Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData current as of 22 July 2026

Gicumbi vs Marines: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Gicumbi vs Marines: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gicumbi play Marines in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 20 December 2025 at 14:00.

Current form

Gicumbi: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Marines: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gicumbi scores 1.12 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Marines scores 1.38 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gicumbi 59%, Marines 59%. Over 2.5: Gicumbi 50%, Marines 44%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Marines has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.13. Gicumbi: 7.1 shots per match, Marines: 6.9.

Match halves

Gicumbi: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.53. Marines: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Gicumbi: 31-45+ (9 goals). Marines: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.01)
(13.20)
(64.00)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.12Goals scored / match1.38
GicumbiMarines
1.59Goals conceded / match1.26
GicumbiMarines
49%Average possession44%
GicumbiMarines
2.35Shots on target / match2.85
GicumbiMarines

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.06Shots per match6.94
GicumbiMarines
2.35Shots on target2.85
GicumbiMarines
15.8%Shot conversion19.9%
GicumbiMarines
49%Possession44%
GicumbiMarines
1.13xG for1.16
GicumbiMarines
1.2xG against1.18
GicumbiMarines

Shooting quality

Gicumbi: Efficient finishingMarines: Counter-attacking
GicumbiMarines
Accuracy (shots on target)33%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.48

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Marines is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Gicumbi · 1.4 pts / match - Marines

Gicumbi
LWLWL
Season result split
29% W24% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-16
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-7
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Marines
WLLDW
Season result split
35% W26% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-9-13
1.32 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-9
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Marines is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.12 goals / match - Gicumbi · 1.38 goals / match - Marines

Marines is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.59 goals / match - Gicumbi · 1.26 goals / match - Marines

Gicumbi scoring profile: very strong

Gicumbi scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

Marines scoring profile: very strong

Marines scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Gicumbi keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).

38Goals scored (season)47
GicumbiMarines
54Goals conceded (season)43
GicumbiMarines
2.71Average goals in match2.65
GicumbiMarines
7Goals scored (last 5)11
GicumbiMarines
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
GicumbiMarines

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal82%
GicumbiMarines
29%2 goals41%
GicumbiMarines
9%3 goals12%
GicumbiMarines
3%4 goals3%
GicumbiMarines

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal76%
GicumbiMarines
47%2 goals35%
GicumbiMarines
21%3 goals9%
GicumbiMarines
6%4 goals3%
GicumbiMarines

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

35%BTTS at half-time24%
GicumbiMarines
9%BTTS in both halves9%
GicumbiMarines
18%Scored in both halves24%
GicumbiMarines

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
GicumbiMarines
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
GicumbiMarines
80%BTTS - last 580%
GicumbiMarines

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
GicumbiMarines
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
GicumbiMarines
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
GicumbiMarines

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
GicumbiMarines
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
GicumbiMarines
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
GicumbiMarines

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Marines is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Gicumbi · 1.68 pts / match - Marines

Gicumbi - half-time state
18% leading47% draw35% trailing
Marines - half-time state
44% leading35% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.68
GicumbiMarines
0.59Goals scored (1st half)0.85
GicumbiMarines
0.79Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
GicumbiMarines
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.35
GicumbiMarines
38%Clean sheet before half-time56%
GicumbiMarines
50%No goal before half-time38%
GicumbiMarines

After half-time (2nd half)

0.97Points per match (2nd half)1.09
GicumbiMarines
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
GicumbiMarines
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
GicumbiMarines
1.32Average goals (2nd half)1.29
GicumbiMarines
38%Clean sheet after half-time47%
GicumbiMarines
62%No goal after half-time56%
GicumbiMarines

Gicumbi - second-half results

18% W44% R38% P
34
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Marines - second-half results

24% W38% R38% P
57
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.68
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gicumbi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.6
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3
Marines - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gicumbi
ScoredConceded
5
11
0-15
6
7
16-30
9
9
31-45
2
7
46-60
8
8
61-75
8
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Marines
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
8
6
16-30
16
9
31-45
2
8
46-60
7
8
61-75
9
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
126%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gicumbi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
159%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Marines

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

GicumbiLigaMarines
Average goals in match 2.712.12 2.65
Both teams scored 59%46% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%38% 44%
Clean sheets 18%34% 24%
Goal before half-time 76%61% 82%
Goal after half-time 76%70% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Gicumbi 0 - 1 - 0 Marines. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Gicumbi and Marines play?

Gicumbi face Marines on 20 December 2025 in National Soccer League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Gicumbi vs Marines?

Gicumbi score 1.12 goals per game on average and Marines 1.38. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Gicumbi's matches and 59% of Marines's.

What form are Gicumbi and Marines in?

Over the last 5 games Gicumbi have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Marines 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gicumbi vs Marines?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gicumbi vs Marines: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.