Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams. Gillingham presents solid home form with 38% wins and a goal difference of 0 at home, yet the last 5 matches overall show a weaker disposition (1.2 PPG). Fleetwood Town is in excellent form with a streak of 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (2.2 PPG), making them a dangerous rival on the road. A key factor is the hosts' xG advantage (1.81 vs 1.42), but the guests defend better away (1.0 goal conceded on average). Both teams have an identical goal difference in their matches (0), suggesting tactical balance. Considering the guests' high form and the hosts' stability in home matches, a draw seems the most probable result of this evenly matched clash.
Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gillingham play Fleetwood Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Gillingham: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Fleetwood Town: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gillingham scores 1.15 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Fleetwood Town scores 1.24 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gillingham 54%, Fleetwood Town 67%. Over 2.5: Gillingham 46%, Fleetwood Town 46%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Gillingham has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.41. Gillingham: 12.6 shots per match, Fleetwood Town: 12.3.
Match halves
Gillingham: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.76. Fleetwood Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Gillingham: 76-90+ (16 goals). Fleetwood Town: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams. Gillingham presents solid home form with 38% wins and a goal difference of 0 at home, yet the last 5 matches overall show a weaker disposition (1.2 PPG). Fleetwood Town is in excellent form with a streak of 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (2.2 PPG), making them a dangerous rival on the road. A key factor is the hosts' xG advantage (1.81 vs 1.42), but the guests defend better away (1.0 goal conceded on average). Both teams have an identical goal difference in their matches (0), suggesting tactical balance. Considering the guests' high form and the hosts' stability in home matches, a draw seems the most probable result of this evenly matched clash.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gillingham | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fleetwood Town is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Gillingham · 1.2 pts / match - Fleetwood Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fleetwood Town is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Gillingham · 1.24 goals / match - Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Gillingham · 1.26 goals / match - Fleetwood Town
Gillingham scores in 74% of matches (34 of 46 matches), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 20% (9 of 46 matches).
Fleetwood Town scores in 80% of matches (37 of 46 matches), while Gillingham keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gillingham
Over / Under — Fleetwood Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fleetwood Town is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Gillingham · 1.22 pts / match - Fleetwood Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gillingham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fleetwood Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gillingham
Fleetwood Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Gillingham | Liga | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.72 | 2.57 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 48% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 67% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gillingham 0 - 0 - 1 Fleetwood Town. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Gillingham 1:1 Fleetwood Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?
Gillingham score 1.15 goals per game on average and Fleetwood Town 1.24. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Gillingham's matches and 67% of Fleetwood Town's.
What form are Gillingham and Fleetwood Town in?
Over the last 5 games Gillingham have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Fleetwood Town 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?
The statistical background for Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.