Gil Vicente vs CD Nacional: match statistics
Gil Vicente demonstrates solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +4. The hosts sit in 4th place and hold the advantage in xG statistics (1.65 vs 1.15), indicating offensive efficiency. CD Nacional has a weaker away record with only 22% wins on the road and a negative goal difference in their last five matches (9 scored, 9 conceded). Gil Vicente's recent streak of five draws may suggest some difficulty in breaking down opponents, increasing the likelihood of a points split. However, the qualitative and statistical advantage of the hosts speaks for their victory, especially considering 50% clean sheets in home matches. The expected outcome is a win for Gil Vicente, with the possibility of a draw given the hosts' current series.
Gil Vicente vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gil Vicente played against CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Gil Vicente has 0 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. CD Nacional has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Gil Vicente scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 0.71. CD Nacional scores 1.24 and allows 1.53. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of Gil Vicente's games and 65% of CD Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 24% and 47%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Gil Vicente has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.30 per game. Gil Vicente takes 14.2 shots per game, while CD Nacional takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Gil Vicente leads at halftime in 47% of its games and scores 0.47 goals per game after halftime. CD Nacional leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gil Vicente's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For CD Nacional, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gil Vicente demonstrates solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +4. The hosts sit in 4th place and hold the advantage in xG statistics (1.65 vs 1.15), indicating offensive efficiency. CD Nacional has a weaker away record with only 22% wins on the road and a negative goal difference in their last five matches (9 scored, 9 conceded). Gil Vicente's recent streak of five draws may suggest some difficulty in breaking down opponents, increasing the likelihood of a points split. However, the qualitative and statistical advantage of the hosts speaks for their victory, especially considering 50% clean sheets in home matches. The expected outcome is a win for Gil Vicente, with the possibility of a draw given the hosts' current series.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gil Vicente | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gil Vicente is 115% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.71 goals / game - Gil Vicente · 1.53 goals / game - CD Nacional
Gil Vicente scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 meczów).
CD Nacional scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Gil Vicente keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gil Vicente
Over / Under - CD Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gil Vicente is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / game - Gil Vicente · 1.29 pts / game - CD Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gil Vicente - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 41%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 24%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gil Vicente
CD Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Gil Vicente | Liga | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.73 | • 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 30% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Gil Vicente's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against CD Nacional. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Gil Vicente vs CD Nacional?
The Liga NOS match finished Gil Vicente 2:1 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gil Vicente vs CD Nacional?
Gil Vicente score 1.29 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.24. The Liga NOS average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Gil Vicente's matches and 65% of CD Nacional's.
What form are Gil Vicente and CD Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Gil Vicente have a 0-5-0 record (1.00 points per game) and CD Nacional 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gil Vicente vs CD Nacional?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.