Gil Vicente vs CD Nacional: match statistics
Gil Vicente demonstrates solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +4. The hosts sit in 4th place and hold the advantage in xG statistics (1.65 vs 1.15), indicating offensive efficiency. CD Nacional has a weaker away record with only 22% wins on the road and a negative goal difference in their last five matches (9 scored, 9 conceded). Gil Vicente's recent streak of five draws may suggest some difficulty in breaking down opponents, increasing the likelihood of a points split. However, the qualitative and statistical advantage of the hosts speaks for their victory, especially considering 50% clean sheets in home matches. The expected outcome is a win for Gil Vicente, with the possibility of a draw given the hosts' current series.
Gil Vicente vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gil Vicente play CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 17 January 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Gil Vicente: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. CD Nacional: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gil Vicente scores 1.38 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. CD Nacional scores 1.09 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gil Vicente 47%, CD Nacional 47%. Over 2.5: Gil Vicente 53%, CD Nacional 41%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Gil Vicente has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.37. Gil Vicente: 13.8 shots per match, CD Nacional: 12.6.
Match halves
Gil Vicente: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.68. CD Nacional: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Gil Vicente: 31-45+ (14 goals). CD Nacional: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Gil Vicente demonstrates solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +4. The hosts sit in 4th place and hold the advantage in xG statistics (1.65 vs 1.15), indicating offensive efficiency. CD Nacional has a weaker away record with only 22% wins on the road and a negative goal difference in their last five matches (9 scored, 9 conceded). Gil Vicente's recent streak of five draws may suggest some difficulty in breaking down opponents, increasing the likelihood of a points split. However, the qualitative and statistical advantage of the hosts speaks for their victory, especially considering 50% clean sheets in home matches. The expected outcome is a win for Gil Vicente, with the possibility of a draw given the hosts' current series.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gil Vicente | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CD Nacional is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Gil Vicente · 1.8 pts / match - CD Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gil Vicente is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Gil Vicente · 1.09 goals / match - CD Nacional
Gil Vicente is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Gil Vicente · 1.32 goals / match - CD Nacional
Gil Vicente scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
CD Nacional scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Gil Vicente keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gil Vicente
Over / Under — CD Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gil Vicente is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Gil Vicente · 1.18 pts / match - CD Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gil Vicente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gil Vicente
CD Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Gil Vicente | Liga | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 48% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 54% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 29% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gil Vicente 1 - 0 - 0 CD Nacional. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gil Vicente vs CD Nacional?
The Liga NOS match finished Gil Vicente 2:1 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gil Vicente vs CD Nacional?
Gil Vicente score 1.38 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.09. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Gil Vicente's matches and 47% of CD Nacional's.
What form are Gil Vicente and CD Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Gil Vicente have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and CD Nacional 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gil Vicente vs CD Nacional?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.