Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams. Gillingham presents solid home form with 38% wins and a goal difference of 0 at home, yet the last 5 matches overall show a weaker disposition (1.2 PPG). Fleetwood Town is in excellent form with a streak of 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (2.2 PPG), making them a dangerous rival on the road. A key factor is the hosts' xG advantage (1.81 vs 1.42), but the guests defend better away (1.0 goal conceded on average). Both teams have an identical goal difference in their matches (0), suggesting tactical balance. Considering the guests' high form and the hosts' stability in home matches, a draw seems the most probable result of this evenly matched clash.
Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gillingham played against Fleetwood Town in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Gillingham has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Fleetwood Town has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Gillingham scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 1.24. Fleetwood Town scores 1.29 and allows 1.24. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Gillingham's games and 68% of Fleetwood Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 50%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Gillingham has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.41 per game. Gillingham takes 13.8 shots per game, while Fleetwood Town takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Gillingham leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Fleetwood Town leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.76 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gillingham's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Fleetwood Town, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams. Gillingham presents solid home form with 38% wins and a goal difference of 0 at home, yet the last 5 matches overall show a weaker disposition (1.2 PPG). Fleetwood Town is in excellent form with a streak of 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (2.2 PPG), making them a dangerous rival on the road. A key factor is the hosts' xG advantage (1.81 vs 1.42), but the guests defend better away (1.0 goal conceded on average). Both teams have an identical goal difference in their matches (0), suggesting tactical balance. Considering the guests' high form and the hosts' stability in home matches, a draw seems the most probable result of this evenly matched clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gillingham | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fleetwood Town is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Gillingham · 2.2 pts / game - Fleetwood Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gillingham scores in 76% of games (25 of 33 meczów), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 meczów).
Fleetwood Town scores in 82% of games (28 of 34 meczów), while Gillingham keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gillingham
Over / Under - Fleetwood Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fleetwood Town is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / game - Gillingham · 1.18 pts / game - Fleetwood Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gillingham - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Fleetwood Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gillingham
Fleetwood Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Gillingham | Liga | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.48 | 2.55 | • 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 69% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Gillingham's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Fleetwood Town. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Gillingham 1:1 Fleetwood Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?
Gillingham score 1.24 goals per game on average and Fleetwood Town 1.29. The EFL League Two average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Gillingham's matches and 68% of Fleetwood Town's.
What form are Gillingham and Fleetwood Town in?
Over the last 5 games Gillingham have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Fleetwood Town 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?
The statistical background for Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.