England - EFL League TwoData current as of September 12, 2026

Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons: match statistics

125%(3.30)
X30%(3.25)
245%(2.20)

Milton Keynes Dons present significantly higher form and quality this season, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 18 victories. The visitors have secured 2.2 PPG in their last 5 matches, winning 3 games and remaining undefeated, which contrasts with Gillingham's disastrous run (0.8 PPG, only 1 win). MK Dons show high efficiency away from home with a 47% win rate and an average of 1.94 goals scored against just 1.12 conceded, while the hosts have a neutral goal difference in home matches (0 goal difference). Gillingham have recorded only draws and defeats in their last 5 home games, confirming their struggles to win in front of their home crowd. The xG statistics also favor the visitors, who are much more clinical in their finishing.

Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Gillingham played against Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on March 10, 2026. Final score: 1:5.

Recent form

Gillingham has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Milton Keynes Dons has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Gillingham scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 1.24. Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.91 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 56% of Gillingham's games and 60% of Milton Keynes Dons's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 54%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Gillingham has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.40 per game. Gillingham takes 13.6 shots per game, while Milton Keynes Dons takes 12.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Gillingham leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Milton Keynes Dons leads at halftime in 60% and scores 0.83 after halftime.

When the teams score

Gillingham's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Milton Keynes Dons, it is minutes 31-45+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Milton Keynes Dons present significantly higher form and quality this season, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 18 victories. The visitors have secured 2.2 PPG in their last 5 matches, winning 3 games and remaining undefeated, which contrasts with Gillingham's disastrous run (0.8 PPG, only 1 win). MK Dons show high efficiency away from home with a 47% win rate and an average of 1.94 goals scored against just 1.12 conceded, while the hosts have a neutral goal difference in home matches (0 goal difference). Gillingham have recorded only draws and defeats in their last 5 home games, confirming their struggles to win in front of their home crowd. The xG statistics also favor the visitors, who are much more clinical in their finishing.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 3
First half
1 : 2
Second half

Game stats

54Possession (%)46
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
13Shots12
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
5Shots on target7
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
1.37xG1.49
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
3Corners5
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
25Dangerous attacks32
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
8Fouls12
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
3Cards1
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
1.24Goals scored / game1.91
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
1.24Goals allowed / game1
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
47%Average possession49%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
4.47Shots on target / game4.66
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.56Shots per game12.2
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
4.47Shots on target4.66
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
9.1%Shot conversion15.7%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
47%Possession49%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
1.55xG for1.4
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
1.4xG against1.21
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons

Shooting quality

Gillingham: BalancedMilton Keynes Dons: Efficient finishing
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
Accuracy (shots on target)33%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Milton Keynes Dons is 175% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Gillingham · 2.2 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons

Gillingham
LLLWD
Season result split
32% W35% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-12-11
1.32 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-7-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Milton Keynes Dons
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
51% W31% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-11-6
1.86 pts / game · goal difference +32
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
8-6-3
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WDWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 0.99BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Milton Keynes Dons is 54% better for: goals scored per game.

1.24 goals / game - Gillingham · 1.91 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.24 goals / game - Gillingham · 1 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons

Gillingham scoring profile: strong

Gillingham scores in 76% of games (26 of 34 meczów), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 meczów).

Milton Keynes Dons scoring profile: very strong

Milton Keynes Dons scores in 89% of games (31 of 35 meczów), while Gillingham keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 meczów).

42Goals scored (season)67
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
42Goals conceded (season)35
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
2.47Average goals per game2.91
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
2Goals scored (last 5)8
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
6Goals conceded (last 5)2
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal89%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
29%2 goals60%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
15%3 goals23%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
3%4 goals14%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal66%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
32%2 goals29%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
12%3 goals6%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
3%4 goals0%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

60%
Milton Keynes Dons - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 35 meczów
54%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time14%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
3%BTTS in both halves3%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
15%Scored in both halves37%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
20%BTTS - last 540%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Milton Keynes Dons is 92% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / game - Gillingham · 2.03 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons

Gillingham - half-time state
18% leading53% draw29% trailing
Milton Keynes Dons - half-time state
60% leading23% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per game (1st half)2.03
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
0.41Goals scored (1st half)1.09
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
1Average goals (1st half)1.51
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
62%Clean sheet before half-time71%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
68%No goal before half-time31%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per game (2nd half)1.54
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.4
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
50%Clean sheet after half-time54%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
41%No goal after half-time43%
GillinghamMilton Keynes Dons

Gillingham - second-half results

35% W41% D24% L
36
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding178%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results

40% W34% D26% L
71
Half-time points
38
Half-time goals
+23
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 51%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Gillingham - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.00
Goals scored / game0.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Milton Keynes Dons - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.80
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Gillingham
ScoredConceded
1
10
0-15
6
9
16-30
7
1
31-45
9
8
46-60
6
4
61-75
13
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Milton Keynes Dons
ScoredConceded
13
5
0-15
11
7
16-30
14
3
31-45
7
1
46-60
9
8
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+86%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Gillingham

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 2% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Milton Keynes Dons

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.72
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
159%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

GillinghamLigaMilton Keynes Dons
Average goals per game 2.472.57 2.91
Both teams scored 56%54% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%47% 54%
Clean sheets 24%26% 34%
Goal before half-time 53%69% 83%
Goal after half-time 79%77% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Milton Keynes DonsYellow cardDaniel Crowley
  2. Milton Keynes DonsGoalGethin Wynne JonesAssist: Ben Wiles
  3. Milton Keynes DonsGoalMarvin EkpitetaAssist: Liam Anthony Kelly
  4. GillinghamYellow cardRonan Hale
  5. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Scott HoganOff: Daniel Crowley
  6. Milton Keynes DonsGoalBen Wiles
  7. GillinghamYellow cardAaron Rowe
  8. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Connor Lemonheigh-EvansOff: Aaron Graham John Collins
  9. GillinghamSubstitutionOn: Michael LuxtonOff: Ethan Coleman
  10. GillinghamGoalSeb Palmer-Houlden
  11. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Joe TomlinsonOff: Luke William Offord
  12. Milton Keynes DonsGoalLiam Anthony KellyAssist: Connor Lemonheigh-Evans
  13. GillinghamYellow cardLenni Cirino

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Gillingham's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Milton Keynes Dons. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Milton Keynes Dons FC
3 : 2
Gillingham FC

FAQ

What was the result of Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons?

The EFL League Two match finished Gillingham 1:5 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Gillingham score 1.24 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 1.91. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Gillingham's matches and 60% of Milton Keynes Dons's.

What form are Gillingham and Milton Keynes Dons in?

Over the last 5 games Gillingham have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.