, versus Giana Erminio in only 22%, while Inter’s overall win rate is 50% compared to the hosts’ 17%. At half-time Inter II average 0.89 goals vs the hosts’ 0.39, and over the full match Inter score 1.44 goals against Giana’s 0.78, indicating an advantage for the visitors in both the first and second halves. Although the hosts’ xG is 1.68 versus 1.36 for the visitors, the hosts have a very low conversion rate of 5% compared to Inter’s 14% and a lower number of shots on target (3.78 vs 4.06), so the hosts’ xG advantage does not translate into goals. On this basis I assign a 27% probability to the 2/2 scenario, 18% to the Half-Time draw / Full-Time Inter win scenario (X/2), and 9% each to the scenarios where Inter lead at the break but draw (2/X) or lose (2/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Giana Erminio | Inter II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Giana Erminio is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Giana Erminio · 1.2 pts / game - Inter II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter II is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
0.94 goals / game - Giana Erminio · 1.11 goals / game - Inter II
Giana Erminio scores in 64% of games (23 of 36 meczów), while Inter II keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 meczów).
Inter II scores in 72% of games (26 of 36 meczów), while Giana Erminio keeps a clean sheet in 36% (13 of 36 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Giana Erminio
Over / Under - Inter II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter II is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - Giana Erminio · 1.44 pts / game - Inter II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Giana Erminio - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Inter II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 33%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Giana Erminio
Inter II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Giana Erminio | Liga | Inter II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.03 | 2.32 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 42% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 30% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 66% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Giana Erminio's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Inter II. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Giana Erminio vs Inter II?
The Serie C Group A match finished Giana Erminio 2:0 Inter II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Giana Erminio vs Inter II?
Giana Erminio score 0.94 goals per game on average and Inter II 1.11. The Serie C Group A average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Giana Erminio's matches and 56% of Inter II's.
What form are Giana Erminio and Inter II in?
Over the last 5 games Giana Erminio have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Inter II 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Giana Erminio vs Inter II?
The statistical background for Giana Erminio vs Inter II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.