Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers: match statistics
Gillingham holds the home advantage, despite their weaker recent form (1 win in 5 matches). Bristol Rovers displays better recent momentum (3 wins in 5 matches); however, their away record is very poor - just a 21% win rate on the road and as many as 63% losses. The hosts have a better average xG in home matches (1.75 vs. 1.25 for the visitors away), indicating greater offensive potential. Bristol Rovers fails to score in 37% of their away matches, which further weakens their chances. The visitors' away form (llwwdllllldwlllldwl) shows significant instability, while Gillingham at home has balanced statistics with a 32% win rate and 37% draws. Considering the hosts' advantage and Bristol Rovers' away frailties, I predict a Gillingham victory, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to both teams' recent form.
Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gillingham played against Bristol Rovers in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Gillingham has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Bristol Rovers has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Gillingham scores 1.16 goals per game and allows 1.46. Bristol Rovers scores 1.00 and allows 1.55. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Gillingham's games and 42% of Bristol Rovers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 50%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Gillingham has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.30 per game. Gillingham takes 13.5 shots per game, while Bristol Rovers takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Gillingham leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Bristol Rovers leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gillingham's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Bristol Rovers, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gillingham holds the home advantage, despite their weaker recent form (1 win in 5 matches). Bristol Rovers displays better recent momentum (3 wins in 5 matches); however, their away record is very poor - just a 21% win rate on the road and as many as 63% losses. The hosts have a better average xG in home matches (1.75 vs. 1.25 for the visitors away), indicating greater offensive potential. Bristol Rovers fails to score in 37% of their away matches, which further weakens their chances. The visitors' away form (llwwdllllldwlllldwl) shows significant instability, while Gillingham at home has balanced statistics with a 32% win rate and 37% draws. Considering the hosts' advantage and Bristol Rovers' away frailties, I predict a Gillingham victory, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to both teams' recent form.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gillingham | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bristol Rovers is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Gillingham · 2 pts / game - Bristol Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gillingham is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
1.16 goals / game - Gillingham · 1 goals / game - Bristol Rovers
Gillingham is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.46 goals / game - Gillingham · 1.55 goals / game - Bristol Rovers
Gillingham scores in 73% of games (27 of 37 meczów), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 meczów).
Bristol Rovers scores in 61% of games (23 of 38 meczów), while Gillingham keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 37 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gillingham
Over / Under - Bristol Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bristol Rovers is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Gillingham · 1.16 pts / game - Bristol Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gillingham - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bristol Rovers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gillingham
Bristol Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Gillingham | Liga | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.62 | 2.55 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 67% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Gillingham's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Bristol Rovers. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers?
The EFL League Two match finished Gillingham 1:2 Bristol Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers?
Gillingham score 1.16 goals per game on average and Bristol Rovers 1.00. The EFL League Two average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Gillingham's matches and 42% of Bristol Rovers's.
What form are Gillingham and Bristol Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Gillingham have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bristol Rovers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.